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Trainer profile

A Chaille-Chaille

2,242 runners in the lifetime window · 490 individual horses
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Sep 2025 97% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
375–2,242
Wins / Runs
16.7%
Strike rate
n=2,242
840 (38%)
Placed
1.09
n=2,048 · 0.95 incl. margin
−56.30
£1 level stake
n=2,150 at SP · −2.6%
£22.3m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 120 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 17% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.09).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,242 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 17% 33.9% when favourite Mathieu Carroux: 20.2% from 445 Sends off the favourite in 17% of races
The read

A horse in first-time headgear are the standout value angle: 17.1% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.23 and +33.90 to a £1 stake over 252 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Mathieu Carroux rides 20% of the entries and edges the yard's average (20.2% vs 16.7%, A/E 1.16) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Good going (38.7%, n=31) and on Good to Soft going (30.4%, n=46). The market has also underrated the yard in Flat races: Fair A/E 2.29 across 59 runners (28.8% strike, +26.30 to a £1 stake). 175 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Gras Savoye Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris at Auteuil (FR) (May 2007, £243,243). The stable star of the record: Mid Dancer (FR) — 13 wins from 21 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 16.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
17%+0.3
n=646 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −11.70
New recruits · first run for the yard
16.7%+0.0
n=42 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −19.60
Debutants · first career start
17.1%+0.4
n=439 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +35.80
First-time headgear · true-first definition
17.1%+0.4
n=252 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +33.90
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
9.1%−7.6
n=22 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −4.50
When favourite
33.9%
n=383 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −10.30
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
15.9%−0.8
n=334 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −44.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
15.2%−1.5
n=857 · A/E 1.19 · £1 +19.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 16.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good going 38.7% vs 16.7% · n=31
On last-time-out winners 27.6% vs 16.7% · n=323
On Good to Soft going 30.4% vs 16.7% · n=46
In Flat races 28.8% vs 16.7% · n=59
With C&D winners 23.3% vs 16.7% · n=489
With Jacques Ricou 27.5% vs 16.7% · n=40
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 1,222 199 16.3% −51.30
Chase 959 159 16.6% −30.30
Flat 59 17 28.8% +26.30
NH Flat 2 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 1,185 172 14.5% −83.53
Heavy 946 168 17.8% −8.07
Good to Soft 46 14 30.4% +0.60
Good 31 12 38.7% +27.30
Standard (AW) 28 5 17.9% +1.10
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR) 1,510 235 15.6% −86.80
Compiegne 288 50 17.4% +11.90
Enghien (FR) 181 31 17.1% +8.70
Pau 34 3 8.8% −0.40
Clairefontaine 28 3 10.7% −10.20
Deauville (FR) 17 3 17.6% +7.10
Bordeaux Le Bouscat 13 4 30.8% +5.50
Dieppe 12 0 0% −11.00
Angers 12 1 8.3% −4.70
Toulouse 11 0 0% −9.00
Cagnes-Sur-Mer 10 0 0% −10.00
Nantes 10 4 40% +5.50
Vichy 8 4 50% −0.30
Le Lion-D'Angers 7 3 42.9% +8.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 7 1 14.3% −2.70

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 859 130 15.1% +17.50
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 399 135 33.8% 1.03 −7.70
2nd–3rd fav 709 124 17.5% 1.06 −62.80
4th–6th fav 664 67 10.1% 1.20 +10.40
7th+ in betting 378 21 5.6% 1.36 +3.80
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
82.9% completed · 2,181 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 959 78.4% 93 21 85 1 7
Hurdle 1,222 86.4% 58 4 97 0 7
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Albert Hall (USA)from E Lellouche 33 11 15 14 Dec 18
Beaute Promise (FR) 30 1 4 2 Dec 21
Amour Du Mathan (FR) 27 4 10 25 Nov 21
Biloute De Houelle (FR) 24 5 10 17 Apr 19
Via Dolorosa (FR)then David Pipe 23 2 5 10 Sep 21
Showly (FR) 22 0 7 8 Dec 24
Go For De Houelle (FR)then V Devillars 21 1 4 7 Oct 20
Lachlan Bridge (GER)from Yves de Nicolay · then G Cherel 21 5 10 14 May 16
Fantastic Sivola (FR) 20 2 7 17 Jul 24
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 490 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive; 55 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard, most often for A Chaille-Chaille & F Pamart (13) and David Pipe (2); 38 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
121018181712202315211611
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMathieu Carroux
20% of all rides
20.2% SR · A/E 1.16
RiderRWSR£1
Mathieu Carroux 445 90 20.2% +58.80
Pierre Dubourg 430 63 14.7% −39.20
Gaetan Masure 188 45 23.9% +29.50
Francois Pamart 151 21 13.9% −53.60
Florent Bayle 124 15 12.1% +23.00
Olivier D'Andigne 119 18 15.1% +0.90
Tristan Lemagnen 110 18 16.4% −31.60
David Gallon 103 9 8.7% −47.90
Thomas Coutant 88 21 23.9% +81.30
Jean-Christopher Gagnon 56 4 7.1% −14.50
Quentin Gaignard 54 13 24.1% +0.20
Jacques Ricou 40 11 27.5% +2.80
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
459
Archived wins
175
Pattern / graded wins
£26.5m
Prize money
2024
Best season · 39 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Mid Dancer (FR) — Gras Savoye Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris Auteuil (FR) · May 2007 · Grade 1
£243,243
Zaiyad (IRE) — Grande Course de Haies d'Auteuil (Hurdle) Auteuil (FR) · Jun 2007 · Grade 1
£236,486
Grandeur Nature (FR) — Prix la Haye Jousselin (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2023 · Grade 1
£230,973

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Martaline (GB) 18.7% · 43–230
Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,347 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.
Saint Des Saints (FR) 15.6% · 28–179
Progeny have won 15% of 5,359 runs since 2008 (643 horses).
Ballingarry (IRE) 18.1% · 21–116
Progeny have won 10.4% of 2,432 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.4% from 125.
Kapgarde (FR) 6.5% · 6–92
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,631 runs since 2008 (725 horses).
Poliglote (GB) 23.6% · 21–89
Progeny have won 15.6% of 4,224 runs since 2008 (417 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.8% from 234. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19% from 691. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.1% from 196.
Roli Abi (FR) 20.7% · 12–58
Progeny have won 13% of 238 runs since 2009 (44 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,408 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,408 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 29 January 2005 to 23 September 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is A Chaille-Chaille's strike rate?
A Chaille-Chaille has won 375 of 2,242 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 16.7% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does A Chaille-Chaille do best at?
Compiegne by strike rate: 50 wins from 288 runners (17.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for A Chaille-Chaille?
Mathieu Carroux, with 445 runners since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 90 (20.2%).
What is A Chaille-Chaille's Fair A/E?
1.09, from 2,048 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 5 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).