What is A Fabre's strike rate?

A Fabre has won 425 of 2,156 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 19.7% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does A Fabre do best at?

Clairefontaine (FR) by strike rate: 14 wins from 42 runners (33.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for A Fabre?

Mickael Barzalona, with 530 runners since 2022 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 119 (22.5%).

In the last 14 days: 27 runners, 5 winners, a strike rate of 18.5%. That is in line with the baseline of 19.7% since 2022.

What is A Fabre's Fair A/E?

1.04, from 2,156 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

A Fabre

2,156 runners in the last 5 seasons · 477 individual horses

As at 19 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 1.1% of 472 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 19 Oct 2026.

Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

425–2,156

Wins / Runs

19.7%

Strike rate

n=2,156

933 (43%)

Placed

1.04

Fair A/E

n=2,156 · 0.87 incl. margin

−372.75

£1 level stake

n=2,156 at SP · −17.3%

£19.4m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

16.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 430 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 20% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.04). Debutants are a strength: 23% on first career starts (409 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,156 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 19 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep Fresh horses: 20.7% 37.9% when favourite Mickael Barzalona: 22.5% from 530 Sends off the favourite in 27% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Clairefontaine (FR) (33.3%, n=42), clear of the yard's 19.7% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 5.4% (n=37, Fair A/E 0.49). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 11.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −48.80 to a £1 stake over 162 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Mickael Barzalona rides 25% of the entries and edges the yard's average (22.5% vs 19.7%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. 688 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2019, £2,573,874). The stable star of the record: Tribalist (GB) — 10 wins from 24 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 19.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

20.7%+1.0

n=571 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −3.47

New recruits · first run for the yard

18.8%−0.9

n=16 · A/E 1.51 · £1 +16.33

Debutants · first career start

22.5%+2.8

n=409 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −35.25

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.4%−14.3

n=37 · A/E 0.49 · £1 −26.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

40%+20.3

n=5 · A/E 3.22 · £1 +14.20

When favourite

37.9%

n=583 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −66.76

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

11.1%−8.6

n=162 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −48.80

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

16.5%−3.2

n=832 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −171.40

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 19.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Maxime Guyon 30.8% vs 19.7% · n=347

With Augustin Madamet 4.7% vs 19.7% · n=64

With first-time headgear 5.4% vs 19.7% · n=37

At Clairefontaine (FR) 33.3% vs 19.7% · n=42

With M Favriaux 10.2% vs 19.7% · n=108

With claiming riders up 11.1% vs 19.7% · n=162

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Soft 723 135 18.7% −149.61

Soft 642 137 21.3% −41.02

Standard (AW) 403 77 19.1% −99.30

Good 199 32 16.1% −60.72

Heavy 177 43 24.3% −12.80

Good to Firm 12 1 8.3% −9.30

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chantilly 569 111 19.5% −141.60

Longchamp (FR) 509 77 15.1% −114.49

Saint-Cloud (FR) 491 126 25.7% +2.39

Deauville (AW) 427 83 19.4% −62.40

Clairefontaine (FR) 42 14 33.3% +9.52

Compiegne 39 4 10.3% −20.50

Vichy (FR) 12 1 8.3% −8.70

Newmarket 9 1 11.1% −6.00

Dieppe (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00

Lyon Parilly (FR) 6 2 33.3% −1.80

Toulouse (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Ascot 4 0 0% −4.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 4 2 50% +6.00

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Le Mans (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 836 138 16.5% −162.40

Class 2 25 2 8% −18.82

Class 3 7 1 14.3% −4.00

Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 612 228 37.3% 1.07 −73.21

2nd–3rd fav 759 135 17.8% 1.02 −125.14

4th–6th fav 590 52 8.8% 1.00 −152.40

7th+ in betting 195 10 5.1% 1.22 −22.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Stangheli (FR) 28 1 8 14 Sep 26

Birr Castle (FR) 22 4 9 12 Apr 26

Tribalist (GB) 22 10 18 6 Jul 25

Sevenna's Knight (IRE) 21 4 8 26 Oct 25

Zoom (FR) 20 4 8 10 Oct 26

First Look (IRE) 19 4 9 3 Oct 26

Casapueblo (IRE) 18 4 8 22 Jul 26

Tilila (FR) 18 2 7 4 Sep 25

Sajir (IRE) 17 7 12 20 Jun 26

Sacred Spirit (IRE) 17 5 9 13 Feb 26

Junko (GB) 17 6 9 19 Oct 25

Mqse De Sevigne (IRE) 16 7 13 6 Oct 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 477 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 60 had their first archived run here.

14 have since run for another yard; 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

5 from 27 18.5% · −1.2pts vs baseline

Last 14 days18.5%

5-season base19.7%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

143319202417122322152211

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMickael Barzalona

25% of all rides
22.5% SR · A/E 1.00

RiderRWSR£1

Mickael Barzalona 530 119 22.5% −30.50

A Pouchin 384 64 16.7% −107.25

Maxime Guyon 347 107 30.8% +24.28

Bauyrzhan Murzabayev 145 29 20% −13.50

M Favriaux 108 11 10.2% −43.20

P C Boudot 105 21 20% −17.68

Hugo Besnier 82 11 13.4% −12.60

Cristian Demuro 81 17 21% −20.50

Augustin Madamet 64 3 4.7% −46.40

Stephane Pasquier 61 10 16.4% −18.70

Olivier Peslier 53 14 26.4% −4.50

Arthur Mosse 37 4 10.8% −12.70

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

2,099

Archived wins

688

Pattern / graded wins

£101.3m

Prize money

2013

Best season · 133 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Waldgeist (GB) — Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe (3yo+) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2019 · Group 1

£2,573,874

Rail Link (GB) — Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Lucien Barriere (Colts & Fillies) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2006 · Group 1

£788,138

Lope De Vega (IRE) — Prix Du Jockey Club (3yo Colts & Fillies) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Jun 2010 · Group 1

£758,496

Notable horses

Tribalist (GB) Waldgeist (GB) Fractional (IRE) Mqse De Sevigne (IRE) Magny Cours (USA) Persian King (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Lope De Vega (IRE) 22.9% · 36–157

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,145 runs since 2008 (1,099 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 953.

Kingman (GB) 17.9% · 24–134

Progeny have won 14.5% of 7,467 runs since 2008 (775 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11% from 958. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.

Sea The Stars (IRE) 22.7% · 29–128

Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,931 runs since 2008 (1,110 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 452. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.

Frankel (GB) 26.3% · 30–114

Progeny have won 18% of 7,491 runs since 2008 (873 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.4% from 323. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.4% from 267.

Siyouni (FR) 24.6% · 28–114

Progeny have won 13% of 8,315 runs since 2008 (975 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.1% from 453.

Dubawi (IRE) 24.7% · 23–93

Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,930 runs since 2008 (1,520 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 19 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 9,663 · newest first

The latest 50 of 9,663 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 March 2005 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Sinileo (IRE)J: Augustin Madamet Prix Du Conseil De Paris (Group 2)11f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 12/1

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Zaraki (IRE)J: Maxime Guyon Prix Du Conseil De Paris (Group 2)11f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 3rd 11/4

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Nitoi (USA)J: Stephane Pasquier Prix Du Conseil De Paris (Group 2)11f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 14/1

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Solmaris (IRE)J: Maxime Guyon Prix De Belleville9f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 5th 11/8F

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Rose Lake (IRE)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix De La Chapelle9f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 7th 1/1F

15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Monday Cabaret (IRE)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix Du Jardin Anglais6f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 6/5F

15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Emirgan Park (IRE)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix De Saint-desir8f · Good · 6 ran 1st 15/8

14 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Seneque (IRE)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix Tornado12.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 3rd 11/10F

13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Powai (GB)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix Du Champ De Mars9.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 10/1

11 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Swinguer (FR)J: Alexis Pouchin Grand Prix De L'hippodrome De Lyon-la-soieClass 1 · 9f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 5/1

11 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Tavda (IRE)J: Bryan Labate Prix SareptaClass 3 · 9f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 9/1

10 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Gazi (FR)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix Le FabuleuxClass 1 · 9f · Soft · 9 ran 9th 20/1

10 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Segall (IRE)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix Le FabuleuxClass 1 · 9f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 17/2

10 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Zoom (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix De CoyeClass 1 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 8/1

10 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Al Hamaad (FR)J: Oisin Murphy Criterium De Maisons-laffitteClass 1 · 6f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 7/2

10 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Zen Poetry (IRE)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix SaracaClass 1 · 7f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 8/13F

10 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Critical Thinker (GB)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix De La Maniguette8f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 6/1

09 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Zulu Chant (IRE)J: Ioritz Mendizabal Derby Du Languedoc - Fonds Europeen De L'elevageClass 1 · 12f · Very Soft · 7 ran 3rd 11/1

09 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Elle Eclipse (IRE)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix Charles LaffitteClass 1 · 10f · Very Soft · 12 ran 7th 16/1

09 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Lefteye (GB)J: Maxime Guyon Prix Charles LaffitteClass 1 · 10f · Very Soft · 12 ran 2nd 15/8F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is A Fabre's strike rate?: A Fabre has won 425 of 2,156 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 19.7% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does A Fabre do best at?: Clairefontaine (FR) by strike rate: 14 wins from 42 runners (33.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for A Fabre?: Mickael Barzalona, with 530 runners since 2022 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 119 (22.5%).
Is A Fabre in form?: In the last 14 days: 27 runners, 5 winners, a strike rate of 18.5%. That is in line with the baseline of 19.7% since 2022.
What is A Fabre's Fair A/E?: 1.04, from 2,156 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.