What is A Spanu's strike rate?

A Spanu has won 20 of 237 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.4% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does A Spanu do best at?

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) by strike rate: 6 wins from 36 runners (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is A Spanu's Fair A/E?

1.20, from 211 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

A Spanu

237 runners in the lifetime window · 28 individual horses

As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 24 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

20–237

Wins / Runs

8.4%

Strike rate

n=237

43 (18%)

Placed

1.20

Fair A/E

n=211 · 1.00 incl. margin

−61.20

£1 level stake

n=212 at SP · −28.9%

£344k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

18.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.20). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 12% off breaks of two months or more (50 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 237 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 27 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 12%

The read

The record is strongest at Maisons-Laffitte (FR) (16.7%, n=36), clear of the yard's 8.4% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 12% (n=50, Fair A/E 0.91). The yard also reads well over 6f – 7f (13.4%, n=82). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 2.4% over 85 runners, 6pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix du Treport at Deauville (FR) (Jan 2026, £22,130). The stable star of the record: Fire Rebel (FR) — 6 wins from 25 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

12%+3.6

n=50 · A/E 0.91 · £1 +2.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

25%+16.6

n=12 · A/E 5.17 · £1 +35.10

Debutants · first career start

6.7%−1.7

n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

25%+16.6

n=12 · A/E 4.28 · £1 +24.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

18.2%+9.8

n=11 · A/E 3.70 · £1 +5.30

When favourite

60%

n=5 · A/E 2.61 · £1 +6.20

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.2%−0.2

n=73 · A/E 1.45 · £1 −2.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.4

n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Fabien Lefebvre 20% vs 8.4% · n=30

At Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 16.7% vs 8.4% · n=36

With Frederic Spanu 16.2% vs 8.4% · n=37

Over 1m – 1m1f 2.4% vs 8.4% · n=85

Over 6f – 7f 13.4% vs 8.4% · n=82

Off a 61-180-day break 2.9% vs 8.4% · n=35

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 236 20 8.5% −61.20

Hurdle 1 0 0% —

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 101 8 7.9% −52.10

Soft 47 4 8.5% +9.30

Good to Soft 37 5 13.5% +18.50

Good 32 1 3.1% −27.00

Heavy 20 2 10% −9.90

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chantilly (FR) 69 3 4.3% −46.40

Deauville (FR) 56 6 10.7% −26.70

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 36 6 16.7% +17.30

Saint-Cloud 36 3 8.3% +21.30

Longchamp (FR) 34 1 2.9% −22.70

Dieppe (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Lyon Parilly 1 1 100% —

Auteuil (FR) 1 0 0% —

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Compiegne (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Argentan (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 7 0 0% −6.00

Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 6 4 66.7% 3.10 +11.20

2nd–3rd fav 13 4 30.8% 2.70 +11.90

4th–6th fav 48 2 4.2% 0.53 −27.50

7th+ in betting 145 3 2.1% 0.70 −56.80

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Raja Luna (FR)from J-P Dubois 27 1 3 21 Jun 24

Tostaky Blue (FR)from Mlle A Voraz 26 2 6 9 Nov 17

Fire Rebel (FR) 25 6 10 3 Oct 26

Night Call (FR)from Mlle A Voraz 25 0 4 28 Jun 17

Toriano (FR)from N Caullery 21 1 3 29 Nov 23

Story Begins (FR) 21 0 3 16 Sep 19

Molitor (FR)from Yves de Nicolay · then N Caullery 16 2 3 12 Aug 11

Milhaarth (GB) 10 1 3 23 Dec 10

Accord D'Argent (FR)from Y Barberot 9 0 1 16 Mar 17

Chopouest (FR)from M Boutin · then T Castanheira 9 3 3 28 Nov 11

Lomirana (FR)from J Rossi · then N Caullery 7 0 0 18 Mar 11

Miss Sham (FR) 6 0 0 24 Jun 22

All 28 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 28 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mlle A Voraz (2); 15 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for N Caullery (2); 18 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

771188571394146

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderFrederic Spanu

16% of all rides
16.2% SR · A/E 1.49

RiderRWSR£1

Frederic Spanu 37 6 16.2% +17.30

Mlle Mickaelle Michel 35 1 2.9% −4.00

Fabien Lefebvre 30 6 20% +5.90

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£442k

Prize money

2025

Best season · 3 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Fire Rebel (FR) — Prix du Treport (Handicap) (All Weather) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Jan 2026

£22,130

Miss Wind (FR) — Prix de la Pepiniere () (Fillies & Mares) Longchamp (FR) · Apr 2005 · Listed

£16,667

Chopouest (FR) — Prix Dagor (Conditions) (3yo) (Turf) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · Jun 2010

£15,044

Notable horses

Fire Rebel (FR) Chopouest (FR) Tostaky Blue (FR) Molitor (FR) Ringbow (IRE) Raja Luna (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Rajsaman (FR) 3.7% · 1–27

Progeny have won 6.9% of 2,838 runs since 2008 (311 horses).

Anabaa Blue (GB) 7.7% · 2–26

Progeny have won 9.3% of 1,937 runs since 2008 (227 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 12.6% from 278. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6% from 417.

Le Rebel (FR) 24% · 6–25

Progeny have won 13.8% of 58 runs since 2008 (7 horses).

Silver Frost (IRE) 0% · 0–25

Progeny have won 6.4% of 1,338 runs since 2008 (164 horses).

Dutch Art (GB) 4.8% · 1–21

Progeny have won 12.1% of 8,108 runs since 2008 (600 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 18.1% from 700. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9% from 365.

Never On Sunday (FR) 0% · 0–21

Progeny have won 9.2% of 239 runs since 2008 (34 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 269 · newest first

The latest 50 of 269 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 March 2005 to 3 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

03 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Qatar Prix de la Place de la ConcordeClass 1 · 8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 8th 66/1

10 Sep 26 Longchamp (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix CarrusClass 2 · 7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 14th 40/1

20 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix Du Cheval De Loisir (Prix Du Havre)Class 2 · 7.5f · Standard · 15 ran 8th 33/1

07 Jun 26 Longchamp (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix de l'Ile de la Cite (Handicap) (Turf)7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 11th 55/1

19 May 26 Chantilly (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix de la Theve (Conditions) (Turf)6f · Heavy · 12 ran 8th 20/1

26 Apr 26 Longchamp (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix du Gros Caillou (Conditions) (Turf)7f · Good · 9 ran 6th 14/1

05 Apr 26 Longchamp (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Super Handicap de Reouverture (Turf)7f · Good To Soft · 19 ran 8th 51/1

08 Mar 26 Chantilly (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix Anabaa (Conditions) (All Weather) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 3/1F

12 Feb 26 Chantilly (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix de Lassy (Conditions) (All Weather) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 12/5F

30 Jan 26 Deauville (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix du Treport (Handicap) (All Weather) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 16 ran 1st 79/10

09 Jan 26 Deauville (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix du Volcan (Handicap) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 16 ran 5th 14/1

26 Nov 25 Deauville (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix de l'Auberge des Peintres (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 1st 23/5

08 Nov 25 Chantilly (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix du Domaine de Valgenceuse (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 5/1J

22 Oct 25 Deauville (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix de la Foret de Bord (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7.5f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 29/10F

30 Sep 25 Chantilly (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix du Bois Bourillon (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)8f · Standard · 16 ran 2nd 12/1

04 Sep 25 Longchamp (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix de la Rue de l'Abreuvoir (Handicap) (4yo) (New Course) (Turf)7f · Very Soft · 13 ran 1st 83/10

17 Aug 25 Deauville (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Mme Mickaelle Michel The Aga Khan Studs Prix de Glanville (Handicap) (4yo+) (Round Course) (Turf)8f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 11th 9/1

08 Jul 25 Chantilly (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Mme Mickaelle Michel Prix du Bois Saint-Denis (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)8f · Very Soft · 14 ran 3rd 87/10

06 May 25 Chantilly (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix des Chataigniers (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)6f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 9th 15/1

06 Apr 25 Longchamp (FR) Fire Rebel (FR)J: Mme Mickaelle Michel Prix du Grand Chatelet (Handicap) (4yo+) (New Course) (Turf)7f · Good · 14 ran 6th 21/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is A Spanu's strike rate?: A Spanu has won 20 of 237 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.4% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does A Spanu do best at?: Maisons-Laffitte (FR) by strike rate: 6 wins from 36 runners (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is A Spanu's Fair A/E?: 1.20, from 211 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.