No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB at a glanceClaiming riders: 5.6%
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−4.4
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.4
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.4
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.6%+1.2
n=72 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −39.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
14.3%+9.9
n=7 · A/E 2.95 · £1 −2.50
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
With a new jockey booking0% vs 4.4% · n=35
In Hurdle races6.7% vs 4.4% · n=60
Over 2m1f – 2m4f6.5% vs 4.4% · n=46
With claiming riders up5.6% vs 4.4% · n=72 · A/E 1.18
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle6046.7%−27.75
NH Flat1300%−13.00
Flat1000%−10.00
Chase700%−7.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good3925.1%−28.25
Soft2913.4%−12.00
Good to Soft800%−8.00
Good to Firm700%−7.00
Heavy7114.3%−2.50
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Cork28310.7%−12.75
Killarney1616.3%+1.00
Clonmel900%−9.00
Listowel800%−8.00
Limerick700%−7.00
Tipperary500%−5.00
Galway300%−3.00
Gowran Park300%−3.00
Ballinrobe200%−2.00
Fairyhouse200%−2.00
Naas200%−2.00
Punchestown200%−2.00
Thurles200%−2.00
Roscommon100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 17114.3%−2.50
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite2150%2.80+2.50
2nd–3rd fav9222.2%1.69+1.75
4th–6th fav1400%0.00−14.00
7th+ in betting6511.5%0.60−48.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f4636.5%−16.50
1m5f – 2m2600%−26.00
2m5f – 3m1516.7%−12.25
6f – 7f300%−3.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20121200%−12.00
201319315.8%+5.25
2014600%−6.00
20151218.3%−4.00
20161900%−19.00
2017900%−9.00
2018700%−7.00
2019500%−5.00
2020100%−1.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps4712.1%−42.50
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
17+ runners2913.4%−12.00
14-16 runners2300%−23.00
11-13 runners1900%−19.00
8-10 runners1417.1%−9.50
5-7 runners4250%+6.75
2-4 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 7 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 7 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 7 had their first archived run here.
None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
··0017005010100
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,882 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.6% from 410. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 815.
Sandmason (GB)0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 11.4% of 492 runs since 2008 (66 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.4% from 130.
Wareed (IRE)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 7.8% of 510 runs since 2008 (50 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.5% from 157.
Progeny have won 7.9% of 1,214 runs since 2008 (112 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.4% from 161.
Witness Box (USA)0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,675 runs since 2008 (194 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 4% from 173.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 90 · newest first
The latest 50 of 90 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 June 2012 to 5 July 2020.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is D F O'Shea's strike rate?
D F O'Shea has won 4 of 90 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.4% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is D F O'Shea's Fair A/E?
0.97, from 90 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
D F O'Shea·SR 4.4%·A/E 0.97
KTB
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