What is Ross Coakley's strike rate?

Ross Coakley has won 144 of 1,360 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ross Coakley do best at?

Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 6 wins from 35 rides (17.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Ross Coakley ride most for?

Rod Millman, with 239 rides since 2022 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 27 (11.3%).

Is Ross Coakley in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Ross Coakley's Fair A/E?

0.95, from 1,353 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Ross Coakley

1,360 rides in the last 5 seasons · 766 individual horses

As at 11 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 4 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)

from 1 Jan 2022

144–1,360

Wins / Runs

10.6%

Strike rate

n=1,360

397 (29%)

Placed

0.95

Fair A/E

n=1,353 · 0.81 incl. margin

−381.36

£1 level stake

n=1,360 at SP · −28.0%

£1.69m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.4%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 270 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.95). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (125 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,360 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 11 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb Fresh horses: 11% 31.5% when favourite Rod Millman: 11.3% from 239 LTO winners: 17.6% Rides the favourite in 11% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17.6% (n=125, Fair A/E 0.81), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 2.5% (n=159, Fair A/E 0.51). Rod Millman supplies 18% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (11.3%, A/E 0.95). The record reads poorly in Class 3 — 1.6% over 64 rides, 9pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Tote Irish Cambridgeshire at Curragh (IRE) (Aug 2017, £59,000). The standout partner of the record: Park Row (IRE) — 6 wins from 31 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

9.2%−1.4

n=737 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −232.91

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

17.6%+7.0

n=125 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −47.52

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

11%+0.4

n=191 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −60.61

When favourite

31.5%

n=143 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −24.14

Big fields · 14+ runners

2.5%−8.1

n=159 · A/E 0.51 · £1 −110.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.5%+0.9

n=26 · A/E 1.39 · £1 +9.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With J S Bolger 0% vs 10.6% · n=53

In Class 3 1.6% vs 10.6% · n=64

With John C McConnell 1.9% vs 10.6% · n=53

With first-time headgear 2.7% vs 10.6% · n=75

On last-time-out winners 17.6% vs 10.6% · n=125

With Hugo Palmer 16.3% vs 10.6% · n=153

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 608 74 12.2% −154.11

Good 292 25 8.6% −62.04

Good to Firm 216 28 13% −41.47

Good to Soft 108 10 9.3% −46.49

Soft 99 5 5.1% −60.25

Heavy 28 1 3.6% −13.00

Firm 9 1 11.1% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 149 12 8.1% −87.42

Wolverhampton (AW) 146 17 11.6% −73.23

Chelmsford City (AW) 101 14 13.9% −14.55

Southwell (AW) 83 13 15.7% +8.97

Lingfield (AW) 70 9 12.9% −8.44

Windsor 59 4 6.8% −35.33

Salisbury 52 8 15.4% +30.75

Leicester 51 5 9.8% −17.62

Nottingham 50 5 10% −31.87

Yarmouth 49 4 8.2% −5.00

Newbury 47 5 10.6% −2.17

Bath 42 6 14.3% −3.75

Chepstow 37 5 13.5% +11.13

Newcastle (AW) 35 6 17.1% −10.44

Doncaster 32 4 12.5% −14.87

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 508 73 14.4% −78.37

Class 4 326 39 12% −58.28

Class 6 221 17 7.7% −113.21

Class 3 64 1 1.6% −62.00

Class 2 60 7 11.7% +6.00

Class 1 26 3 11.5% +9.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 154 49 31.8% 1.01 −21.14

2nd–3rd fav 323 51 15.8% 0.91 −75.72

4th–6th fav 431 28 6.5% 0.81 −146.50

7th+ in betting 452 16 3.5% 1.23 −138.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Airshow (GB) 17 3 6 5 Feb 24

Chavajod (GB) 16 2 4 30 Sep 26

Able Kane (GB) 13 1 4 3 Sep 24

Safari Dream (IRE) 9 1 4 11 Oct 24

Silent Flame (GB) 9 2 5 15 Sep 24

Four Adaay (GB) 9 2 2 23 Aug 24

Popmaster (IRE) 8 1 4 19 Oct 24

High Court Judge (USA) 8 2 2 30 Sep 24

Emerald City (GB) 8 1 4 29 Sep 24

Alpine Girl (IRE) 8 1 2 28 May 24

Nolton Cross (IRE) 8 1 4 16 Mar 24

Woolhampton (IRE) 8 1 3 19 Aug 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 766 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 1

Only 1 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

281411811121010751010

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardRod Millman

18% of all rides
11.3% SR · A/E 0.95

TrainerRWSR£1

Rod Millman 239 27 11.3% −75.80

Simon & Ed Crisford 163 26 16% −32.36

Hugo Palmer 153 25 16.3% +8.99

Ed Walker 125 17 13.6% +3.01

James Fanshawe 120 17 14.2% −31.99

John C McConnell 53 1 1.9% −32.00

J S Bolger 53 0 0% −53.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→

278

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.19m

Prize money

2022

Best season · 57 wins

Elusive Time (IRE) — Tote Irish Cambridgeshire (Premier Handicap) Curragh (IRE) · Aug 2017

£59,000

Glenartney (GB) — Sky Bet Sunday Series Pontefract Castle Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Listed) Pontefract · Jun 2022 · Listed

£43,416

Popmaster (IRE) — Dubai Duty Free Cup Stakes (Listed) (Str) Newbury · Sep 2023 · Listed

£22,684

Notable horses

Park Row (IRE) Airshow (GB) Munfallet (IRE) Table Forty Six (IRE) Chillie Billie (GB) Boxer Dunford (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dark Angel (IRE) 11.8% · 6–51

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,954 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Havana Grey (GB) 16.2% · 6–37

Progeny have won 13.2% of 4,611 runs since 2022 (420 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.2% from 105. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 9.9% from 424.

Showcasing (GB) 10.8% · 4–37

Progeny have won 10.2% of 11,662 runs since 2014 (1,000 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Bungle Inthejungle (GB) 8.6% · 3–35

Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,248 runs since 2018 (353 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.4% from 123. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 2.4% from 124.

Adaay (IRE) 13.3% · 4–30

Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,968 runs since 2020 (192 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6% from 499.

Kodiac (GB) 6.9% · 2–29

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,604 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 11 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,513 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,513 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 October 2010 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Palms Oasis (GB)T: Roger Varian ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back EBF "Confined" Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D With No More Than Three Runs) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 2/1

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Regulus Black (GB)T: Julia & Shelley Birkett Seadell Shops & Holiday Chalets Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 15 ran 3rd 33/1

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Lady Magu (GB)T: Roger Varian Gold And Silver Exchange Fillies' Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 11.5f · Soft · 8 ran 6th 11/2

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Palms Oasis (GB)T: Roger Varian Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 100/30

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Fantastic Fox (GB)T: Roger Varian Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier)Class 3 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 4th 20/1

01 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Egotistical (GB)T: Roger Varian Get Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 9/2

01 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Tarot (GB)T: Roger Varian Download The Raceday Ready App Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 9/2

30 Sep 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Chavajod (GB)T: D P Coakley BOYLE Sports Handicap8f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 13th 25/1

26 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Kiani King (IRE)T: Hughie Morrison Festive Fixtures At Southwell Racecourse Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 5/1

24 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Guesstimate (GB)T: William Haggas Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 6/1

24 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Palms Oasis (GB)T: Roger Varian Free Bets On attheraces.com Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 18/1

21 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Theorist (IRE)T: D P Coakley Kevin's Bar, Listowel/Exchange Inn, Ballybunion Handicap12f · Yielding · 15 ran 13th 40/1

10 Sep 26 Laytown (IRE) Chavajod (GB)T: D P Coakley O'NEILLS.COM Handicap7f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 18/1

05 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Tarot (GB)T: Roger Varian William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Fillies' Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 5th 16/1

17 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Egotistical (GB)T: Roger Varian Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 5 ran 2nd 5/2

10 Aug 26 Kempton (AW) Without Fail (IRE)T: Michael Bell Unibet/EBF Newcomers' "Confined" Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D, Which Have Never Run) (EBF Qual) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 10th 40/1

08 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Go Lockers Go (GB)T: Michael Bell Hyatt Inclusive Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 6 ran 3rd 15/2

02 Aug 26 Chester Timber Twelve (GB)T: Michael Bell Radnor Hills Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 12.5f · Good · 7 ran 7th 11/4

31 Jul 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Lili Marleen (GER)T: Jack Jones Call 01902 390016 To Name A Race Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 100/1

31 Jul 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Ballybunion (IRE)T: Michael Bell Get Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ross Coakley's strike rate?: Ross Coakley has won 144 of 1,360 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ross Coakley do best at?: Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 6 wins from 35 rides (17.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Ross Coakley ride most for?: Rod Millman, with 239 rides since 2022 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 27 (11.3%).
Is Ross Coakley in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Ross Coakley's Fair A/E?: 0.95, from 1,353 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.