What is Mr R Sugrue's strike rate?

Mr R Sugrue has won 4 of 107 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 3.7% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which yard does Mr R Sugrue ride most for?

P J Rothwell, with 51 rides since 2022 — 48% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (5.9%).

Is Mr R Sugrue in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 13 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Mr R Sugrue's Fair A/E?

0.64, from 107 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Mr R Sugrue

107 rides in the last 5 seasons · 74 individual horses

As at 19 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 98% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)

from 1 Jan 2022

4–107

Wins / Runs

3.7%

Strike rate

n=107

20 (19%)

Placed

0.64

Fair A/E

n=107 · 0.51 incl. margin

−70.00

£1 level stake

n=107 at SP · −65.4%

£90,510

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

4.4%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.64). First rides on a horse are a strength: 6% on the first captured pairing (73 rides). Rides mostly for P J Rothwell — 48% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 107 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 19 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance P J Rothwell: 5.9% from 51 First rides: 5.5%

The read

The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 3.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.64 and −70.00 to a £1 stake over 107 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. P J Rothwell supplies 48% of the rides and edges the rider's average (5.9% vs 3.7%, A/E 0.80). The rider also reads well in Chase races (6.7%, n=30). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 0% over 30 rides, 3.7pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.5%+1.8

n=73 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −36.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

0%−3.7

n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

0%−3.7

n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00

When favourite

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

3.7%+0.0

n=107 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −70.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.1%+0.4

n=49 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −33.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Soft going 0% vs 3.7% · n=30

In Chase races 6.7% vs 3.7% · n=30

With P J Rothwell 5.9% vs 3.7% · n=51

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 52 2 3.8% −32.00

Chase 30 2 6.7% −13.00

NH Flat 23 0 0% −23.00

Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 47 2 4.3% −27.00

Soft 30 0 0% −30.00

Good to Soft 22 1 4.5% −16.00

Heavy 7 1 14.3% +4.00

Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Listowel 14 3 21.4% +13.00

Punchestown 12 0 0% −12.00

Wexford 11 1 9.1% −1.00

Galway 8 0 0% −8.00

Ballinrobe 7 0 0% −7.00

Kilbeggan 7 0 0% −7.00

Killarney 7 0 0% −7.00

Clonmel 7 0 0% −7.00

Roscommon 6 0 0% −6.00

Fairyhouse (IRE) 4 0 0% −4.00

Down Royal 3 0 0% −3.00

Downpatrick (IRE) 3 0 0% −3.00

Sligo 3 0 0% −3.00

Gowran Park (IRE) 2 0 0% −2.00

Leopardstown 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00

2nd–3rd fav 10 1 10% 0.63 −4.00

4th–6th fav 42 3 7.1% 0.90 −11.00

7th+ in betting 53 0 0% 0.00 −53.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84.1% completed · 82 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 30 80% 1 0 4 0 1

Hurdle 52 86.5% 2 0 5 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Burru (IRE) 5 0 3 25 Sep 25

Lummi Island (IRE) 4 0 1 20 Sep 23

Prince Palace (FR) 3 0 1 6 Oct 26

Ballybrittas (IRE) 3 0 0 4 Oct 26

Rosenborg (FR) 3 1 1 4 Oct 26

Starzov (IRE) 3 0 0 28 Sep 26

Dorans Law (IRE) 3 0 2 10 Aug 26

It's All Clear (IRE) 3 0 0 24 Apr 26

Kilt (IRE) 2 1 1 10 Oct 26

Following Orders (IRE) 2 0 0 6 Oct 26

Barryroe Madam (FR) 2 0 0 4 Oct 26

Messonghi (IRE) 2 0 0 4 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 74 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 13

Only 13 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

00000007130·0

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardP J Rothwell

48% of all rides
5.9% SR · A/E 0.80

TrainerRWSR£1

P J Rothwell 51 3 5.9% −20.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→

Archived wins

£93,652

Prize money

2026

Best season · 3 wins

Kilt (IRE) — Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle Listowel (IRE) · Sep 2026

£8,700

Potters Pal (FR) — Paud, Sarah & Mary Fitzmaurice Memorial Handicap Steeplechase Listowel (IRE) · Sep 2026

£7,800

Galon De Vauzelle (FR) — John & Terry Moriarty Memorial (Q.R.) Handicap Chase Listowel · Sep 2024

£7,375

Notable horses

Rosenborg (FR) Kilt (IRE) Galon De Vauzelle (FR) Potters Pal (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Champs Elysees (GB) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,118 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 391. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 387.

Notnowcato (GB) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 9.8% of 2,367 runs since 2008 (226 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14.5% from 386. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.6% from 349.

Alkaadhem (GB) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 10% of 789 runs since 2008 (75 horses). Strongest on Good going: 13.7% from 307. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 160.

Morozov (USA) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 10.9% of 2,312 runs since 2008 (155 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.9% from 433.

Order Of St George (IRE) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 9.6% of 1,133 runs since 2008 (197 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.5% from 474.

Walk In The Park (IRE) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 13.2% of 6,929 runs since 2008 (688 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 19 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 131 · newest first

The latest 50 of 131 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 21 April 2019 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) El Champo (IRE)T: P J Rothwell STL Logistics Handicap Steeplechase19.5f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 2nd 11/1

17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Ancient Myth (IRE)T: N F Glynn Greenpark Limerick Handicap Hurdle (Div I)21.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran F 20/1

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Moon Mission (GB)T: P J Rothwell TRM Nutrition - No.1 In Europe, Trusted Worldwide Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 13 ran 4th 22/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Gatehouse Boy (FR)T: P J Rothwell William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20f · Good · 17 ran 11th 28/1

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Zaryagle (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Protection & Prosperity Financial Services Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 15 ran 8th 22/1

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Kilt (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Powerscreen New England Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 9 ran 8th 7/1

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Mo Ghille Mar (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Winter Festival Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Beginners Steeplechase16.5f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 20/1

09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Custers Mistake (IRE)T: Peter McCreery Northern Ireland On Course Bookmakers Association Handicap Steeplechase23.5f · Good · 14 ran PU 33/1

09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Young Doran (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 6 ran 4th 7/2

08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) Calm Flight Ahead (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Waterford Greenway Beginners Steeplechase20.5f · Yielding · 12 ran 4th 15/2

06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Prince Palace (FR)T: P J Rothwell Mongey Communications Handicap Steeplechase22.5f · Yielding To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 17/2

06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Following Orders (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Ryans Cleaning Handicap Steeplechase18f · Yielding To Soft · 10 ran 7th 18/1

06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Storm Bresie (GB)T: P J Rothwell Tote Always SP Or Better At Galway Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 20 ran 8th 50/1

05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) La Muleta (FR)T: P J Rothwell Adare Manor Opportunity Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 9/2

04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Barryroe Madam (FR)T: Terence O'Brien Killarney Races Handicap Steeplechase23.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran PU 20/1

04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Ballybrittas (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Killarney Races Handicap Steeplechase17f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 8th 9/1

04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Coolboy Christy (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Gleneagle Group Handicap Hurdle23f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 10th 17/2

04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Rosenborg (FR)T: P J Rothwell Charlie Foley's Rated Novice Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 3rd 11/1

04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Messonghi (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 8 ran 8th 300/1

02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Ocean Murphy (GB)T: P J Rothwell Paddy Monaghan 90th Birthday Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 14 ran 6th 3/1F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr R Sugrue's strike rate?: Mr R Sugrue has won 4 of 107 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 3.7% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Mr R Sugrue ride most for?: P J Rothwell, with 51 rides since 2022 — 48% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (5.9%).
Is Mr R Sugrue in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 13 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mr R Sugrue's Fair A/E?: 0.64, from 107 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.