What is Paddy Kennedy's strike rate?

Paddy Kennedy has won 88 of 1,652 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Paddy Kennedy do best at?

Naas by strike rate: 6 wins from 65 rides (9.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Paddy Kennedy ride most for?

Mrs John Harrington, with 322 rides since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 24 (7.5%).

What is Paddy Kennedy's Fair A/E?

0.93, from 1,652 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Paddy Kennedy

1,652 rides in the lifetime window · 813 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride May 2021 99% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

88–1,652

Wins / Runs

5.3%

Strike rate

n=1,652

294 (18%)

Placed

0.93

Fair A/E

n=1,652 · 0.72 incl. margin

−702.42

£1 level stake

n=1,652 at SP · −42.5%

£1.44m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.7%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 120 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (76 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,652 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jan–Feb 32.7% when favourite Mrs John Harrington: 7.5% from 322 LTO winners: 13.2% Rode the favourite in 3% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Wexford (12.8%, n=39), clear of the rider's 5.3% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 13.2% (n=76, Fair A/E 1.13). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 4.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −528.54 to a £1 stake over 1,182 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Mrs John Harrington supplied 19% of the rides and edges the rider's average (7.5% vs 5.3%, A/E 0.99) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (10.8%, n=74). 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Abbey International Leopardstown Handicap Chase at Leopardstown (Feb 2019, £73,750). Seasonally, the rider fired Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

3.9%−1.4

n=813 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −341.17

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

13.2%+7.9

n=76 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −9.75

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4%−1.3

n=300 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −90.50

When favourite

32.7%

n=49 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +1.37

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

4.7%−0.6

n=1,182 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −528.54

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.1%−1.2

n=1,044 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −451.09

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.3%−1.0

n=70 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −42.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 13.2% vs 5.3% · n=76

At Wexford 12.8% vs 5.3% · n=39

With P G Fahey 11.1% vs 5.3% · n=81

Off a 0-7-day break 10.8% vs 5.3% · n=74

With C&D winners 10.3% vs 5.3% · n=68

With first-time headgear 1.1% vs 5.3% · n=92

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,219 66 5.4% −437.83

Chase 303 18 5.9% −190.09

NH Flat 116 4 3.4% −60.50

Flat 14 0 0% −14.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 566 28 4.9% −267.93

Good 425 22 5.2% −111.12

Heavy 421 28 6.7% −209.12

Good to Soft 129 2 1.6% −95.00

Good to Firm 99 6 6.1% −49.25

Firm 10 2 20% +32.00

Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 157 12 7.6% +2.13

Cork 123 3 2.4% −70.09

Limerick 109 6 5.5% −45.62

Thurles 106 5 4.7% −63.00

Fairyhouse 106 7 6.6% −55.00

Navan 85 5 5.9% −26.25

Tramore 82 4 4.9% −49.00

Kilbeggan 73 2 2.7% −35.50

Clonmel 71 5 7% −34.00

Naas 65 6 9.2% −24.00

Down Royal 64 3 4.7% −47.75

Gowran Park 63 4 6.3% −21.00

Ballinrobe 62 3 4.8% −28.67

Downpatrick 61 3 4.9% −40.50

Leopardstown 61 2 3.3% −40.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 71 3 4.2% −43.50

Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 5 1 1 100% +3.33

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 68 18 26.5% 1.13 −10.42

2nd–3rd fav 195 23 11.8% 0.90 −59.00

4th–6th fav 387 25 6.5% 0.99 −106.00

7th+ in betting 1,002 22 2.2% 0.78 −527.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84% completed · 1,522 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 303 75.6% 22 20 29 1 2

Hurdle 1,219 86.1% 32 30 96 5 7

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

A Decent Excuse (IRE) 18 2 5 9 May 14

Touch Of Gold (IRE) 16 3 4 13 Aug 20

Littletown Lass (IRE) 14 1 2 22 Jan 14

Rebel Gold (IRE) 13 3 7 30 Apr 21

Quelle Belle Vie (FR) 13 1 2 14 Dec 17

Dontbackme (IRE) 13 1 3 18 Aug 17

Neverushacon (IRE) 11 3 4 1 May 21

Do Na Paisti (IRE) 11 0 1 7 Oct 17

Do Try Dolly (IRE) 11 1 3 9 Jul 17

The Informer (IRE) 11 0 3 10 Dec 16

Kilcross Boy (IRE) 10 1 3 31 Aug 14

Clear Left (IRE) 9 1 1 14 Sep 20

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 813 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

773576555573

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardMrs John Harrington

19% of all rides
7.5% SR · A/E 0.99

TrainerRWSR£1

Mrs John Harrington 322 24 7.5% −64.49

D T Hughes 105 5 4.8% −79.50

P G Fahey 81 9 11.1% +19.25

Eugene M O'Sullivan 79 4 5.1% −48.50

Michael G Kennedy 67 5 7.5% −35.84

Sean Byrne 56 3 5.4% −28.00

Seamus Fahey 47 3 6.4% −19.50

Mark Michael McNiff 42 2 4.8% −27.50

D E Fitzgerald 35 1 2.9% −28.50

Shane Ryder 34 3 8.8% +11.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.45m

Prize money

2020

Best season · 18 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Whisperinthebreeze (GB) — Abbey International Leopardstown Handicap Chase (Grade A) Leopardstown · Feb 2019 · Grade A

£73,750

Sizing Pottsie (FR) — BoyleSports This Is Betting Handicap Chase (Grade B) Fairyhouse · Dec 2020 · Grade B

£23,600

Ashdale Bob (IRE) — BetVictor Make Your Best Bet Novice Hurdle (Grade 2) Navan · Dec 2020 · Grade 2

£20,650

Notable horses

Touch Of Gold (IRE) Rebel Gold (IRE) Neverushacon (IRE) Ballyshannon Rose (IRE) A Decent Excuse (IRE) Msmilan (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Beneficial (GB) 11.7% · 7–60

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,046 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Milan (GB) 7% · 4–57

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,876 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Presenting (GB) 0% · 0–51

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Flemensfirth (USA) 0% · 0–35

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,288 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Oscar (IRE) 5.7% · 2–35

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

King's Theatre (IRE) 3.1% · 1–32

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,679 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,679 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 1 August 2005 to 30 May 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 May 21 Punchestown Lady De Vesci (IRE)T: M Halford Ladbrokes Where The Nation Plays Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding To Soft · 20 ran BD 100/1

29 May 21 Punchestown Colfer Me (IRE)T: Sean Byrne Ladbrokes Home Of The Odds Boost Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)16.5f · Soft · 23 ran 6th 40/1

27 May 21 Limerick Milestone Prince (IRE)T: Patrick T Foley Foynes Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1)19f · Yielding · 17 ran 4th 16/1

27 May 21 Limerick Supreme Joy (IRE)T: Michael G Kennedy Pallaskenry Mares Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)19f · Yielding · 14 ran 8th 16/1

27 May 21 Limerick Tarqueens Glory (IRE)T: Michael G Kennedy Pallaskenry Mares Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)19f · Yielding · 15 ran 5th 9/1

25 May 21 Ballinrobe Glennanar (IRE)T: A J McNamara www.mchale.net Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)25f · Soft To Heavy · 15 ran 13th 100/1

25 May 21 Ballinrobe Moyola Row (IRE)T: Ciaran Murphy McHale Fusion Range Maiden Hurdle22f · Soft To Heavy · 15 ran PU 200/1

21 May 21 Wexford Mamaslittlestar (IRE)T: James Andrew Fahey Wexford Racecourse Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)20f · Heavy · 11 ran 1st 17/2

20 May 21 Tipperary Leading Prospect (IRE)T: Michael G Kennedy TipperaryRaces.ie Mares Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)20.5f · Soft · 15 ran 7th 66/1

08 May 21 Cork Imminent Arrival (IRE)T: James Andrew Fahey Fermoy Maiden Hurdle24f · Good · 14 ran 7th 50/1

08 May 21 Cork Mamaslittlestar (IRE)T: James Andrew Fahey Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 15 ran 6th 50/1

07 May 21 Downpatrick Lily Of The Dawn (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Molson Coors Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 13 ran 12th 150/1

01 May 21 Punchestown Neverushacon (IRE)T: Mrs John Harrington Dooley Insurance Group Cross Country Chase25f · Good To Firm · 13 ran UR 13/2

30 Apr 21 Punchestown Rebel Gold (IRE)T: Patrick T Foley EMS Copiers Novice Handicap Chase (Grade A)21f · Yielding · 15 ran PU 50/1

22 Apr 21 Kilbeggan Majestic Maid (IRE)T: Michael G Kennedy Follow Kilbeggan On Twitter Rated Novice Hurdle19.5f · Good · 8 ran PU 6/1

19 Apr 21 Limerick Johnffrenchesforge (IRE)T: Aidan Anthony Howard Kildimo (C & G) Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)19f · Yielding · 16 ran PU 100/1

09 Apr 21 Wexford Neverushacon (IRE)T: Mrs John Harrington Garryrichard Stud Veterans Handicap Chase20f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 4th 25/1

05 Apr 21 Fairyhouse Whisperinthebreeze (GB)T: Mrs John Harrington Fred Kenny Lifetime Service To Racing Handicap Chase24.5f · Yielding · 12 ran PU 25/1

04 Apr 21 Fairyhouse Majestic Maid (IRE)T: Michael G Kennedy Cawley Furniture Novice Handicap Hurdle20f · Yielding · 22 ran PU 20/1

03 Apr 21 Fairyhouse Salt Wind (IRE)T: Michael G Kennedy Boomerang.ie Maiden Hurdle20f · Yielding · 18 ran 1st 9/4F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Paddy Kennedy's strike rate?: Paddy Kennedy has won 88 of 1,652 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Paddy Kennedy do best at?: Naas by strike rate: 6 wins from 65 rides (9.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Paddy Kennedy ride most for?: Mrs John Harrington, with 322 rides since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 24 (7.5%).
What is Paddy Kennedy's Fair A/E?: 0.93, from 1,652 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.