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Trainer profile

Ian John McCarthy

18 runners in the last 5 seasons · 7 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 168 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2022
5–18
Wins / Runs
27.8%
Strike rate
n=18
11 (61%)
Placed
1.29
n=18 · 1.05 incl. margin
−3.62
£1 level stake
n=18 at SP · −20.1%
£57,034
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
33.3%

Small sample — fewer than 30 runs in this window. Read the Ns before the percentages.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 27.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
25%−2.8
n=4 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −0.75
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−27.8
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
16.7%−11.1
n=6 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −3.25
First-time headgear · true-first definition
50%+22.2
n=2 · A/E 1.73 · £1 +0.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−27.8
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
57.1%
n=7 · A/E 1.66 · £1 +3.38
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
29.4%+1.6
n=17 · A/E 1.39 · £1 −2.62

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 27.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 15 5 33.3% −0.62
NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 8 3 37.5% +0.00
Good to Soft 6 2 33.3% +0.38
Good 3 0 0% −3.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 7 3 42.9% +0.63
Cork 2 1 50% +0.75
Downpatrick 2 0 0% −2.00
Wexford 2 0 0% −2.00
Clonmel 1 0 0% −1.00
Down Royal 1 0 0% −1.00
Fairyhouse 1 0 0% −1.00
Listowel 1 0 0% −1.00
Thurles 1 1 100% +3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 8 4 50% 1.56 +2.38
2nd–3rd fav 6 1 16.7% 0.98 −2.00
4th–6th fav 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
7th+ in betting 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
93.3% completed · 15 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 15 93.3% 0 0 1 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Fountain House (IRE) 8 4 6 2 May 26
Eyes Off Annie (IRE) 4 1 3 2 Jun 25
Hearts And Spades (FR)from C A Murphy 2 0 2 1 May 26
Princess Aveen (IRE)then W R Crawford 1 0 0 7 May 26
The Farmers Bar (IRE)then Cian Collins 1 0 0 7 May 26
Cloghan Castle (IRE)then Tim Reed 1 0 0 24 May 24
Artic Weather (IRE) 1 0 0 28 Apr 23
All 7 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 7 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 6 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 4 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mr E Mahon 8 2 25% −2.00
Mr R James 4 2 50% +1.63
Miss M O'Sullivan 2 1 50% +0.75
Mr B Lawless 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr J W Hannon 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr D Doyle 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
6
Archived wins
£62,074
Prize money
2025
Best season · 3 wins
Fountain House (IRE) — Kildare Hunt Club Cross Country Chase For The Ladies Perpetual Cup Punchestown · Apr 2026
£11,780
Fountain House (IRE) — Howden Cross Country Chase Punchestown · May 2026
£11,780
Fountain House (IRE) — Stanley Asphalt Hunters Chase For The Bishopscourt Cup Punchestown · May 2025
£8,850

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Lucky Speed (IRE) 50% · 4–8
Progeny have won 6.4% of 425 runs since 2008 (61 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.3% from 151.
Presenting (GB) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 11% of 20,049 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Maxios (GB) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 11.7% of 2,125 runs since 2008 (266 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 316. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 7.9% from 190.
Arctic Cosmos (USA) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 7.6% of 1,300 runs since 2008 (131 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.3% from 194.
Berkshire (IRE) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 11.6% of 510 runs since 2008 (74 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 15.7% from 134. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.4% from 175.
Court Cave (IRE) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,929 runs since 2008 (551 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 934.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 20 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Ian John McCarthy's 20 archived runners, from 24 March 2021 to 7 May 2026, newest first — 6 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
02 May 26 Punchestown Fountain House (IRE)J: Mr R James Howden Cross Country Chase24.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 1st 11/8F
26 Dec 25 Down Royal Fountain House (IRE)J: Mr E Mahon BAR 1 Betting Hunters Chase24f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 10th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ian John McCarthy's strike rate?
Ian John McCarthy has won 5 of 18 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 27.8% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. A small sample — fewer than 30 runners, so read the count before the percentage.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).