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Trainer profile

K W Lui

146 runners in the last 5 seasons · 64 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 18 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2026→)
from 1 Jan 2022
8–146
Wins / Runs
5.5%
Strike rate
n=146
47 (32%)
Placed
0.87
Fair A/E
n=75 · 0.71 incl. margin
−28.60
£1 level stake
n=75 at SP · −38.1%
£2.03m
Prize money (window)
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them. Horses in first-time headgear strike at 8% (36 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 146 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026
The read

It is weakest at Happy Valley (2.3% over 44 runners) — the widest gap in the record. The yard also reads well in Class 4 (8.8%, n=34). The record reads poorly on Good to Firm going — 1.8% over 57 runners, 3.7pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.8%−2.7
n=36 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.5
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
6.6%+1.1
n=61 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −28.40
First-time headgear · true-first definition
8.3%+2.8
n=36 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −12.10
When favourite
33.3%
n=3 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −1.30
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−5.5
n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.5
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good to Firm going 1.8% vs 5.5% · n=57
With C Y Ho 9.1% vs 5.5% · n=33
At Happy Valley 2.3% vs 5.5% · n=44
In Class 4 8.8% vs 5.5% · n=34
Over 1m – 1m1f 2.7% vs 5.5% · n=37
With first-time headgear 8.3% vs 5.5% · n=36
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 65 3 4.6% −29.30
Good to Firm 57 1 1.8% −16.00
Good to Soft 17 4 23.5% +21.70
Standard (AW) 5 0 0% −3.00
Soft 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Sha Tin 102 7 6.9% −5.60
Happy Valley 44 1 2.3% −23.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 34 3 8.8% +2.70
Class 3 17 1 5.9% −11.00
Class 1 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 5 8 0 0% −6.00
Class 2 6 1 16.7% −0.10

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 1 33.3% 0.93 −1.30
2nd–3rd fav 12 2 16.7% 1.14 −0.30
4th–6th fav 30 1 3.3% 0.45 −17.00
7th+ in betting 30 1 3.3% 1.39 −10.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Superb Guy (AUS) 5 0 1 4 Oct 26
Next Fortune (AUS) 4 0 1 4 Oct 26
Copartner Prance (AUS) 4 0 2 27 Sep 26
Forever Fancy (GB) 4 0 2 27 Sep 26
Turquoise Velocity (AUS) 4 0 3 27 Sep 26
King Miles (AUS) 4 0 0 23 Sep 26
Gazeley (GB)from Ollie Sangster 4 0 1 23 Sep 26
Superb King (AUS) 4 0 2 23 Sep 26
Chancheng Sparkle (USA) 4 0 1 23 Sep 26
Chancheng Glory (USA) 3 0 0 4 Oct 26
King Dance (USA) 3 0 0 4 Oct 26
Copartner Fleet (AUS) 3 0 0 4 Oct 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 64 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 57 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
····096·60··
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderC Y Ho
23% of all rides
9.1% SR · A/E 0.98
RiderRWSR£1
C Y Ho 33 3 9.1% −11.10
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2026→
8
Archived wins
£2.03m
Prize money
2026
Best season · 8 wins
Hot Delight (AUS) — Hong Kong Jockey Club Scholarships Handicap (Course C) (Turf) Sha Tin (HK) · Jun 2026 · Class 2
£151,611
Baby Sakura (AUS) — Cotton Tree Handicap Sha Tin (HK) · Sep 2026
£150,005
Baby Sakura (AUS) — Owl Handicap (Course C+3 (Turf) Sha Tin (HK) · Jun 2026 · Class 3
£99,295
Notable horses
Baby Sakura (AUS) Graceful Heart (AUS) Almighty Warrior (IRE) Superb Spirit (AUS) Mighty Steed (NZ) Hot Delight (AUS)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Zoustar (AUS) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10.8% of 2,739 runs since 2008 (313 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.3% from 329. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 3.6% from 193.
Written Tycoon (AUS) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 11.4% of 35 runs since 2008 (17 horses).
Magna Grecia (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 7.7% of 1,473 runs since 2008 (170 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.4% from 169.
Time Test (GB) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 10.8% of 3,109 runs since 2008 (337 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 5.9% from 324. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.7% from 313.
Ardrossan (AUS) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.1% of 18 runs since 2008 (8 horses). A small sample.
Churchill (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11% of 4,793 runs since 2008 (459 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 146 · newest first

The latest 50 of 146 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 May 2026 to 4 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Gold Patch (NZ)J: Vincent C. Y. Ho Yau Kom Tau Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 10th —
04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) King Dance (USA)J: Vincent C. Y. Ho Shek Wai Kok Handicap8f · Standard · 11 ran 4th —
04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Next Fortune (AUS)J: Vincent C. Y. Ho Sham Tseng Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 13th —
04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Copartner Fleet (AUS)J: Jerry Chau The Yan Chai Trophy (Handicap)7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 4th —
04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Superb Guy (AUS)J: Zac Purton Lo Wai Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 6th —
04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Chancheng Glory (USA)J: Jerry Chau Muk Min Ha Handicap8f · Standard · 8 ran 8th —
04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Copartner A I (AUS)J: Vincent C. Y. Ho Kwok Shui Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 3rd —
01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Superb Spirit (AUS)J: Zac Purton Tianjin Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 3rd —
01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Hot Delight (AUS)J: Vincent C. Y. Ho Beijing Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 2nd —
01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Almighty Warrior (IRE)J: Zac Purton Chongqing Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 13th —
01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Spirited Steed (AUS)J: Zac Purton Chongqing Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 10th —
01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Chill Partners (AUS)J: M L Yeung Chengdu Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 3rd —
27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Turquoise Velocity (AUS)J: Karis Teetan Magpie Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 2nd —
27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Amazing Partners (AUS)J: Vincent C. Y. Ho Mesia Handicap8f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 2nd —
27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Patch Of Theta (AUS)J: Vincent C. Y. Ho The Celebration Cup (Handicap)7f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 7th —
27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Copartner Prance (AUS)J: M L Yeung The Celebration Cup (Handicap)7f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 4th —
27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Harold Win (NZ)J: Jerry Chau Tailorbird Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 7th —
27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Forever Fancy (GB)J: Vincent C. Y. Ho Woodpecker Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 3rd —
27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Soo Koo (AUS)J: Richard Kingscote Peacock Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 11th —
23 Sep 26 Happy Valley (HK) Fivefortwo (GB)J: Jerry Chau Tai Hang Handicap9f · Good · 12 ran 2nd —

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is K W Lui's strike rate?
K W Lui has won 8 of 146 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.5% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does K W Lui do best at?
Sha Tin by strike rate: 7 wins from 102 runners (6.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is K W Lui's Fair A/E?
0.87, from 75 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).