What is Jerry Chau's strike rate?

Jerry Chau has won 15 of 160 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jerry Chau do best at?

Happy Valley by strike rate: 6 wins from 60 rides (10%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Jerry Chau's Fair A/E?

1.59, from 73 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Jerry Chau

160 rides in the last 5 seasons · 121 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 33 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2026→)

from 1 Jan 2022

15–160

Wins / Runs

9.4%

Strike rate

n=160

44 (28%)

Placed

1.59

Fair A/E

n=73 · 1.31 incl. margin

+61.15

£1 level stake

n=73 at SP · +83.8%

£2.41m

Prize money (window)

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them.

Deterministic profile computed from 160 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 9.8%

The read

First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 9.1% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.59 and +66.40 to a £1 stake over 121 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The rider also reads well over 1m – 1m1f (13%, n=46). The market has also underrated the rider on Good going: Fair A/E 1.88 across 73 rides (12.3% strike, +81.60 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly in Class 4 — 2.8% over 36 rides, 6.6pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the The Lion Rock Trophy at Sha Tin (HK) (May 2026, £224,214).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

9.1%−0.3

n=121 · A/E 1.59 · £1 +66.40

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

18.2%+8.8

n=11 · A/E 2.68 · £1 −0.25

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

9.8%+0.4

n=41 · A/E 2.09 · £1 −2.00

When favourite

60%

n=5 · A/E 2.32 · £1 +4.55

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

9%−0.4

n=145 · A/E 1.41 · £1 +21.15

Big fields · 14+ runners

9.2%−0.2

n=65 · A/E 1.93 · £1 −11.65

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

33.3%+23.9

n=3 · A/E 10.66 · £1 +40.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Class 4 2.8% vs 9.4% · n=36

With first-time headgear 15% vs 9.4% · n=40

Over 1m – 1m1f 13% vs 9.4% · n=46

On Good going 12.3% vs 9.4% · n=73

Over 6f – 7f 6.7% vs 9.4% · n=89

On Good to Firm going 7.4% vs 9.4% · n=68

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 73 9 12.3% +81.60

Good to Firm 68 5 7.4% −12.20

Good to Soft 11 1 9.1% −4.25

Standard (AW) 7 0 0% −3.00

Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Sha Tin 95 8 8.4% +77.35

Happy Valley 60 6 10% −16.20

Ascot 5 1 20% +0.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 36 1 2.8% −29.20

Class 3 26 5 19.2% +55.55

Class 5 12 2 16.7% −1.20

Class 2 6 1 16.7% +0.00

Class 1 3 1 33.3% +40.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 7 4 57.1% 2.24 +6.35

2nd–3rd fav 9 3 33.3% 2.19 +4.80

4th–6th fav 21 0 0% 0.00 −21.00

7th+ in betting 36 2 5.6% 1.95 +71.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Romantic Laos (NZ) 3 0 0 1 Oct 26

Chill Easy (GB) 3 2 2 1 Oct 26

Friends Of Shajing (GB) 3 0 1 23 Sep 26

Victor The Rapid (IRE) 3 0 0 16 Sep 26

Embraces (NZ) 3 0 1 16 Sep 26

The Perfect Match (NZ) 3 1 1 9 Sep 26

Superb Kid (AUS) 3 0 0 8 Jul 26

Chancheng Sparkle (USA) 3 0 1 4 Jul 26

Glittering Legend (GB) 2 0 1 4 Oct 26

Helene Supafeeling (IRE) 2 0 0 4 Oct 26

Polar Patch (AUS) 2 0 0 4 Oct 26

Jin Sheng (AUS) 2 0 0 4 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 121 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

····1910720110··

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

TrainerRWSR£1

David Eustace 22 4 18.2% +34.80

K W Lui 20 0 0% −9.00

Mark Newnham 13 1 7.7% −0.20

W K Mo 12 1 8.3% −4.00

K L Man 11 1 9.1% −7.00

Y S Tsui 11 1 9.1% −2.00

C S Shum 9 3 33.3% +62.00

P F Yiu 8 2 25% +2.75

C H Yip 8 0 0% −5.00

C W Chang 8 0 0% −2.00

Brett Crawford 7 0 0% −3.00

F C Lor 7 0 0% −2.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2026→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.41m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 15 wins

Light Years Charm (AUS) — The Lion Rock Trophy (Course B) (Handicap) (Turf) Sha Tin (HK) · May 2026 · Group 3

£224,214

Call Me Magnifique (AUS) — Lapis Lazuli Handicap (Course A) (Turf) Sha Tin (HK) · Jun 2026 · Class 3

£109,438

Without Compare (AUS) — Violet Hill Handicap (Course C) (Turf) Happy Valley (HK) · Jun 2026 · Class 3

£109,438

Notable horses

Chill Easy (GB) The Perfect Match (NZ) Light Years Charm (AUS) Ace (NZ) Akermanis Gold (AUS) Vigor Elleegant (AUS)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Capitalist (AUS) 16.7% · 1–6

Progeny have won 8.5% of 82 runs since 2023 (35 horses).

Toronado (IRE) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,906 runs since 2018 (417 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.5% from 199. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.3% from 144.

Deep Field (AUS) 25% · 1–4

Progeny have won 8.6% of 105 runs since 2026 (41 horses).

Night Of Thunder (IRE) 50% · 2–4

Progeny have won 16.3% of 5,107 runs since 2019 (563 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.9% from 160.

Russian Revolution (AUS) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 7.1% of 14 runs since 2026 (8 horses). A small sample.

Anders (AUS) 0% · 0–3

Progeny have won 8.3% of 12 runs since 2026 (5 horses). A small sample.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 160 · newest first

The latest 50 of 160 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 27 May 2026 to 4 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Helene Supafeeling (IRE)T: David Eustace Yau Kom Tau Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 4th —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Jin Sheng (AUS)T: K L Man Shing Mun Handicap5f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 5th —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Stormi (IRE)T: W K Mo Shek Wai Kok Handicap8f · Standard · 11 ran 9th —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Glittering Legend (GB)T: David Eustace The Chinese Recreation Club Challenge Cup (Handicap)9f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 8th —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Polar Patch (AUS)T: Mark Newnham Sham Tseng Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 6th —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Copartner Fleet (AUS)T: K W Lui The Yan Chai Trophy (Handicap)7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 4th —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) My Flying Angel (AUS)T: F C Lor Lo Wai Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 7th —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Chancheng Glory (USA)T: K W Lui Muk Min Ha Handicap8f · Standard · 8 ran 8th —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Lean Era (AUS)T: David Eustace Kwok Shui Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 13th —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Swagger Bro (AUS)T: Jamie Richards Chai Wan Kok Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 9th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Chill Buddy (AUS)T: P F Yiu Tianjin Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 2nd —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Chill Easy (GB)T: P F Yiu Beijing Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 6th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Oldtown (NZ)T: Mark Newnham Chongqing Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 7th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Joker Orbit (AUS)T: C S Shum Chongqing Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 6th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Romantic Laos (NZ)T: C W Chang Jinan Handicap9f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 4th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Handsome Hero (AUS)T: Brett Crawford Hangzhou Handicap5f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 3rd —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Joy Together (AUS)T: C W Chang Chengdu Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 11th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Beauty Waves (IRE)T: A S Cruz The National Day Cup (Handicap)5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Fortune Kingo (AUS)T: Douglas Whyte Shenyang Handicap8f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 2nd —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Flash Star (NZ)T: C S Shum Nanning Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 8th —

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jerry Chau's strike rate?: Jerry Chau has won 15 of 160 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jerry Chau do best at?: Happy Valley by strike rate: 6 wins from 60 rides (10%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Jerry Chau's Fair A/E?: 1.59, from 73 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.