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Jockey profile

Luke Ferraris

110 rides in the last 5 seasons · 86 individual horses
As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 41 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2026→)
from 1 Jan 2022
8–110
Wins / Runs
7.3%
Strike rate
n=110
24 (22%)
Placed
1.02
Fair A/E
n=42 · 0.84 incl. margin
+8.20
£1 level stake
n=42 at SP · +19.5%
£1.24m
Prize money (window)
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 20 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them.

Deterministic profile computed from 110 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 14 Nov 2026
The read

The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 3.1% over 32 rides, 4.2pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 0.59 across 62 rides (8.1% strike, −19.30 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
7%−0.3
n=86 · A/E 0.98 · £1 +14.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
8.3%+1.0
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
6.7%−0.6
n=30 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
100%
n=1 · A/E 3.33 · £1 +1.70
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
0%−7.3
n=2 · A/E — · £1 —
Big fields · 14+ runners
6.1%−1.2
n=49 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With debutants 2.9% vs 7.3% · n=34
Over 1m – 1m1f 3.1% vs 7.3% · n=32
On Good to Firm going 9.6% vs 7.3% · n=52
On Good going 5.1% vs 7.3% · n=39
At Sha Tin 6.3% vs 7.3% · n=63 · A/E 0.00
Over 6f – 7f 8.1% vs 7.3% · n=62 · A/E 0.59
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Firm 52 5 9.6% −5.50
Good 39 2 5.1% −14.30
Good to Soft 10 1 10% +30.00
Standard (AW) 9 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Sha Tin 63 4 6.3% −18.00
Happy Valley 42 3 7.1% +21.70
Ascot 5 1 20% +4.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 21 1 4.8% −15.30
Class 3 12 0 0% −7.00
Class 5 7 0 0% −5.00
Class 2 4 1 25% +5.50
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 1 100% 3.33 +1.70
2nd–3rd fav 9 0 0% 0.00 −9.00
4th–6th fav 8 1 12.5% 1.88 +1.50
7th+ in betting 24 1 4.2% 1.28 +14.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Rattan Galaxy (NZ) 3 1 2 4 Oct 26
Supreme Mastermind (AUS) 3 0 1 1 Oct 26
Lucky Doctor (AUS) 3 0 0 27 Sep 26
Young Emperor (IRE) 3 0 1 23 Sep 26
Conghua Galaxy (AUS) 2 0 1 4 Oct 26
Hailtothevictors (FR) 2 0 0 4 Oct 26
Light Years Glory (IRE) 2 1 1 1 Oct 26
Hero Mastermind (NZ) 2 0 0 27 Sep 26
Casa Rochester (NZ) 2 0 0 23 Sep 26
Winning Money (AUS) 2 0 1 16 Sep 26
Runjeet (AUS) 2 0 0 16 Sep 26
Solar River (AUS) 2 0 1 9 Sep 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 86 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
····05420118··
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
M Newnham 21 1 4.8% −9.00
David Eustace 14 1 7.1% −5.00
K W Lui 11 0 0% −7.00
C Fownes 10 1 10% —
K L Man 7 2 28.6% −1.00
F C Lor 7 0 0% −5.00
W K Mo 6 1 16.7% −0.30
Douglas Whyte 6 0 0% −2.00
P C Ng 5 0 0% −2.00
David A Hayes 5 0 0% —
A S Cruz 3 1 33.3% +37.00
Brett Crawford 3 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2026→
8
Archived wins
£1.24m
Prize money
2026
Best season · 8 wins
Invincible Ibis (AUS) — The Celebration Cup (Handicap) Sha Tin (HK) · Sep 2026
£338,722
Bunta Baby (AUS) — Yau Kom Tau Handicap Sha Tin (HK) · Oct 2026
£150,005
Light Years Glory (IRE) — Edinburgh Handicap Sha Tin (HK) · Sep 2026
£94,359
Notable horses
Rattan Galaxy (NZ) Meowth (AUS) Shamz (AUS) Light Years Glory (IRE) Dancing In Paris (FR) Jumbo Blessing (AUS)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Exceed And Excel (AUS) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,039 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
The Autumn Sun (AUS) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 18.5% of 27 runs since 2026 (11 horses). A small sample.
Almanzor (FR) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,131 runs since 2021 (283 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.2% from 154. Weakest on Heavy going: 5.2% from 153. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.9% from 310.
Artie Schiller (USA) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 6.2% of 145 runs since 2011 (15 horses).
Deep Field (AUS) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 8.6% of 105 runs since 2026 (41 horses).
Fastnet Rock (AUS) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 12.1% of 5,487 runs since 2013 (557 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 110 · newest first

The latest 50 of 110 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 27 May 2026 to 4 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Bunta Baby (AUS)T: K L Man Yau Kom Tau Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 1st —
04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Conghua Galaxy (AUS)T: Brett Crawford Shing Mun Handicap5f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 9th —
04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Corleone (AUS)T: C Fownes Shek Wai Kok Handicap8f · Standard · 11 ran 10th —
04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Pegasus Elite (AUS)T: Mark Newnham The Yan Chai Trophy (Handicap)7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 10th —
04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Perfect Team (AUS)T: C Fownes Sha Tsui Handicap8f · Standard · 13 ran 8th —
04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Rattan Galaxy (NZ)T: K L Man Lo Wai Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 12th —
04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Hailtothevictors (FR)T: David Eustace Chai Wan Kok Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 6th —
01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Golden Triumph (AUS)T: David Eustace Chongqing Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 5th —
01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Light Years Glory (IRE)T: David Eustace Chongqing Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 4th —
01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Supreme Mastermind (AUS)T: Mark Newnham Jinan Handicap9f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 3rd —
01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Champ's Domain (NZ)T: W Y So Hangzhou Handicap5f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 13th —
01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Pearl Of Pang's (NZ)T: K L Man Shenyang Handicap8f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 14th —
01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Super Strong Kid (AUS)T: K L Man Shanghai Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 6th —
27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Violet Star (FR)T: Douglas Whyte Mesia Handicap8f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 12th —
27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Invincible Ibis (AUS)T: Mark Newnham The Celebration Cup (Handicap)7f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 1st —
27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Mighty Commander (AUS)T: C Fownes Hwamei Handicap6f · Standard · 12 ran 7th —
27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Lucky Doctor (AUS)T: P C Ng Swallow Handicap6f · Standard · 12 ran 6th —
27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Hero Mastermind (NZ)T: Mark Newnham Parrot Handicap5f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 10th —
27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Stormy Knight (AUS)T: David A Hayes Woodpecker Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 13th —
27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Daily Fun (AUS)T: F C Lor Peacock Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 8th —

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Luke Ferraris's strike rate?
Luke Ferraris has won 8 of 110 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Luke Ferraris do best at?
Happy Valley by strike rate: 3 wins from 42 rides (7.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Luke Ferraris's Fair A/E?
1.02, from 42 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 14 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).