James Orman
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 20 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them. The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 12% off breaks of two months or more (34 runs).
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 11.8% (n=34, Fair A/E 0.00). The rider also reads well off a 61-180-day break (13.3%, n=30) and on Good to Firm going (11.9%, n=42). The record reads poorly on Good going — 3.8% over 52 rides, 3.6pts below the baseline.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2026→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 121 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 121 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 27 May 2026 to 4 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is James Orman's strike rate?
- James Orman has won 9 of 121 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does James Orman do best at?
- Sha Tin by strike rate: 7 wins from 85 rides (8.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- What is James Orman's Fair A/E?
- 0.51, from 51 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.