What is Kevin Tavares's strike rate?

Kevin Tavares has won 8 of 79 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Is Kevin Tavares in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Kevin Tavares's Fair A/E?

0.79, from 79 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Kevin Tavares

79 runners in the last 5 seasons · 40 individual horses

As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)

from 1 Jan 2022

8–79

Wins / Runs

10.1%

Strike rate

n=79

24 (30%)

Placed

0.79

Fair A/E

n=79 · 0.64 incl. margin

−40.02

£1 level stake

n=79 at SP · −50.7%

£191k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.9%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.7%−3.4

n=15 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −12.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

25%+14.9

n=4 · A/E 2.33 · £1 −1.00

Debutants · first career start

14.3%+4.2

n=35 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −5.02

First-time headgear · true-first definition

12.9%+2.8

n=31 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −3.52

When favourite

33.3%

n=9 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −1.50

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

25%+14.9

n=4 · A/E 1.81 · £1 −1.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−10.1

n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With debutants 14.3% vs 10.1% · n=35

With A Werle 6.7% vs 10.1% · n=30

With a new jockey booking 12.5% vs 10.1% · n=56

With first-time headgear 12.9% vs 10.1% · n=31

In Flat races 10.3% vs 10.1% · n=68 · A/E 0.80

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 68 7 10.3% −33.02

Hurdle 8 0 0% −8.00

Chase 3 1 33.3% +1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Soft 22 3 13.6% −13.25

Good 22 3 13.6% −8.77

Soft 20 1 5% −16.00

Standard (AW) 8 1 12.5% +5.00

Heavy 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Toulouse (FR) 13 1 7.7% −11.00

Chantilly (FR) 10 2 20% +9.90

Mont-De-Marsan (FR) 9 1 11.1% −6.50

Dax (FR) 6 1 16.7% −1.67

Saint-Cloud (FR) 6 2 33.3% +0.25

Deauville (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00

Longchamp (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 4 1 25% +0.00

Auteuil (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Vichy (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Compiegne (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

La Teste De Buch (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Craon (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 8 0 0% −8.00

Class 2 6 0 0% −6.00

Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 9 3 33.3% 0.98 −1.50

2nd–3rd fav 29 4 13.8% 0.83 −10.52

4th–6th fav 19 0 0% 0.00 −19.00

7th+ in betting 22 1 4.5% 1.17 −9.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Komet Chop (FR) 5 0 1 16 Oct 26

Misses Lily (FR) 5 0 1 30 Sep 26

Square Du Croisic (FR) 4 0 0 16 Oct 26

Sevensix (IRE) 4 1 2 23 Sep 26

Joukovka (FR)then M Boutin 4 0 0 21 Jan 25

Canena (FR)from S Wattel 3 0 1 4 Oct 26

Oblinskha (FR) 3 1 1 23 Sep 26

Laugh Is Enough (FR) 3 0 2 4 Sep 26

General Chop (FR)then C Gourdain 3 0 2 31 Oct 25

Equuleus (FR) 2 1 1 27 Oct 26

Forest Du Pecos (FR) 2 1 1 20 Oct 26

Meris Chop (FR) 2 0 0 3 Oct 26

All 40 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 40 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 36 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for C Boutin (2); 30 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 4

Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

01000670014951100

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderA Werle

38% of all rides
6.7% SR · A/E 0.60

RiderRWSR£1

A Werle 30 2 6.7% −24.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→

Archived wins

£214k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 7 wins

Focosa Du Pecos (FR) — Poule D'essai A 37,5% Mont-De-Marsan (FR) · Aug 2026

£18,999

Forest Du Pecos (FR) — Prix Jean Des Roches De Chassay Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) · Oct 2026

£17,020

Equuleus (FR) — Prix du Parc Laversin (Conditions) (All Weather) (Colts & Geldings) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Feb 2026

£10,739

Notable horses

Sevensix (IRE) Oblinskha (FR) Equuleus (FR) French Chunky (FR) Forest Du Pecos (FR) Dorianello (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Gutaifan (IRE) 0% · 0–12

Progeny have won 8.9% of 3,759 runs since 2008 (302 horses).

Zelzal (FR) 28.6% · 2–7

Progeny have won 9.5% of 1,698 runs since 2008 (240 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.5% from 103.

Muhaarar (GB) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 11.6% of 4,800 runs since 2008 (413 horses).

Born To Sea (IRE) 25% · 1–4

Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,283 runs since 2008 (311 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.1% from 968. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.4% from 865. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.8% from 724.

Fas (IRE) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 7.5% of 199 runs since 2008 (27 horses).

Kodi Bear (IRE) 25% · 1–4

Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,959 runs since 2008 (387 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.3% from 259.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 84 · newest first

The latest 50 of 84 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 26 May 2020 to 27 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

27 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Equuleus (FR)J: Antoine Werle Prix D'aubigny9.5f · Standard · 6 ran 3rd 25/1

20 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Forest Du Pecos (FR)J: Kilian Dubourg Prix Jean Des Roches De Chassay21f · Soft · 7 ran 1st 3/1

16 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Square Du Croisic (FR)J: Antoine Werle Prix De La Ville De Saint-orens12f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 28/1

16 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Komet Chop (FR)J: Antoine Werle Prix De La Ville De Balma8f · Soft · 13 ran 10th 8/1

04 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Canena (FR)J: Antoine Werle Qatar Prix du Festival des NationsClass 2 · 7f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 6th 50/1

03 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Meris Chop (FR)J: Sacha Bouche Prix De L'association Des Amis Du Musee Du Cheval MilitaireClass 4 · 18f · Heavy · 8 ran 4th 6/4F

02 Oct 26 Dax (FR) Mayra Du Pecos (FR)J: Sacha Bouche Prix Du Sablar17.5f · Soft · 8 ran 2nd 9/2

02 Oct 26 Dax (FR) Askam Chope (FR)J: Fabrice Veron Prix Des Trois CouronnesClass 2 · 7f · Soft · 7 ran 4th 11/2

30 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Blue Angel (FR)J: Antoine Werle Prix Du Minotaure10f · Good · 10 ran 7th 6/1

30 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Katana (FR)J: Alejandro Gutierrez Val Prix Du Minotaure10f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 7/1

30 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Misses Lily (FR)J: Antoine Werle Prix Sharaaf8f · Good · 12 ran 6th 14/1

23 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Frenesie Du Pecos (FR)J: Antoine Werle Prix Thalian10.5f · Good · 8 ran UR 4/7F

23 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Faust Du Pecos (FR)J: Antoine Werle Prix Du Bas Armagnac10.5f · Good · 15 ran 8th 20/1

23 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Square Du Croisic (FR)J: Antoine Werle Prix Young Tiger12f · Good · 14 ran 5th 18/1

23 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Oblinskha (FR)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix Georges Sicard7f · Good · 10 ran 1st 1/1F

23 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Sevensix (IRE)J: C. Soumillon Prix De La Montignette6f · Good · 10 ran 10th 3/1

12 Sep 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Sevensix (IRE)J: Alejandro Gutierrez Val Prix Club Pilates Le Bouscat - Prix Jean CruseClass 2 · 6f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 3rd 12/1

12 Sep 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Bizanz (FR)J: Alejandro Gutierrez Val Prix Didier Vezia8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 10th 22/1

12 Sep 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Blue Angel (FR)J: Antoine Werle Prix Didier Vezia8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 8th 12/1

11 Sep 26 Le Mans (FR) Misses Lily (FR)J: Hugo Mouesan Prix De La Societe Des Courses De La Chartre-sur-le-loir9.5f · Soft · 12 ran 9th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Kevin Tavares's strike rate?: Kevin Tavares has won 8 of 79 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Kevin Tavares in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Kevin Tavares's Fair A/E?: 0.79, from 79 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.