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Trainer profile

Kevin Tavares

87 runners in the lifetime window · 43 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 5 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
10–87
Wins / Runs
11.5%
Strike rate
n=87
28 (32%)
Placed
0.92
Fair A/E
n=87 · 0.74 incl. margin
−41.22
£1 level stake
n=87 at SP · −47.4%
£232k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
12.9%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6.7%−4.8
n=15 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −12.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
25%+13.5
n=4 · A/E 2.33 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
15.4%+3.9
n=39 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −6.22
First-time headgear · true-first definition
13.9%+2.4
n=36 · A/E 1.29 · £1 −6.02
When favourite
45.5%
n=11 · A/E 1.40 · £1 +3.30
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
20%+8.5
n=5 · A/E 1.66 · £1 −2.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−11.5
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With A Werle 6.5% vs 11.5% · n=31
With debutants 15.4% vs 11.5% · n=39
With a new jockey booking 14.3% vs 11.5% · n=63
With first-time headgear 13.9% vs 11.5% · n=36
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 73 9 12.3% −31.22
Hurdle 11 0 0% −11.00
Chase 3 1 33.3% +1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 24 1 4.2% −20.00
Good 23 4 17.4% −6.97
Good to Soft 22 3 13.6% −13.25
Standard (AW) 11 2 18.2% +6.00
Heavy 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Toulouse (FR) 14 1 7.1% −12.00
Chantilly (FR) 10 2 20% +9.90
Mont-De-Marsan (FR) 9 1 11.1% −6.50
Deauville (FR) 9 1 11.1% −5.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 7 3 42.9% +2.05
Dax (FR) 6 1 16.7% −1.67
Longchamp (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00
Auteuil (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Compiegne (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 4 1 25% +0.00
La Teste De Buch (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Vichy (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Pau (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Craon (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 10 0 0% −10.00
Class 2 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 11 5 45.5% 1.40 +3.30
2nd–3rd fav 30 4 13.3% 0.81 −11.52
4th–6th fav 20 0 0% 0.00 −20.00
7th+ in betting 26 1 3.8% 1.01 −13.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Komet Chop (FR) 6 1 2 3 Nov 26
Square Du Croisic (FR) 5 0 0 7 Nov 26
Misses Lily (FR) 5 0 1 30 Sep 26
Sevensix (IRE) 4 1 2 23 Sep 26
Joukovka (FR)then M Boutin 4 0 0 21 Jan 25
Askam Chope (FR) 3 0 0 31 Oct 26
Canena (FR)from S Wattel 3 0 1 4 Oct 26
Oblinskha (FR) 3 1 1 23 Sep 26
Laugh Is Enough (FR) 3 0 2 4 Sep 26
General Chop (FR)then C Gourdain 3 0 2 31 Oct 25
Start In Front (FR)then Rebecca Menzies 3 0 1 16 May 22
Equuleus (FR) 2 1 1 27 Oct 26
All 43 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 43 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 39 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for C Boutin (2); 31 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
010006700149910170
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderA Werle
36% of all rides
6.5% SR · A/E 0.60
RiderRWSR£1
A Werle 31 2 6.5% −25.25
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→
10
Archived wins
£232k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 8 wins
Focosa Du Pecos (FR) — Poule D'essai A 37,5% Mont-De-Marsan (FR) · Aug 2026
£18,999
Forest Du Pecos (FR) — Prix Jean Des Roches De Chassay Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) · Oct 2026
£17,020
Equuleus (FR) — Prix du Parc Laversin (Conditions) (All Weather) (Colts & Geldings) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Feb 2026
£10,739
Notable horses
Komet Chop (FR) Sevensix (IRE) Oblinskha (FR) Equuleus (FR) French Chunky (FR) Forest Du Pecos (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Gutaifan (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 8.9% of 3,772 runs since 2019 (303 horses).
Muhaarar (GB) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,836 runs since 2019 (415 horses).
Zelzal (FR) 28.6% · 2–7
Progeny have won 9.5% of 1,751 runs since 2021 (242 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.5% from 110.
Romanised (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 8.6% of 660 runs since 2024 (115 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 12.3% from 227. Weakest on Soft going: 5.3% from 151.
Born To Sea (IRE) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 9% of 4,301 runs since 2016 (313 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12% from 977. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.4% from 868. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.8% from 725.
Fas (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 7.5% of 212 runs since 2023 (27 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 87 · newest first

The latest 50 of 87 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 26 May 2020 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
07 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Square Du Croisic (FR)J: Pierre Remoue Prix Du Pont D'ouilly12.5f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 16/1
03 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Komet Chop (FR)J: Cesar Belmont Prix Geoff Lewis (Chmpt Paris Turf Des Apprentis & Jeunes Jockeys)9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 3/1F
31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Askam Chope (FR)J: Antoine Werle Prix ZeddaanClass 1 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 33/1
27 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Equuleus (FR)J: Antoine Werle Prix D'aubigny9.5f · Standard · 6 ran 3rd 25/1
20 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Forest Du Pecos (FR)J: Kilian Dubourg Prix Jean Des Roches De Chassay21f · Soft · 7 ran 1st 3/1
16 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Square Du Croisic (FR)J: Antoine Werle Prix De La Ville De Saint-orens12f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 28/1
16 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Komet Chop (FR)J: Antoine Werle Prix De La Ville De Balma8f · Soft · 13 ran 10th 8/1
04 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Canena (FR)J: Antoine Werle Qatar Prix du Festival des NationsClass 2 · 7f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 6th 50/1
03 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Meris Chop (FR)J: Sacha Bouche Prix De L'association Des Amis Du Musee Du Cheval MilitaireClass 4 · 18f · Heavy · 8 ran 4th 6/4F
02 Oct 26 Dax (FR) Mayra Du Pecos (FR)J: Sacha Bouche Prix Du Sablar17.5f · Soft · 8 ran 2nd 9/2
02 Oct 26 Dax (FR) Askam Chope (FR)J: Fabrice Veron Prix Des Trois CouronnesClass 2 · 7f · Soft · 7 ran 4th 11/2
30 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Blue Angel (FR)J: Antoine Werle Prix Du Minotaure10f · Good · 10 ran 7th 6/1
30 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Katana (FR)J: Alejandro Gutierrez Val Prix Du Minotaure10f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 7/1
30 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Misses Lily (FR)J: Antoine Werle Prix Sharaaf8f · Good · 12 ran 6th 14/1
23 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Frenesie Du Pecos (FR)J: Antoine Werle Prix Thalian10.5f · Good · 8 ran UR 4/7F
23 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Faust Du Pecos (FR)J: Antoine Werle Prix Du Bas Armagnac10.5f · Good · 15 ran 8th 20/1
23 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Square Du Croisic (FR)J: Antoine Werle Prix Young Tiger12f · Good · 14 ran 5th 18/1
23 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Oblinskha (FR)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix Georges Sicard7f · Good · 10 ran 1st 1/1F
23 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Sevensix (IRE)J: C. Soumillon Prix De La Montignette6f · Good · 10 ran 10th 3/1
12 Sep 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Sevensix (IRE)J: Alejandro Gutierrez Val Prix Club Pilates Le Bouscat - Prix Jean CruseClass 2 · 6f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 3rd 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Kevin Tavares's strike rate?
Kevin Tavares has won 10 of 87 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.5% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Kevin Tavares in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Kevin Tavares's Fair A/E?
0.92, from 87 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).