What is Antoine Werle's strike rate?

Antoine Werle has won 11 of 198 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Antoine Werle do best at?

Toulouse (FR) by strike rate: 2 wins from 35 rides (5.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Is Antoine Werle in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 10 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Antoine Werle's Fair A/E?

0.68, from 198 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Antoine Werle

198 rides in the last 5 seasons · 125 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 2 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)

from 1 Jan 2022

11–198

Wins / Runs

5.6%

Strike rate

n=198

39 (20%)

Placed

0.68

Fair A/E

n=198 · 0.54 incl. margin

−126.55

£1 level stake

n=198 at SP · −63.9%

£391k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.8%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 40 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.68). In big fields of 14 or more the record reads 7% (56 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 198 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 4 Nov 2026

The read

The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 5.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.71 and −80.15 to a £1 stake over 124 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 1.7% over 60 rides, 3.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.36 across 62 rides (3.2% strike, −48.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the UAE President Cup Series - Group 3 Pure Arabian Stakes at Newbury (Aug 2026, £85,065).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.6%+0.0

n=124 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −80.15

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

0%−5.6

n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

5.3%−0.3

n=38 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −26.30

When favourite

30%

n=10 · A/E 1.08 · £1 +1.50

Big fields · 14+ runners

7.1%+1.5

n=56 · A/E 1.27 · £1 −13.30

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−5.6

n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Over 6f – 7f 1.7% vs 5.6% · n=60

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 8.5% vs 5.6% · n=71

On Good going 2.4% vs 5.6% · n=41

With first-time headgear 2.4% vs 5.6% · n=41

Off a 15-30-day break 3.2% vs 5.6% · n=62

On Standard (AW) going 2.9% vs 5.6% · n=35

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Soft 57 4 7% −26.25

Soft 52 4 7.7% −27.00

Good 41 1 2.4% −34.40

Standard (AW) 35 1 2.9% −29.90

Heavy 12 0 0% −12.00

Good to Firm 1 1 100% +3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Toulouse (FR) 35 2 5.7% −11.00

La Teste De Buch (FR) 29 1 3.4% −22.00

Chantilly (FR) 20 0 0% −20.00

Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 18 1 5.6% −14.00

Saint-Cloud (FR) 16 1 6.3% −12.75

Longchamp (FR) 15 2 13.3% +1.60

Mont-De-Marsan (FR) 15 1 6.7% −12.50

Deauville (FR) 15 1 6.7% −9.90

Dax (FR) 12 0 0% −12.00

Vichy (FR) 7 1 14.3% −2.00

Tarbes (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Pau (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Lyon Parilly (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Nantes (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Moulins (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 26 1 3.8% −21.00

Class 1 16 1 6.3% −12.00

Class 3 16 1 6.3% −12.00

Class 2 8 0 0% −8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 11 4 36.4% 1.32 +3.50

2nd–3rd fav 41 5 12.2% 0.85 −15.05

4th–6th fav 56 1 1.8% 0.24 −46.00

7th+ in betting 90 1 1.1% 0.33 −69.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Sweet Chop (FR) 8 0 3 7 Aug 25

Perli Chope (FR) 7 0 1 5 Sep 26

Pas Dansant (FR) 5 1 2 28 Sep 26

Jaycle De Gree (FR) 5 2 2 8 Jul 26

Fleur D'aquitaine (FR) 4 0 1 2 Nov 26

Queen Lagertha (FR) 4 1 1 2 Nov 26

Ultrasound (FR) 4 0 2 20 Oct 26

Square Du Croisic (FR) 4 0 0 16 Oct 26

Komet Chop (FR) 4 0 1 16 Oct 26

Virimoon Etoile (FR) 4 0 2 9 Oct 26

Ambrosia De Vaige (FR) 4 0 0 21 Sep 26

Alexej (GB) 4 0 2 5 Apr 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 125 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 10

Only 10 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

000111004962011

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardK Tavares

16% of all rides
6.5% SR · A/E 0.60

TrainerRWSR£1

K Tavares 31 2 6.5% −25.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.21m

Prize money

2013

Best season · 14 wins

Eljas Du Bienn (A) — UAE President Cup Series - Group 3 Pure Arabian Stakes Newbury · Aug 2026 · Class 1

£85,065

Leonce (GER) — Grand Handicap de la Cote Fleurie (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2014

£27,417

Becquamis (FR) — Criterium de Vitesse () (2yo) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Oct 2016 · Listed

£23,897

Notable horses

Becquamis (FR) Jaycle De Gree (FR) Nuit D'Ete (GER) Leonce (GER) Harbour Of Hope (GER) Maybe River (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Muhaarar (GB) 7.7% · 1–13

Progeny have won 11.6% of 4,817 runs since 2019 (414 horses).

Gutaifan (IRE) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 8.9% of 3,762 runs since 2019 (302 horses).

Ultra (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8

Progeny have won 7.6% of 381 runs since 2021 (63 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 3.5% from 142.

Van Beethoven (CAN) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 7.8% of 128 runs since 2024 (32 horses).

Panis (USA) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,980 runs since 2008 (211 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.2% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 116.

Wooded (IRE) 14.3% · 1–7

Progeny have won 7.2% of 516 runs since 2024 (116 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 634 · newest first

The latest 50 of 634 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 December 2011 to 2 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

02 Nov 26 Nantes (FR) Queen Lagertha (FR)T: C Boutin Prix Des SablonnetsClass 2 · 8f · Heavy · 7 ran 3rd 14/1

02 Nov 26 Nantes (FR) Fleur D'aquitaine (FR)T: M Alonso Roldan Prix Go InterimClass 4 · 8f · Heavy · 15 ran 7th 8/1

01 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Salihah (FR)T: O Trigodet Prix Hayyan8f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 28/1

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Askam Chope (FR)T: Kevin Tavares Prix ZeddaanClass 1 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 33/1

29 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) As Maadin (UAE)T: Mme J-F Bernard Prix Jean Laborde7f · Heavy · 6 ran 4th 17/2

27 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Equuleus (FR)T: Kevin Tavares Prix D'aubigny9.5f · Standard · 6 ran 3rd 25/1

26 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Haussez (FR)T: Mme L Geay Prix Du Musee De L'aeroscopia10f · Soft · 12 ran 6th 33/1

26 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Garris (FR)T: C Pautier Prix De La Cite De L'espace6f · Soft · 13 ran 10th 11/2

26 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Dschingis Dream (FR)T: O Anaya Prix Du Museum De Toulouse12f · Soft · 9 ran 1st 2/1J

26 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Queen Lagertha (FR)T: C Boutin Prix De La Croix Occitane8f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 13/2

21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Alphabia (IRE)T: T Callejo-Solana Prix Du Pic D'ossau8f · Standard · 15 ran 13th 14/1

21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Madigan (GB)T: O Trigodet Prix De Saint-faust8f · Standard · 15 ran 8th 9/2

21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Af Qaseemah (FR)T: Mme J-F Bernard Prix Flipper10f · Standard · 15 ran 8th 11/2

21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Sky Amber Krf (FR)T: O Trigodet Prix Rmmas10f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 16/1

20 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Black Ultra (FR)T: O Trigodet Prix Jean-claude Guerin12f · Soft · 14 ran 5th 100/30F

20 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Nekoleto (FR)T: T Callejo-Solana Prix Du Commandant Bacque12f · Soft · 15 ran 6th 7/2F

20 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Ultrasound (FR)T: F Seguin Prix Philippe Du Vivier12f · Soft · 16 ran 12th 8/1

16 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Square Du Croisic (FR)T: Kevin Tavares Prix De La Ville De Saint-orens12f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 28/1

16 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Sarmad (FR)T: C Gourdain Coupe Des Poulains Et Des PoulichesClass 2 · 8f · Soft · 6 ran 2nd 8/1

16 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Otomai (IRE)T: Mme S Gavilan Prix De La Ville De BlagnacClass 3 · 7f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Antoine Werle's strike rate?: Antoine Werle has won 11 of 198 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Antoine Werle do best at?: Toulouse (FR) by strike rate: 2 wins from 35 rides (5.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Antoine Werle in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 10 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Antoine Werle's Fair A/E?: 0.68, from 198 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.