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Trainer profile

Lucinda Hughes

39 runners in the last 5 seasons · 4 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 6 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2022
6–39
Wins / Runs
15.4%
Strike rate
n=39
15 (39%)
Placed
1.16
n=39 · 1.02 incl. margin
−6.63
£1 level stake
n=39 at SP · −17.0%
£55,980
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
14.3%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 15.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
12.5%−2.9
n=8 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −6.33
New recruits · first run for the yard
50%+34.6
n=2 · A/E 1.41 · £1 −0.33
Debutants · first career start
0%−15.4
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−15.4
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
33.3%+17.9
n=3 · A/E 5.27 · £1 +12.00
When favourite
66.7%
n=3 · A/E 1.84 · £1 +1.67
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
25%+9.6
n=4 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −2.33

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 15.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 23 3 13% −3.33
Hurdle 13 2 15.4% −4.50
NH Flat 3 1 33.3% +1.20

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 19 3 15.8% −7.50
Good to Soft 9 0 0% −9.00
Soft 9 3 33.3% +11.87
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Sedgefield 7 2 28.6% +1.50
Carlisle 6 2 33.3% +12.00
Catterick 5 0 0% −5.00
Kelso 5 1 20% −3.33
Hexham 4 1 25% +0.20
Perth 2 0 0% −2.00
Wetherby 2 0 0% −2.00
Cartmel 2 0 0% −2.00
Doncaster 2 0 0% −2.00
Huntingdon 2 0 0% −2.00
Ayr 1 0 0% −1.00
Market Rasen 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 17 2 11.8% +1.00
Class 4 16 4 25% −1.63
Class 3 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 2 66.7% 1.84 +1.67
2nd–3rd fav 17 3 17.6% 1.10 −4.30
4th–6th fav 14 0 0% 0.00 −14.00
7th+ in betting 5 1 20% 4.04 +10.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
94.4% completed · 36 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 23 95.7% 0 0 1 0 0
Hurdle 13 92.3% 0 1 0 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Super Citizen (GB)from Eugene M O'Sullivan 22 3 11 20 Oct 26
Klitschko (GB)from Alan King 14 2 3 31 Oct 26
Myfriendcooper (IRE) 2 1 1 25 Mar 26
Maliko Des Pins (FR) 1 0 0 22 Oct 26
All 4 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 4 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 2 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
20060250····0250
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Brian Hughes 29 3 10.3% −6.00
Mr Nick Orpwood 3 1 33.3% −1.33
Jamie Hamilton 3 0 0% −3.00
Danny McMenamin 2 2 100% +5.70
Mr John Dawson 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr Paddy Barlow 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→
6
Archived wins
£55,980
Prize money
2025
Best season · 3 wins
Klitschko (GB) — Paxtons Equestrian Handicap Hurdle Sedgefield · Mar 2026 · Class 4
£4,066
Klitschko (GB) — Paul Renshaw 'Fatty' Handicap Hurdle Sedgefield · Mar 2025 · Class 4
£4,066
Super Citizen (GB) — Racing Blogger Handicap Chase Carlisle · Nov 2025 · Class 5
£3,961

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Multiplex (GB) 13.6% · 3–22
Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,181 runs since 2011 (291 horses).
Blue Bresil (FR) 14.3% · 2–14
Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,539 runs since 2013 (463 horses).
Valirann (FR) 50% · 1–2
Progeny have won 10.1% of 1,451 runs since 2018 (159 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7% from 345.
It's Gino (GER) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 13.7% of 973 runs since 2013 (130 horses). Strongest on Good going: 23.6% from 225. Weakest on Soft going: 10% from 311. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 16.8% from 143.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 39 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Lucinda Hughes's 39 archived runners, from 14 January 2024 to 31 October 2026, newest first — 6 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Oct 25 Sedgefield Klitschko (GB)J: Brian Hughes NE3 Limited Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 20f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 14/1
24 May 25 Cartmel Super Citizen (GB)J: Brian Hughes Injured Jockeys Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 25.5f · Good · 12 ran 5th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 18 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 22 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Lucinda Hughes's strike rate?
Lucinda Hughes has won 6 of 39 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 15.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Lucinda Hughes in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Lucinda Hughes's Fair A/E?
1.16, from 39 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).