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Jockey profile

Mr Nick Orpwood

35 rides in the last 5 seasons · 23 individual horses
As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 188 days ago 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
6–35
Wins / Runs
17.1%
Strike rate
n=35
11 (31%)
Placed
1.25
Fair A/E
n=35 · 1.11 incl. margin
+2.88
£1 level stake
n=35 at SP · +8.2%
£36,836
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Claiming: 17.6%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 17.1% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
19%+1.9
n=21 · A/E 1.40 · £1 +12.67
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
28.6%+11.5
n=7 · A/E 1.52 · £1 −2.17
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
23.5%+6.4
n=17 · A/E 1.53 · £1 +11.88
When favourite
80%
n=5 · A/E 2.00 · £1 +3.88
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
17.6%+0.5
n=34 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +3.88
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−17.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 17.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 33 6 18.2% +4.88
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 12 0 0% −12.00
Good to Soft 10 3 30% −2.79
Soft 8 1 12.5% −6.33
Heavy 4 2 50% +25.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kelso 12 4 33.3% +1.05
Hexham 7 0 0% −7.00
Cartmel 5 0 0% −5.00
Perth 3 0 0% −3.00
Aintree 2 0 0% −2.00
Carlisle 1 1 100% +22.00
Wetherby 1 0 0% −1.00
Catterick 1 0 0% −1.00
Cheltenham 1 0 0% −1.00
Musselburgh 1 1 100% +0.83
Hereford 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 18 2 11.1% +6.83
Class 4 13 4 30.8% +0.05
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 4 80% 2.00 +3.88
2nd–3rd fav 8 0 0% 0.00 −8.00
4th–6th fav 15 2 13.3% 1.93 +14.00
7th+ in betting 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
63.6% completed · 33 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 33 63.6% 0 1 11 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Super Citizen (GB) 3 1 1 15 May 24
Dressedforsuccess (GB) 3 0 0 22 Apr 24
So Be It (IRE) 3 0 0 29 May 23
Takethepunishment (GB) 3 1 1 5 May 23
Dressedtoimpress (IRE) 2 0 0 6 May 26
Watch Law (IRE) 2 0 1 26 May 24
Billy Bronco (GB) 2 1 1 24 Apr 23
Rio Des Echanault (FR) 2 1 1 17 Feb 23
Eastern Storm (GB) 1 0 0 9 May 26
Great Notions (FR) 1 0 0 9 Apr 26
Stattler (IRE) 1 0 1 26 Jan 26
Golden Point (FR) 1 1 1 29 Dec 25
All 23 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
50067140······67
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Jess McKie 5 1 20% −3.17
William Young Jnr 3 0 0% −3.00
Mrs I McKie 3 1 33.3% −0.62
Lucinda Hughes 3 1 33.3% −1.33
Norman Sanderson 2 0 0% −2.00
Rose Dobbin 2 1 50% +4.00
Lucinda Russell 2 0 0% −2.00
James Latham 2 0 0% −2.00
Miss E Grice 2 1 50% +21.00
Miss Joanne Murphy 2 0 0% −2.00
Mrs C A Coward 1 0 0% −1.00
James Moffatt 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
13
Archived wins
£67,523
Prize money
2015
Best season · 4 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Golden Point (FR) — AJA Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Kelso · Dec 2025 · Class 4
£4,967
Rath An Iuir (IRE) — AJA Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Chase Kelso · Dec 2023 · Class 4
£4,967
Super Citizen (GB) — Join Racing TV Now Open Hunters' Chase Kelso · Jan 2024 · Class 4
£3,529
Notable horses
Nowurhurlin (IRE) Rio Des Echanault (FR) Drom (GB) Takethepunishment (GB) Another Dark Rum (GB) Super Citizen (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Yeats (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,857 runs since 2013 (709 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.
Dapper (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 12.5% of 240 runs since 2009 (18 horses).
Multiplex (GB) 33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,181 runs since 2011 (291 horses).
Revoque (IRE) 33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 8% of 1,805 runs since 2008 (202 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 265. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5% from 100.
Central Park (IRE) 50% · 1–2
Progeny have won 9.5% of 1,062 runs since 2008 (82 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 142. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.5% from 154.
Court Cave (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,969 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 116 · newest first

The latest 50 of 116 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 7 March 2007 to 9 May 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
09 May 26 Hexham Eastern Storm (GB)T: James Walton Paxtons Heart Of All England Maiden Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Soft · 9 ran PU 11/4
06 May 26 Kelso Dressedtoimpress (IRE)T: Miss Joanne Murphy Aidan & Margaret McDonnell's Golden Anniversary Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 23.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 33/1
13 Apr 26 Hexham Dressedtoimpress (IRE)T: Miss Joanne Murphy Pointing Pointers Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 7 ran PU 20/1
09 Apr 26 Aintree Great Notions (FR)T: Fiona Needham Randox Foxhunters' Open Hunters' ChaseClass 2 · 21f · Good To Soft · 24 ran PU 100/1
26 Jan 26 Hereford Stattler (IRE)T: Faye Bramley JumpRite Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Soft · 5 ran 2nd 9/4F
29 Dec 25 Kelso Golden Point (FR)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore AJA Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 26f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 2/1F
29 Dec 24 Kelso Haute Estime (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell AJA Amateur Jockeys' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 26f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 4/1
29 May 24 Cartmel You Name Him (GB)T: R Wilkinson Burlington Rise Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 25.5f · Soft · 9 ran PU 50/1
27 May 24 Cartmel She Is The Enemy (IRE)T: Norman Sanderson Fraser Cup Maiden Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 9 ran 4th 50/1
26 May 24 Kelso Watch Law (IRE)T: Jess McKie Borders Growers & Distillers Corinthian Spirit 'Grassroots' Hunters' Chase Series FinalClass 3 · 26f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 22/1
15 May 24 Perth Super Citizen (GB)T: Lucinda Hughes 125 Years Of Bruce Farms 'Grassroots' Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 3rd 7/2
11 May 24 Hexham Toucan Sam (GB)T: Andrew Hamilton Paxton's Heart Of All England Maiden Hunters' Chase (For The Heart Of All England Trophy)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 4/1
22 Apr 24 Hexham Where's Willy (GB)T: Jess McKie Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Heavy · 8 ran 4th 12/1
22 Apr 24 Hexham Dressedforsuccess (GB)T: James Latham Jumping For Fun Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Heavy · 6 ran PU 40/1
15 Apr 24 Kelso Watch Law (IRE)T: Jess McKie Weatherbys Hamilton Buccleuch Cup (Maiden Hunters' Chase)Class 4 · 23.5f · Soft · 10 ran 3rd 28/1
06 Mar 24 Catterick Dressedforsuccess (GB)T: James Latham Jumping For Fun Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 25f · Soft · 11 ran PU 66/1
03 Feb 24 Wetherby Super Citizen (GB)T: Lucinda Hughes Join The Vickers Customer Racing Club Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Soft · 6 ran PU 33/1
14 Jan 24 Kelso Super Citizen (GB)T: Lucinda Hughes Join Racing TV Now Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 23.5f · Soft · 4 ran 1st 4/6F
29 Dec 23 Kelso Rath An Iuir (IRE)T: Rose Dobbin AJA Amateur Jockeys' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 26f · Heavy · 6 ran 1st 5/1
31 May 23 Cartmel Dressedforsuccess (GB)T: James Moffatt Cartmel Racecourse Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 25.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr Nick Orpwood's strike rate?
Mr Nick Orpwood has won 6 of 35 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 17.1% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr Nick Orpwood's Fair A/E?
1.25, from 35 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 13 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).