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Trainer profile

P Hern

30 runners in the lifetime window · 5 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Feb 2017 93% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
3–30
Wins / Runs
10%
Strike rate
n=30
10 (33%)
Placed
2.13
Fair A/E
n=30 · 1.80 incl. margin
+3.30
£1 level stake
n=30 at SP · +11.0%
£57,057
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
100%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
11.1%+1.1
n=9 · A/E 2.41 · £1 +6.30
New recruits · first run for the yard
28.6%+18.6
n=7 · A/E 5.72 · £1 +16.90
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−10.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−10.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
33.3%+23.3
n=3 · A/E 6.13 · £1 +5.60

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 28 3 10.7% +5.30
Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 18 3 16.7% +15.30
Good 6 0 0% −6.00
Good to Soft 2 0 0% −2.00
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00
Soft 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR) 11 2 18.2% +13.70
Chantilly (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00
Longchamp (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00
Auteuil (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 1 1 100% +7.60

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 1 1 100% 11.11 +8.40
4th–6th fav 8 1 12.5% 1.67 +0.60
7th+ in betting 21 1 4.8% 1.39 −5.70
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Dragonnade (FR)from D De Watrigant · then Y Barberot 19 1 7 25 Nov 14
Daring Storm (GER)from Yves de Nicolay · then F Cheyer 7 1 2 12 Feb 17
Singapore Gold (FR)from Mlle M-L Mortier 2 0 0 21 Jun 12
Janiceinwonderland (FR)from J E Pease 1 0 0 28 Jul 12
Winner Spirit (FR)from X Puleo 1 1 1 28 Jun 12
All 5 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 5 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive.

2 have since run for another yard; 3 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
·10000025000330·
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Thierry Jarnet 11 1 9.1% −1.60
Mathieu Tavares Da Silva 3 1 33.3% +12.30
Theo Bachelot 3 0 0% −3.00
Eddy Hardouin 2 0 0% −2.00
Alexandre Roussel 1 0 0% −1.00
Ioritz Mendizabal 1 0 0% −1.00
Thomas Messina 1 0 0% −1.00
Antoine Hamelin 1 0 0% −1.00
Kevin Nabet 1 0 0% −1.00
Alexis Achard 1 0 0% −1.00
Thomas Gillet 1 0 0% −1.00
Mlle Alison Massin 1 1 100% +7.60
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→
3
Archived wins
£57,057
Prize money
2017
Best season · 1 win
Dragonnade (FR) — Prix des Elevages Normands (Handicap) (3yo+ Fillies & Mares) (Fibresand) Deauville (FR) · Oct 2013
£12,195
Winner Spirit (FR) — Prix De Fiquefleur (Handicap) (5yo+) (Fibresand) Deauville (FR) · Jun 2012
£7,917
Daring Storm (GER) — Prix des Cagnois (Handicap) (4yo+) (Polytrack) Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) · Feb 2017
£7,265
Notable horses
Dragonnade (FR) Daring Storm (GER) Winner Spirit (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Victory Note (USA) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 8.8% of 635 runs since 2008 (77 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.8% from 119. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.8% from 135. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.5% from 157.
Big Shuffle (USA) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,088 runs since 2008 (134 horses).
Sagacity (FR) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 9.8% of 1,329 runs since 2008 (154 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 14.7% from 136.
Ekraar (USA) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 0% of 29 runs since 2008 (6 horses). A small sample.
Munir (GB) 100% · 1–1
Progeny have won 9.1% of 252 runs since 2008 (17 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 30 archived runs · newest first

Every one of P Hern's 30 archived runners, from 22 March 2012 to 12 February 2017, newest first — 3 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
12 Feb 17 Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) Daring Storm (GER)J: Mlle Alison Massin Prix des Cagnois (Handicap) (4yo+) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 76/10
21 Aug 16 Deauville (FR) Daring Storm (GER)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix de Beuzeville (Claimer) (4yo+) (Polytrack)7.5f · Standard · 15 ran 3rd 33/1
07 Aug 16 Deauville (FR) Daring Storm (GER)J: Mlle Caroline Bonin Prix du Haras Don Alberto (Chili) (Claimer) (4yo+) (Lady Riders) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 96/1
11 Jun 16 Chantilly (FR) Daring Storm (GER)J: Theo Bachelot Prix de Mareil-en-France (Handicap) (5yo+) (Polytrack)8f · Standard · 17 ran 15th 27/1
13 May 16 Maisons-Laffitte (FR) Daring Storm (GER)J: Theo Bachelot Prix de Saint-Germain de la Grange (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)5f · Heavy · 17 ran 8th 16/1
01 Aug 15 Deauville (FR) Daring Storm (GER)J: Thomas Messina Prix des Avaloirs (Handicap) (4yo+) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 16 ran 13th 168/10
04 Jul 15 Longchamp (FR) Daring Storm (GER)J: Theo Bachelot Prix de Bonne Nouvelle (Claimer) (4yo+) (Turf)7f · Good · 13 ran 11th 145/10
25 Nov 14 Chantilly (FR) Dragonnade (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix Baillamont (Handicap) (3yo+) (Polytrack)8f · Standard · 17 ran 5th 187/10
28 Oct 14 Chantilly (FR) Dragonnade (FR)J: Thierry Jarnet Prix Rescousse (Handicap) (3yo+ Fillies & Mares) (Polytrack)10.5f · Standard · 16 ran 14th 11/1
01 Oct 14 Chantilly (FR) Dragonnade (FR)J: Olivier Peslier Prix du Ponceau (Handicap) (4yo+) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 5th 103/10
15 Sep 14 Saint-Cloud (FR) Dragonnade (FR)J: Thierry Jarnet Prix de l'Epte (Handicap) (4yo+ Fillies & Mares) (Turf)10.5f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 173/10
31 Aug 14 Deauville (FR) Dragonnade (FR)J: Antoine Hamelin Prix Hotel Normandy Barriere Deauville (Claimer) (4yo+) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 7th 26/1
10 Apr 14 Longchamp (FR) Dragonnade (FR)J: Thierry Jarnet Prix du Palais des Glaces (Handicap) (4yo+ Fillies & Mares) (Turf)9.5f · Good · 16 ran 8th 151/10
06 Mar 14 Deauville (FR) Dragonnade (FR)J: Thierry Jarnet Prix du Mont Saint-Jean (Handicap) (5yo+) (Fibresand)9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 5th 98/10
26 Nov 13 Chantilly (FR) Dragonnade (FR)J: Thierry Jarnet Prix De La Piste All Along (Handicap) (3yo+) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 4th 14/1
08 Nov 13 Chantilly (FR) Dragonnade (FR)J: Thierry Jarnet Prix Des Sorbiers (Handicap) (4yo+) (Polytrack)8f · Standard · 16 ran 4th 14/1
23 Oct 13 Deauville (FR) Dragonnade (FR)J: Thierry Jarnet Prix des Elevages Normands (Handicap) (3yo+ Fillies & Mares) (Fibresand)9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 1st 84/10
27 Aug 13 Deauville (FR) Dragonnade (FR)J: Thierry Jarnet Prix Du Journal Le Pays D'Auge (Handicap) (3yo+) (Turf)10f · Good · 16 ran 3rd 10/1
17 Aug 13 Deauville (FR) Dragonnade (FR)J: Thierry Jarnet Equidia Live Prix de Dozule (Claimer) (4yo+) (Turf)10f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 32/1
02 Aug 13 Deauville (FR) Dragonnade (FR)J: Mathieu Tavares Da Silva Prix du Bourg Saint-Leonard (Claimer) (4yo+) (Fibresand)7.5f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 54/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P Hern's strike rate?
P Hern has won 3 of 30 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is P Hern's Fair A/E?
2.13, from 30 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).