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Trainer profile

Paul Dolle

156 runners in the last 5 seasons · 21 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 5 days ago 97% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2023→)
from 1 Jan 2022
4–156
Wins / Runs
2.6%
Strike rate
n=156
21 (14%)
Placed
0.57
Fair A/E
n=156 · 0.47 incl. margin
−87.30
£1 level stake
n=156 at SP · −56.0%
£104k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
2.2%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.57).

Deterministic profile computed from 156 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.6
n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −24.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.6
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Debutants · first career start
7.7%+5.1
n=13 · A/E 3.07 · £1 +28.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
9.1%+6.5
n=11 · A/E 3.57 · £1 +30.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.6
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=3 · A/E 1.86 · £1 +2.70
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−2.6
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.6
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Deauville (FR) 0% vs 2.6% · n=35
On Soft going 0% vs 2.6% · n=33
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 1.8% vs 2.6% · n=55 · A/E 0.34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 151 4 2.6% −82.30
Hurdle 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 77 2 2.6% −64.30
Soft 33 0 0% −33.00
Good to Soft 28 1 3.6% −13.00
Good 9 0 0% −9.00
Heavy 9 1 11.1% +32.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chantilly (FR) 51 2 3.9% −38.30
Deauville (FR) 35 0 0% −35.00
Longchamp (FR) 25 2 8% +31.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 23 0 0% −23.00
Dieppe (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Compiegne (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Lyon-La Soie (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Auteuil (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Clairefontaine (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Le Touquet (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Saint-Malo (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 13 0 0% −13.00
Class 3 9 0 0% −9.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 1 33.3% 1.86 +2.70
2nd–3rd fav 11 1 9.1% 0.77 −4.00
4th–6th fav 26 0 0% 0.00 −26.00
7th+ in betting 116 2 1.7% 0.61 −60.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Maestro Chop (FR)from Thibault Speicher 58 2 14 11 Oct 26
Sublime Chope (FR)then Mme Caroline Bertin 17 1 2 16 Oct 25
King Return (FR) 14 0 1 16 Oct 26
Brivido Moon (FR) 11 1 1 13 Oct 26
Rue Dauphine (FR)from Mlle Alice Le Bastard 10 0 1 30 Dec 24
Eshbelia (FR)from Mme S Gavilan 7 0 0 17 Mar 25
Circion Chop (FR) 6 0 0 12 Feb 26
Topfine (FR)from V Devillars · then F-X Belvisi 4 0 0 11 Jun 23
Circion Chop 3 0 0 11 Oct 26
Triumph Return (FR) 3 0 0 18 Aug 26
Maestro Chop (FR) 3 0 0 2 Aug 26
Afghany (FR)from L Larrigade · then L Maceli 3 0 1 11 May 24
All 21 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 21 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive; 13 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard; 15 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 4
Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
00100010000606
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
R Mangione 22 2 9.1% +34.00
Benjamin Marie 20 0 0% −20.00
Jerome Claudic 17 0 0% −17.00
Tony Piccone 11 1 9.1% −4.00
Giovanni Sias 8 0 0% −8.00
Pierre Remoue 6 0 0% −6.00
Delphine Santiago 5 0 0% −5.00
Fabrice Veron 5 0 0% −5.00
Ludovic Boisseau 5 0 0% −5.00
Leonard Plommee 4 0 0% −4.00
Maxence Marquette 4 0 0% −4.00
Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2023→
4
Archived wins
£104k
Prize money
2023
Best season · 3 wins
Sublime Chope (FR) — Prix du Stade Jean Bouin (Handicap) (2yo) (Inner Course: 2nd Post) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2023
£10,177
Brivido Moon (FR) — Prix de l'Etang de Boulogne (Handicap) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Jun 2026
£8,348
Maestro Chop (FR) — Prix de la Foret de Carnelle (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Dec 2023
£7,965
Notable horses
Maestro Chop (FR) Sublime Chope (FR) Brivido Moon (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Kheleyf (USA) 3.3% · 2–61
Progeny have won 8.7% of 10,542 runs since 2008 (676 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 880.
Le Brivido (FR) 3.7% · 1–27
Progeny have won 8% of 461 runs since 2008 (67 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4.1% from 146.
Panis (USA) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,974 runs since 2008 (211 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.3% from 146. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 116.
Gutaifan (IRE) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 8.9% of 3,748 runs since 2008 (301 horses).
Sommerabend (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,183 runs since 2008 (133 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.5% from 105.
Al Wukair (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,080 runs since 2008 (160 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.6% from 206.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 156 · newest first

The latest 50 of 156 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 24 February 2023 to 16 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) King Return (FR)J: Rosario Mangione Prix De La MalmontagneClass 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 6th 25/1
13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Brivido Moon (FR)J: Rosario Mangione Prix De Secretan12f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 10th 50/1
11 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Circion Chop (FR)J: Rosario Mangione Prix Jean Cuvelette12f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 22/1
11 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Maestro Chop (FR)J: P Cheyer Prix Jockey Star - Prix De Paray-le-monialClass 4 · 9f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 11/1
02 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Circion Chop (FR)J: Bertrand Flandrin Prix Yumpal10.5f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 18/1
29 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Maestro Chop (FR)J: P Cheyer Prix Du Salon Des CondeClass 3 · 9.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 2nd 50/1
19 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) King Return (FR)J: Rosario Mangione Prix Des Tres Riches Heures Du Duc De BerryClass 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 3rd 28/1
18 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Brivido Moon (FR)J: Rosario Mangione Prix HervineClass 3 · 12f · Good · 14 ran 8th 33/1
09 Sep 26 Dieppe (FR) King Return (FR)J: Rosario Mangione Prix D'hazebrouckClass 4 · 5.5f · Soft · 13 ran 6th 20/1
07 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Maestro Chop (FR)J: Pierre Remoue Prix Du Pays D'ortheClass 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 12th 22/1
18 Aug 26 Saint-Malo (FR) Triumph Return (FR)J: Pierre Remoue Prix Vincent De Gournay9f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 66/1
16 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Maestro Chop (FR)J: Rosario Mangione The Aga Khan Studs Prix De La Villa SayerClass 3 · 10f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 13th 50/1
03 Aug 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Brivido Moon (FR)J: Rosario Mangione Ane du Cotentin - Prix des EnclosClass 4 · 12f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 11th 28/1
03 Aug 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Brivido Moon (FR)J: Rosario Mangione Ane du Cotentin - Prix des EnclosClass 4 · 12f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 11th 28/1
02 Aug 26 Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) Maestro Chop (FR)J: Pierre Remoue Prix Du Pmu «Le Diplomate» (Prix Des Partenaires De L'hippodrome)Class 4 · 10f · Soft · 14 ran 6th 40/1
02 Aug 26 Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) Maestro Chop (FR)J: Pierre Remoue Prix Du Pmu «Le Diplomate» (Prix Des Partenaires De L'hippodrome)Class 4 · 10f · Soft · 14 ran 6th 40/1
26 Jul 26 Le Touquet (FR) King Return (FR)J: Rosario Mangione Prix Du Casino Barriere Le TouquetClass 4 · 6.5f · Soft · 13 ran 11th 22/1
26 Jul 26 Le Touquet (FR) King Return (FR)J: Rosario Mangione Prix Du Casino Barriere Le TouquetClass 4 · 6.5f · Soft · 13 ran 11th 22/1
18 Jul 26 Dieppe (FR) Maestro Chop (FR)J: Rosario Mangione Prix De L'esplanadeClass 4 · 15f · Soft · 13 ran 12th 18/1
18 Jul 26 Dieppe (FR) Maestro Chop (FR)J: Rosario Mangione Prix De L'esplanadeClass 4 · 15f · Soft · 13 ran 12th 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Paul Dolle's strike rate?
Paul Dolle has won 4 of 156 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 2.6% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Paul Dolle do best at?
Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 2 wins from 51 runners (3.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Paul Dolle in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Paul Dolle's Fair A/E?
0.57, from 156 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).