Maxence Marquette
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 50 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.14). In big fields of 14 or more the record reads 10% (83 rides).
It is weakest at Deauville (FR) (4.9% over 82 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 8.6% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.27 and +3.05 to a £1 stake over 162 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The rider also reads well on Soft going (10.9%, n=46). The record reads poorly over 1m2f – 1m4f — 2.9% over 68 rides, 5pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fires Sep–Oct.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2022→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 227 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 227 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 September 2022 to 10 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Maxence Marquette's strike rate?
- Maxence Marquette has won 18 of 227 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Maxence Marquette do best at?
- Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 4 wins from 39 rides (10.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Is Maxence Marquette in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 12 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Maxence Marquette's Fair A/E?
- 1.14, from 227 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.