Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8.7%+3.9
n=23 · A/E 2.44 · £1 +5.80
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.8
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.8
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.8
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.8
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−4.8
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)3326.1%−4.20
Good400%−4.00
Good to Soft200%−2.00
Soft200%−2.00
Heavy100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR)2713.7%−17.90
Chantilly (FR)7114.3%+12.70
Longchamp (FR)200%−2.00
Maisons-Laffitte (FR)200%−2.00
Saint-Cloud (FR)200%−2.00
Nancy (FR)100%−1.00
Lyon-La Soie (FR)100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 4200%−2.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
4th–6th fav6116.7%2.25+3.10
7th+ in betting3612.8%0.86−16.30
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m – 1m1f2129.5%+7.80
6f – 7f900%−9.00
1m2f – 1m4f800%−8.00
Under 6f300%−3.00
1m5f – 2m100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2011500%−5.00
2012300%−3.00
20136116.7%+3.10
20147114.3%+12.70
2015600%−6.00
2016400%−4.00
2017100%−1.00
2018100%−1.00
2020100%−1.00
2021100%−1.00
2024300%−3.00
2025200%−2.00
2026200%−2.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps3326.1%−4.20
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners2713.7%−17.90
11-13 runners600%−6.00
17+ runners6116.7%+13.70
8-10 runners300%−3.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 9 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 9 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from F Bossert (3); 2 had their first archived run for this yard.
None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
Current form
significance-gated
Last 14 days
Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0·050·00000013
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Progeny have won 9.3% of 1,327 runs since 2010 (122 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 13.3% from 279. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.9% from 161.
Orpen (USA)0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 9% of 4,038 runs since 2008 (381 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.4% from 113.
Progeny have won 8.8% of 2,433 runs since 2018 (275 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.4% from 116.
Mr Sidney (USA)0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 8.2% of 574 runs since 2013 (59 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.6% from 103. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.3% from 233. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 2.4% from 123.
Arc Royal (GER)0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 8.1% of 37 runs since 2010 (6 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
all 42 archived runs · newest first
Every one of S Bossert's 42 archived runners, from 21 August 2011 to 23 October 2026, newest first — 2 winners among them.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is S Bossert's strike rate?
S Bossert has won 2 of 42 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.8% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is S Bossert in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is S Bossert's Fair A/E?
1.24, from 42 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
S Bossert·SR 4.8%·A/E 1.24
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