What is S Cerulis's strike rate?

S Cerulis has won 64 of 869 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does S Cerulis do best at?

Deauville (AW) by strike rate: 39 wins from 482 runners (8.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for S Cerulis?

Aurelien Lemaitre, with 246 runners since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (7.3%).

Is S Cerulis in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is S Cerulis's Fair A/E?

0.90, from 868 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

S Cerulis

869 runners in the last 5 seasons · 110 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Won yesterday Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

64–869

Wins / Runs

7.4%

Strike rate

n=869

213 (25%)

Placed

0.90

Fair A/E

n=868 · 0.74 incl. margin

−260.75

£1 level stake

n=868 at SP · −30.0%

£1.41m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 170 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.90).

Deterministic profile computed from 869 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Nov 27.4% when favourite Aurelien Lemaitre: 7.3% from 246 Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

Debutants struggle at 0% (n=56, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 5.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −58.90 to a £1 stake over 186 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Aurelien Lemaitre rides 28% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.3%, A/E 0.92). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 31 runners, 7.4pts below the baseline. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix de Seine-et-Oise at Maisons-Laffitte (FR) (Oct 2019, £36,036). The stable star of the record: Lettyt Fight (FR) — 8 wins from 63 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Oct–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.4%−2.0

n=186 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −58.90

New recruits · first run for the yard

3.2%−4.2

n=31 · A/E 0.38 · £1 −25.80

Debutants · first career start

0%−7.4

n=56 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −56.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−7.4

n=51 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −51.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.1%+0.7

n=37 · A/E 1.02 · £1 +43.00

When favourite

27.4%

n=73 · A/E 1.34 · £1 +3.55

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.3%−0.1

n=164 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −32.20

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.6%−1.8

n=18 · A/E 1.34 · £1 −9.30

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With debutants 0% vs 7.4% · n=56

With first-time headgear 0% vs 7.4% · n=51

Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 7.4% · n=31

On last-time-out winners 12.5% vs 7.4% · n=64

With Eddy Hardouin 12.5% vs 7.4% · n=40

On Heavy going 2.9% vs 7.4% · n=35

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 524 41 7.8% −107.45

Good to Soft 138 12 8.7% −53.50

Soft 120 7 5.8% −41.00

Good 49 2 4.1% −40.30

Heavy 35 1 2.9% −25.50

Good to Firm 3 1 33.3% +7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (AW) 482 39 8.1% −56.95

Chantilly 132 7 5.3% −83.40

Saint-Cloud 116 7 6% −61.90

Longchamp (FR) 101 7 6.9% −40.50

Clairefontaine (FR) 10 0 0% −10.00

Dieppe (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00

Compiegne (FR) 5 1 20% +0.50

Saint-Malo (FR) 3 2 66.7% +4.50

Vichy (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Argentan (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Amiens (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Le Touquet (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Craon (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Le Croise-Laroche (FR) 1 1 100% +6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 3 25 3 12% −13.75

Class 4 22 2 9.1% −13.00

Class 1 18 1 5.6% −9.30

Class 2 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 79 20 25.3% 1.26 −2.45

2nd–3rd fav 140 17 12.1% 0.90 −28.70

4th–6th fav 260 11 4.2% 0.50 −163.50

7th+ in betting 389 16 4.1% 1.07 −66.10

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Lettyt Fight (FR)from L Gadbin 45 5 16 25 Sep 26

Letty's Marvel (FR)from Carla O'Halloran · then S Jesus 33 3 12 4 Mar 25

Polminhac (FR) 28 4 8 19 Oct 26

Goldfield (FR) 28 3 11 5 Oct 26

Recoletty (FR) 26 4 7 18 Oct 26

Zelina (FR) 26 0 3 25 Sep 26

Kick Boxing (FR)from C Escuder 24 1 5 5 Jul 25

Swift Flight (FR)from K J Condon 23 4 5 23 Sep 26

Checkpoint Charlie (IRE)from P Decouz 23 1 5 27 Feb 25

Uzel (FR) 22 3 10 14 Dec 24

Cosmo Beau (FR)then Gerald Mosse 21 1 7 25 Aug 24

Panjaman (FR) 20 2 4 22 Aug 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 110 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 23 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from D Fechner (2) and Mario Hofer (2); 37 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for Gerald Mosse (2) and M Krebs (2); 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 5

Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

77573413779126

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderAurelien Lemaitre

28% of all rides
7.3% SR · A/E 0.92

RiderRWSR£1

Aurelien Lemaitre 246 18 7.3% −31.50

Mlle Aude Duporte 83 7 8.4% +38.00

Theo Bachelot 47 2 4.3% −31.80

S Pasquier 46 5 10.9% −3.70

Eddy Hardouin 40 5 12.5% −8.80

A Vilchien 36 4 11.1% −10.85

Alexis Pouchin 32 3 9.4% −1.60

Maxime Guyon 30 2 6.7% −21.90

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→

209

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.25m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 27 wins

Trois Mille (FR) — Prix de Seine-et-Oise (3yo+) (Turf) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · Oct 2019 · Group 3

£36,036

Ocean (FR) — Prix de Ris-Orangis (3yo+) (Straight Course) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Jul 2021 · Group 3

£35,714

Swift Flight (FR) — Qatar Prix de la Place de l'Etoile (Handicap) (3yo+) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2024

£32,609

Notable horses

Lettyt Fight (FR) Asulaman (GER) Uzel (FR) Letty's Marvel (FR) Stormy (FR) Bosquentin (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dabirsim (FR) 4.4% · 2–45

Progeny have won 7.4% of 4,127 runs since 2008 (448 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 254. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 209. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 142.

Dunkerque (FR) 11.1% · 5–45

Progeny have won 6.6% of 574 runs since 2008 (57 horses).

Literato (FR) 11.1% · 4–36

Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,055 runs since 2008 (130 horses).

Captain Marvelous (IRE) 9.1% · 3–33

Progeny have won 8.3% of 968 runs since 2008 (63 horses).

Recoletos (FR) 12.5% · 4–32

Progeny have won 8.9% of 786 runs since 2008 (110 horses).

Profitable (IRE) 10.7% · 3–28

Progeny have won 9.5% of 4,408 runs since 2008 (356 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,469 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,469 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 July 2008 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Polminhac (FR)J: Jerome Moutard Prix De La Foret De Cerisy9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 10th 13/2

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Sin City (FR)J: Jerome Moutard Prix De La Foret De Cinglais9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 4/1F

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Seven Timer (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix De La Foret De Cinglais9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 12/1

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Woff (GER)J: Warren Levesque Prix De La Chaussee7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 6th 40/1

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Recoletty (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix Rieussec15.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 12th 20/1

05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Woff (GER)J: Warren Levesque Prix Des WeppesClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 25/1

05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Liseo (IRE)J: Jerome Moutard Prix Des WeppesClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 5/2

05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Goldfield (FR)J: Arthur Vilchien Prix Au-dela Des PistesClass 4 · 6.5f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 12/1

02 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Recoletty (FR)J: Stephane Pasquier Prix Du Vert ClosClass 3 · 12.5f · Heavy · 16 ran 11th 12/1

01 Oct 26 Argentan (FR) Gitano (FR)J: Arthur Vilchien Prix Elisabeth MussatClass 4 · 9.5f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 8/1

29 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Seven Timer (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix Du Salon Des CondeClass 3 · 9.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 11th 25/1

27 Sep 26 Amiens (FR) Art Piece (FR)J: Arthur Vilchien Prix Florent GerouxClass 4 · 8f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 11/2

27 Sep 26 Amiens (FR) Sin City (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Prix Dominique GerouxClass 4 · 11f · Soft · 13 ran 7th 10/1

25 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Lettyt Fight (FR)J: Stephane Pasquier Prix Des YvelinesClass 3 · 12f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 11th 4/1F

25 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Zelina (FR)J: Stephane Pasquier Prix Du Val D'oiseClass 3 · 12f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 11th 100/30J

23 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Goldfield (FR)J: Stephane Pasquier Prix De Bruyere-sur-oise8f · Good · 14 ran 14th 40/1

23 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Swift Flight (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix De Bruyere-sur-oise8f · Good · 14 ran 9th 12/1

20 Sep 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Donnalucata (FR)J: Arthur Vilchien Prix Mercedes-benz Groupe Autosphere (Prix Des Cerfs)11f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 15/8F

14 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Tyson (FR)J: Theo Bachelot Prix Du Canal Des Druides8f · Standard · 16 ran 4th 12/1

14 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Seven Timer (FR)J: Jerome Moutard Prix Du Canal Saint Jean8f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is S Cerulis's strike rate?: S Cerulis has won 64 of 869 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does S Cerulis do best at?: Deauville (AW) by strike rate: 39 wins from 482 runners (8.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for S Cerulis?: Aurelien Lemaitre, with 246 runners since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (7.3%).
Is S Cerulis in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is S Cerulis's Fair A/E?: 0.90, from 868 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.