Admirals Bay (GER)
Admirals Bay won two of 13 starts. Each win came on a first visit to the course, the first at Yarmouth over 1m2f – 1m4f on good to firm in a Class 6 handicap off 57 in May 2019 and the second at Taunton over 1m5f – 2m on good to soft in a Class 5 handicap off 94 in Dec 2020. The gelding, who reached a highest ever mark of 102, last ran at Market Rasen in May 2022 where he finished 6 of 11 in a Class 5 handicap off 97. His last run, at Market Rasen in May 2022, was his first for Kim Bailey.
- 2–13Wins / Runs
- 15.4%Strike rate
- 3 (23.1%)Placed
- +0.50£1 level staken=13 at SP
- 1.95Fair A/E n=13 · 1.67 incl. margin
- 102Highest OR
- 19dBetween runs (median)longest 525 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 90
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 3 | 85A | 79 | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 4 | 90A | 77 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | — | — | — |
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 3 | 70C | 63 | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 5 | 99A | 70 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 13 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (2).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 11 figures from 13 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.9% of 6,277 runs since May 2012 (538 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 30 | 2 | 6.7% | −3.2 | — |
| Good to Firm | 643 | 73 | 11.4% | +1.5 | 1 from 1 |
| Good | 1,679 | 150 | 8.9% | −1 | 0 from 4 |
| Good to Soft | 1,044 | 111 | 10.6% | +0.7 | 1 from 3 |
| Soft | 1,253 | 124 | 9.9% | 0 | 0 from 3 |
| Heavy | 453 | 51 | 11.3% | +1.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,175 | 113 | 9.6% | −0.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 98 | 8 | 8.2% | −1.7 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 864 | 85 | 9.8% | −0.1 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 678 | 49 | 7.2% | −2.7 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,223 | 148 | 12.1% | +2.2 | 1 from 5 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,594 | 155 | 9.7% | −0.2 | 1 from 6 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,203 | 119 | 9.9% | 0 | 0 from 1 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 536 | 52 | 9.7% | −0.2 | — |
| Over 3m | 81 | 8 | 9.9% | 0 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since May 2012 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
5 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Simoon (IRE) (4 wins).
The wins came over 1m–1m4f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Simoon (IRE)).
Family form: Astracornus (GB) finished 3rd of 12 at Yarmouth, 12 Oct 2026.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simoon (IRE) | 17 | 4 | 1m–1m2f | Class 4 |
| Machios (GB) | 11 | 1 | 1m4f | Class 5 |
| Astracornus (GB) | 7 | 1 | 1m2f | Class 5 |
| Astra Luna (GB) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
| Postergal (GB) | 9 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 1 | 33% | +6.50 |
| Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 8 | 1 | 13% | +1.50 |
| Class 4 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 6 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.00 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chepstow | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newbury | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Market Rasen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Taunton | 1 | 1 | 100% | +8.50 |
| Exeter | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Uttoxeter | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hereford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Warwick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Yarmouth | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 6 | 1 | 17% | +3.50 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 5 | 1 | 20% | −1.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Davies | 6 | 1 | 17% | +3.50 |
| Rob Hornby | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| David Bass | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Franny Norton | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.00 |
| Jason Watson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2020 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +6.50 |
| 2019 | 8 | 1 | 13% | −4.00 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 7 | 1 | 14% | +2.50 |
| Flat | 6 | 1 | 17% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Admirals Bay won?
- Admirals Bay (GER) won 2 of 13 archived starts between 2018 and 2022, a strike rate of 15.4%. Placed 3 times in total (23.1% of starts).
- Who trained Admirals Bay?
- Admirals Bay (GER) was trained by Kim Bailey on the most recent run on record, at Market Rasen on 19 May 2022.
- Who is Admirals Bay's sire?
- Admirals Bay (GER) is by Mount Nelson (GB) out of Astragal (GB), whose sire is Shamardal.
- What going does Admirals Bay prefer?
- Admirals Bay (GER) has the best record on good to soft going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Admirals Bay's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 97, from the run on 19 May 2022. The highest on record is 102.
- What is Admirals Bay's sire's record?
- Mount Nelson (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.9% of 6,277 runs since May 2012 (538 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Admirals Bay's siblings?
- Out of Astragal (GB), Admirals Bay (GER) has 5 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Simoon (IRE) (4). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Simoon (IRE)). The wins came over 1m–1m4f. As at Nov 2026.