Ay Up Duck (GB)
Typically ridden prominently in 7 of 9 analysed runs — Ay Up Duck (GB) is 2 from 10, both wins coming at Class 5 level.
- 2–10Wins / Runs
- 20%Strike rate
- 4 (40%)Placed
- +6.00£1 level staken=10 at SP
- 1.44Fair A/E n=10 · 1.23 incl. margin
- 81Highest OR
- 17dBetween runs (median)
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 108
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 5 | 122A | 99 | 5 runs · 122 / 99 |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 108A | 105 | 3 runs · 108 / 105 |
| Good | 2 | 86A | 85.5 | 2 runs · 86 / 85.5 |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 9 | 108A | 86 | 9 runs · 108 / 86 |
| Under 6f | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 10 figures from 10 runs · as at 30 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 9 analysed runs since Mar 2026
- Prominent 7 (78%) · 1 win
- Mid-division 1 (11%) · 0 wins
- Held up 1 (11%) · 1 win
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 8.3% of 903 runs since Apr 2024 (129 horses).
Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.8% from 169.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 5 | 0 | 0% | −8.3 | — |
| Good to Firm | 149 | 15 | 10.1% | +1.8 | 1 from 3 |
| Good | 210 | 13 | 6.2% | −2.1 | 0 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 88 | 12 | 13.6% | +5.3 | — |
| Soft | 98 | 5 | 5.1% | −3.2 | — |
| Heavy | 21 | 0 | 0% | −8.3 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 332 | 30 | 9% | +0.7 | 1 from 5 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 169 | 20 | 11.8% | +3.5 | 0 from 1 |
| 6f – 7f | 413 | 31 | 7.5% | −0.8 | 2 from 9 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 222 | 18 | 8.1% | −0.2 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 76 | 6 | 7.9% | −0.4 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 13 | 0 | 0% | −8.3 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 9 | 0 | 0% | −8.3 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −8.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2024 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Geometry (GB) (1 win).
The wins came over 1m–2m½f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Geometry (GB)).
Family form: Geometry (GB) won at Southwell (AW), 24 Oct 2026.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geometry (GB) | 3 | 1 | 1m | Class 3 |
| Clockwatcher (IRE) | 9 | 1 | 2m½f | Class 5 |
| Recording Angel (IRE) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 5 | 1 | 20% | −1.00 |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 1 | 33% | +9.00 |
| Good | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Class 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 2 | 100% | +14.00 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW) | 5 | 1 | 20% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 2 | 1 | 50% | +10.00 |
| Goodwood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leicester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ascot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 9 | 2 | 22% | +7.00 |
| Under 6f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Havlin | 3 | 1 | 33% | +1.00 |
| Kevin Stott | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jude Maher | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Nicola Currie | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mason Paetel | 1 | 1 | 100% | +11.00 |
| Andrew Mullen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hollie Doyle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| David Probert | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 10 runs | ||||||||||
| 22 Oct 26+39d | Southwell (AW) | Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (Div I) Prominent early - pushed along and moved left over 1f out - outpaced inside final 110 yards to finish 4th | 4/9 | nk | 9-8 | 77 | 99A | 87A | Kevin Stott | 7/2 |
| 13 Sep 26+43d | Doncaster | Duncan Pearce Memorial Apprentice Handicap Stakes Settled around midfield early - driven approaching the halfway point with little response then edged right and bumped inside the final furlong - stayed on same gear to finish sixth beaten 2½ lengths | 6/16 | nk | 9-0 | 78 | 85C | 81A | Jude Maher | 22/1 |
| 01 Aug 26+9d | Goodwood | Phase Eight Handicap Stakes Settled up with the pace early - pushed along over 2f out - lost momentum and squeezed for space inside final furlong - eventually well beaten in 12th | 12/13 | 3 | 8-2 | 78 | 54C | 51C | Nicola Currie | 66/1 |
| 23 Jul 26+35d | Doncaster | Summer Saturdays At Doncaster Handicap Stakes was slow into stride - settled towards the back - improved position through the middle of the track from 2f out - hit the front inside final 110yds - finished full of running to win comfortably | 1/8 | 9-4 | 75 | 108A | 86A | Mason Paetel | 11/1 | |
| 18 Jun 26+24d | Southwell (AW) | Golf And Gallop Southwell Golf Club Handicap tucked up front early - hit the front after a furlong - challenged three out - pushed along and lost command over two out - dropped away final furlong to finish seventh | 7/9 | 1½ | 9-2 | 78 | 72A | 73A | Andrew Mullen | 13/2 |
| 25 May 26+17d | Leicester | For Best Ticket Deals Book Online At leicester-racecourse.co.uk Handicap Settled handy in the early stages - pushed along over 2f out - unable to find more late and finished eighth | 8/12 | hd | 8-13 | 80 | 105A | 73A | Robert Havlin | 12/1 |
| 08 May 26+15d | Ascot | Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% Handicap Settled in second of a pair away from the rail early - drifted left as the fields combined and sat handy - lost momentum inside the last furlong - dropped away in the closing stages to finish eighth | 8/10 | 1¼ | 8-8 | 81 | 86A | 74A | Hollie Doyle | 25/1 |
| 23 Apr 26+14d | Southwell (AW) | Conference & Events At Southwell Racecourse Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Fought for control early - settled just off the pace on the rail - pushed along approaching 2f out - moved into second inside the final furlong - edged in front close home and stayed on strongly | 1/9 | 8-13 | — | 107A | 81A | Robert Havlin | 3/1 | |
| 09 Apr 26+12d | Southwell (AW) | GB Civil Engineering Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Sluggish start and driven to get into stride - sat with the front group - urged forward two out - moved up into second inside final furlong but unable to peg back winner | 2/6 | 2 | 9-5 | — | 122A | 78B | Robert Havlin | 8/13F |
| 28 Mar 26 | Southwell (AW) | Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Handy early behind front pair - driven into second spot 2f out then edged closer under a furlong left - held no more in reserve and settled for runner-up spot | 2/6 | 2¼ | 9-1 | — | 84A | 79B | David Probert | 6/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Ay Up Duck won?
- Ay Up Duck (GB) won 2 of 10 archived starts in 2026, a strike rate of 20%. Placed 4 times in total (40% of starts).
- Who trains Ay Up Duck?
- Ay Up Duck (GB) is trained by Michael Appleby, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 22 October 2026.
- Who is Ay Up Duck's sire?
- Ay Up Duck (GB) is by Earthlight (IRE) out of Fountain Of Time (IRE), whose sire is Iffraaj.
- What going does Ay Up Duck prefer?
- Ay Up Duck (GB) has the best record on good to firm going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Ay Up Duck's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 77, from the run on 22 October 2026. The highest on record is 81.
- What is Ay Up Duck's sire's record?
- Earthlight (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 8.3% of 903 runs since Apr 2024 (129 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.8% from 169.
- Who are Ay Up Duck's siblings?
- Out of Fountain Of Time (IRE), Ay Up Duck (GB) has 3 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Geometry (GB) (1). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Geometry (GB)). The wins came over 1m–2m½f. As at Nov 2026.