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Jockey profile

Mason Paetel

558 rides in the last 5 seasons · 381 individual horses
As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 8 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
62–558
Wins / Runs
11.1%
Strike rate
n=558
164 (29%)
Placed
1.00
n=554 · 0.85 incl. margin
−134.97
£1 level stake
n=558 at SP · −24.2%
£667k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10.4%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 110 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 11% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.00).

Deterministic profile computed from 558 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 13 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Jul 23.5% when favourite James Owen: 13.8% from 152 First rides: 11.5% Claiming: 11.2% Rides the favourite in 9% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Yarmouth (16.7%, n=36), clear of the rider's 11.1% baseline. It is weakest at Wolverhampton (AW) (5.1% over 78 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 3.8% (n=53, Fair A/E 0.61). James Owen supplies 27% of the rides and edges the rider's average (13.8% vs 11.1%, A/E 0.92). The rider also reads well in Class 5 (14.8%, n=189). The record reads poorly off a 31-60-day break — 5.6% over 90 rides, 5.5pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fires Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.1% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
11.5%+0.4
n=381 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −72.70
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
7.9%−3.2
n=63 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −48.33
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
10.9%−0.2
n=46 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −21.87
When favourite
23.5%
n=51 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −19.46
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
11.2%+0.1
n=508 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −123.92
Big fields · 14+ runners
3.8%−7.3
n=53 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −26.25
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−11.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With headgear back on 3.3% vs 11.1% · n=30
At Wolverhampton (AW) 5.1% vs 11.1% · n=78
Off a 31-60-day break 5.6% vs 11.1% · n=90
With Michael Appleby 16.1% vs 11.1% · n=62
At Yarmouth 16.7% vs 11.1% · n=36
In Class 5 14.8% vs 11.1% · n=189
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 244 26 10.7% −32.89
Good to Firm 124 16 12.9% −61.61
Good 99 11 11.1% −29.30
Good to Soft 55 4 7.3% −4.00
Soft 25 4 16% +2.00
Heavy 6 0 0% −6.00
Firm 5 1 20% −3.17

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 78 4 5.1% −45.17
Southwell (AW) 50 8 16% +0.68
Yarmouth 36 6 16.7% −12.10
Kempton (AW) 35 4 11.4% +32.50
Lingfield (AW) 32 3 9.4% −16.00
Newcastle (AW) 25 2 8% −7.50
Chelmsford City (AW) 24 5 20.8% +2.60
Goodwood 21 0 0% −21.00
Bath 20 2 10% −12.67
Windsor 20 2 10% −11.75
Doncaster 19 3 15.8% +19.25
Newmarket 18 5 27.8% +2.83
Chester 16 0 0% −16.00
Chepstow 16 1 6.3% −3.00
Brighton 15 3 20% −4.34

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 189 28 14.8% +4.94
Class 6 185 19 10.3% −72.50
Class 4 124 10 8.1% −37.74
Class 3 30 4 13.3% −8.67
Class 2 29 1 3.4% −20.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 62 18 29% 1.02 −8.63
2nd–3rd fav 130 22 16.9% 0.96 −16.34
4th–6th fav 191 15 7.9% 0.94 −68.00
7th+ in betting 175 7 4% 1.25 −42.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Prince Quattro (IRE) 9 3 4 8 Aug 26
Bobacious (GB) 8 2 3 16 Jul 26
Charging Thunder (GB) 6 1 2 13 Oct 26
Hibernate (IRE) 6 1 5 14 Sep 26
Bell Shot (IRE) 5 1 2 12 Aug 26
Market House (IRE) 5 1 1 26 Jun 26
Destinado (GB) 5 1 2 3 Aug 25
Star Legend (IRE) 5 2 3 9 Jul 25
Captain Parma (IRE) 4 1 1 2 Oct 26
Bobby Dassler (IRE) 4 1 1 18 Aug 26
Laravie (IRE) 4 0 0 14 Aug 26
No More Bolero (GB) 4 0 2 17 May 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 381 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1420101712141567890
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardJames Owen
27% of all rides
13.8% SR · A/E 0.92
TrainerRWSR£1
James Owen 152 21 13.8% −31.84
Michael Appleby 62 10 16.1% +25.00
Ed Dunlop 33 5 15.2% −12.14
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→
62
Archived wins
£667k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 31 wins
Charging Thunder (GB) — Racing League Race 10 Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Wolverhampton (AW) · Jul 2025 · Class 3
£25,770
Mister Bluebird (GB) — Racing League Race 4 Handicap (Trainers Registered to Racing League) Yarmouth · Jul 2025 · Class 3
£25,770
Treble Tee (IRE) — JenningsBet In Kippax Seaton Delaval Handicap Newcastle (AW) · Jun 2026 · Class 2
£18,319

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Kodiac (GB) 13% · 3–23
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,604 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.
Invincible Spirit (IRE) 15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,875 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.
No Nay Never (USA) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 12.1% of 6,381 runs since 2018 (710 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9.1% from 618. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 187.
Churchill (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 11% of 4,853 runs since 2021 (462 horses).
Blue Point (IRE) 18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 13.9% of 3,456 runs since 2023 (419 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 10.4% from 212.
Dark Angel (IRE) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 558 · newest first

The latest 50 of 558 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 24 October 2024 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
09 Oct 26 York Tolstoy (IRE)T: Brian Ellison Pj Staffing Group Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 20 ran 3rd 4/1F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 1) · to 5 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Mason Paetel's strike rate?
Mason Paetel has won 62 of 558 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11.1% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mason Paetel do best at?
Yarmouth by strike rate: 6 wins from 36 rides (16.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Mason Paetel ride most for?
James Owen, with 152 rides since 2022 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 21 (13.8%).
Is Mason Paetel in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mason Paetel's Fair A/E?
1.00, from 554 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 13 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).