What is Michael Appleby's strike rate?

Michael Appleby has won 424 of 3,692 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.5% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Michael Appleby do best at?

Beverley by strike rate: 13 wins from 84 runners (15.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Michael Appleby?

Alistair Rawlinson, with 832 runners since 2022 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 89 (10.7%).

Is Michael Appleby in form?

In the last 14 days: 21 runners, 6 winners, a strike rate of 28.6%. That is above the baseline of 11.5% since 2022.

What is Michael Appleby's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 3,677 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Michael Appleby

3,692 runners in the last 5 seasons · 341 individual horses

As at 23 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 4.9% of 591 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 23 Oct 2026.

In form — 6 winners last 14 days Won yesterday Last runner yesterday 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

424–3,692

Wins / Runs

11.5%

Strike rate

n=3,692

1,163 (32%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=3,677 · 0.84 incl. margin

−728.04

£1 level stake

n=3,692 at SP · −19.7%

£7.35m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 740 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.99). New recruits from other yards win at 17% first time out (181 runs). The yard is in form now — 6 winners in the last fortnight, above its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 3,692 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 23 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Sep 28.6% when favourite Alistair Rawlinson: 10.7% from 832 New recruits: 16.6% Claiming riders: 11.6% Group/Graded: 16.5% Sends off the favourite in 13% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Bath (21.1%, n=38), clear of the yard's 11.5% baseline. It is weakest at York (3.5% over 85 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 16.6% (n=181, Fair A/E 1.14), but a horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 8.1% (n=173, Fair A/E 0.81). In Group and Graded company the record are the standout value angle: 16.5% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.49 and +18.64 to a £1 stake over 109 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Right now the yard is firing: 6 winners from 21 runners in the last 14 days (28.6%, 17.1pts above the 11.5% baseline). Alistair Rawlinson rides 23% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.7%, A/E 1.03) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 3.3% over 120 runners, 8.2pts below the baseline. 21 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Betfair Sprint Cup Stakes at Haydock (Sep 2025, £242,152). The stable star of the record: The Lock Master (IRE) — 17 wins from 136 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.3%−2.2

n=453 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −144.81

New recruits · first run for the yard

16.6%+5.1

n=181 · A/E 1.14 · £1 +8.99

Debutants · first career start

10.2%−1.3

n=88 · A/E 1.73 · £1 +14.33

First-time headgear · true-first definition

12.4%+0.9

n=89 · A/E 1.33 · £1 −1.08

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.1%−3.4

n=173 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −78.32

When favourite

28.6%

n=476 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −80.54

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

11.6%+0.1

n=809 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −246.62

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

16.5%+5.0

n=109 · A/E 1.49 · £1 +18.64

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Over 1m5f – 2m 3.3% vs 11.5% · n=120

On last-time-out winners 17.8% vs 11.5% · n=415

At York 3.5% vs 11.5% · n=85

At Bath 21.1% vs 11.5% · n=38

With Ray Dawson 19.1% vs 11.5% · n=68

With Tom Marquand 18.3% vs 11.5% · n=104

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 3,660 424 11.6% −696.04

Hurdle 20 0 0% −20.00

NH Flat 12 0 0% −12.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 2,167 257 11.9% −456.59

Good to Firm 569 69 12.1% −16.94

Good 542 51 9.4% −207.17

Good to Soft 201 19 9.5% −23.25

Soft 168 22 13.1% −23.34

Heavy 39 4 10.3% −0.50

Firm 6 2 33.3% −0.25

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Southwell (AW) 580 63 10.9% −188.07

Wolverhampton (AW) 509 67 13.2% +33.12

Chelmsford City (AW) 341 43 12.6% −119.29

Newcastle (AW) 278 26 9.4% −43.89

Kempton (AW) 242 30 12.4% −75.45

Lingfield (AW) 217 28 12.9% −63.01

Nottingham 171 20 11.7% −23.17

Doncaster 134 15 11.2% +25.25

Leicester 102 10 9.8% −22.47

Yarmouth 97 10 10.3% −44.05

York 85 3 3.5% −69.43

Beverley 84 13 15.5% −21.17

Ascot 77 7 9.1% −27.50

Haydock 70 9 12.9% +0.75

Thirsk 55 3 5.5% −37.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 1,063 126 11.9% −252.48

Class 5 1,024 124 12.1% −127.42

Class 4 790 95 12% −86.98

Class 2 398 28 7% −174.87

Class 3 305 32 10.5% −106.43

Class 1 109 18 16.5% +18.64

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 541 150 27.7% 0.99 −85.83

2nd–3rd fav 830 118 14.2% 0.86 −219.71

4th–6th fav 1,225 120 9.8% 1.19 −79.50

7th+ in betting 1,096 36 3.3% 0.90 −343.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Intervention (GB)from Charles O'Brien 108 15 45 26 Sep 26

Baldomero (IRE)from Joseph Patrick O'Brien 69 7 26 17 Oct 26

Starsong (IRE)from J A Stack 58 7 21 2 Sep 26

Annaf (IRE) 49 8 19 10 Oct 26

Juan Les Pins (GB)from Ed Dunlop 48 7 19 12 Oct 26

Twistaline (GB)from Rod Millman 42 5 14 8 Apr 25

Bell Shot (IRE)from Robert Cowell 40 6 17 5 Oct 26

Blind Beggar (IRE)from G M Lyons · then Jessica Macey 37 6 15 7 Aug 25

Big Narstie (FR)from Richard Spencer · then Tony Carroll 36 4 11 21 Feb 25

Winchurch (IRE) 34 6 9 6 Oct 26

Billyjoh (GB) 33 5 16 1 May 26

Come On Girl (GB)from Tony Carroll 33 2 11 3 Apr 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 341 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 18 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 45 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Joseph Patrick O'Brien (4) and Andrew Balding (2); 15 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Henrietta C Knight (2) and Michael Attwater (2); 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

6 from 21 28.6% · +17.1pts vs baseline

Last 14 days28.6%

5-season base11.5%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1314121061113131410713

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderAlistair Rawlinson

23% of all rides
10.7% SR · A/E 1.03

RiderRWSR£1

Alistair Rawlinson 832 89 10.7% −106.71

Frederick Larson 475 54 11.4% −165.79

Theodore Ladd 244 24 9.8% −50.02

Jason Watson 204 26 12.7% −34.17

Rossa Ryan 155 25 16.1% −32.95

Luke Morris 148 14 9.5% −0.29

Harry Davies 116 15 12.9% +15.91

Tom Marquand 104 19 18.3% −3.73

Cieren Fallon 72 8 11.1% −23.55

Ray Dawson 68 13 19.1% +38.66

Billy Loughnane 64 6 9.4% −45.04

Mason Paetel 62 10 16.1% +25.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,323

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£15.0m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 109 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Big Mojo (IRE) — Betfair Sprint Cup Stakes (Group 1) Haydock · Sep 2025 · Group 1

£242,152

Big Evs (IRE) — King George Qatar Stakes (Group 2) Goodwood · Aug 2024 · Group 2

£179,771

Coul Angel (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Bold Lad Sprint Handicap Curragh (IRE) · Sep 2026

£90,000

Notable horses

The Lock Master (IRE) Intervention (GB) Zapper Cass (FR) Guishan (GB) It Must Be Faith (GB) Eponina (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Equiano (FR) 13.7% · 20–146

Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,539 runs since 2008 (549 horses).

Swiss Spirit (GB) 15.8% · 18–114

Progeny have won 9.4% of 3,645 runs since 2008 (243 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.5% from 244. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 3.7% from 136.

Showcasing (GB) 11.9% · 13–109

Progeny have won 10.2% of 11,596 runs since 2008 (997 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Dark Angel (IRE) 13.3% · 14–105

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,882 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Kodiac (GB) 18.6% · 19–102

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,542 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 12.1% · 12–99

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,823 runs since 2008 (1,573 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 23 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 12,167 · newest first

The latest 50 of 12,167 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 22 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Ay Up Duck (GB)J: Kevin Stott Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 7/2

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Beatrice Briannie (GB)J: Luke Morris Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 22/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Mimime (IRE)J: Jude Maher Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 11/4

21 Oct 26 Newmarket Washington Royale (GB)J: Tom Marquand Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 13 ran 1st 4/1J

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Boubyan (IRE)J: Kevin Stott AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 4/1F

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Moonjid (GB)J: Oisin Orr attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap StakesClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 6/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Baldomero (IRE)J: Kevin Stott William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Veterans' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 5th 2/1F

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Intrusively (GB)J: Andrew Mullen Margaret Macklam Memorial Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 100/30

16 Oct 26 Redcar Oh So Perfect (IRE)J: Alistair Rawlinson racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 18 ran 5th 10/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Jungle Ruler (IRE)J: Jason Watson Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 5/2F

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Space Bear (IRE)J: Harry Davies Unibet London Sprint Series Final Handicap Stakes (Series Final - Qualified Horses Only)Class 2 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 8th 12/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester Kodi Lion (IRE)J: Cieren Fallon Happy 80th Reg Ling Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 5th 7/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester Rascal Recknell (FR)J: Luke Morris Join Racing TV Now Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 4th 20/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Intrusively (GB)J: Kevin Stott Get Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 5/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Boubyan (IRE)J: Kevin Stott Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 10/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Juan Les Pins (GB)J: Mason Paetel Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 15/2

12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Blue Pete (IRE)J: Clifford Lee British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 2nd 3/1

10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) R P Mcmurphy (GB)J: Edward Greatrex Erdinger Weissbier Stein Selling Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 4/1

10 Oct 26 York Annaf (IRE)J: Jason Watson Sky Bet Sprint Trophy Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 6f · Good To Soft · 21 ran 9th 18/1

10 Oct 26 York Al Shabab Storm (GB)J: Harry Vigors Sky Bet Sprint Trophy Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 6f · Good To Soft · 21 ran 3rd 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael Appleby's strike rate?: Michael Appleby has won 424 of 3,692 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.5% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael Appleby do best at?: Beverley by strike rate: 13 wins from 84 runners (15.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Michael Appleby?: Alistair Rawlinson, with 832 runners since 2022 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 89 (10.7%).
Is Michael Appleby in form?: In the last 14 days: 21 runners, 6 winners, a strike rate of 28.6%. That is above the baseline of 11.5% since 2022.
What is Michael Appleby's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 3,677 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.