Bay Willow (IRE)
Bay Willow (IRE) is 3 from 14. Hasn't won since Jul 2010. All 3 wins have come over 1m2f – 1m4f. Last raced off 92, 13lb below the career-high mark.
- 3–14Wins / Runs
- 21.4%Strike rate
- 7 (50%)Placed
- −3.09£1 level staken=14 at SP
- 1.33Fair A/E n=14 · 1.12 incl. margin
- 105Highest OR
- 39dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 12% of 4,376 runs since Jan 2008 (378 horses).
Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.5% from 118.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 45 | 9 | 20% | +8 | — |
| Good to Firm | 868 | 119 | 13.7% | +1.7 | 3 from 9 |
| Good | 1,054 | 108 | 10.2% | −1.8 | 0 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 442 | 51 | 11.5% | −0.5 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 524 | 51 | 9.7% | −2.3 | — |
| Heavy | 172 | 23 | 13.4% | +1.4 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,269 | 165 | 13% | +1 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 79 | 17 | 21.5% | +9.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 461 | 60 | 13% | +1 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 973 | 116 | 11.9% | −0.1 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,613 | 202 | 12.5% | +0.5 | 3 from 11 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 788 | 91 | 11.5% | −0.5 | 0 from 2 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 318 | 30 | 9.4% | −2.6 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 118 | 10 | 8.5% | −3.5 | — |
| Over 3m | 26 | 1 | 3.8% | −8.2 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
5 siblings in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acer Diamonds (IRE) | 7 | 0 | — | — |
| Tawfik (IRE) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
| Maud's Cat (IRE) | 7 | 0 | — | — |
| Summer Loving (IRE) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
| Nova House (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 9 | 3 | 33% | +1.91 |
| Good | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 2 | 8 | 1 | 13% | −3.00 |
| Class 5 | 3 | 1 | 33% | −1.09 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascot | 3 | 1 | 33% | +2.00 |
| York | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Yarmouth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newmarket | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Curragh | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.00 |
| Leicester | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.91 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chepstow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Epsom Downs | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 11 | 3 | 27% | −0.09 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frankie Dettori | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Joe Fanning | 3 | 2 | 67% | +6.00 |
| Richard Hills | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.09 |
| Greg Fairley | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ted Durcan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Philip Robinson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Richard Mullen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2010 | 10 | 3 | 30% | +0.91 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 · 4 runs | |||||||||
| 15 Sep 11+27d | Yarmouth | Boodles Diamond Handicap | 8/9 | 2½ | 9-10 | 92 | 83A | Ted Durcan | 22/1 |
| 19 Aug 11+20d | York | Racing UK On Sky Bet Mobile Handicap | 20/20 | ½ | 9-12 | 95 | 76C | Frankie Dettori | 16/1 |
| 30 Jul 11+28d | Doncaster | Unison 'Speaking Up For Public Services' Handicap | 9/13 | nse | 10-0 | 99 | 85A | Philip Robinson | 9/1 |
| 02 Jul 11+279d | Haydock | bet365 Old Newton Cup Handicap | 16/17 | ¾ | 9-7 | 105 | 79A | Richard Mullen | 20/1 |
| 2010 · 10 runs | |||||||||
| 26 Sep 10+37d | Ascot | Pwc Handicap | 4/9 | ¾ | 9-9 | 102 | 90A | Richard Hills | 13/2 |
| 20 Aug 10+26d | York | Sky Bet Melrose Handicap | 14/16 | 2½ | 9-5 | 102 | 86C | Frankie Dettori | 8/1C |
| 25 Jul 10+16d | Ascot | Rendezvous Casino Handicap | 1/11 | 9-0 | 98 | 93A | Joe Fanning | 4/1J | |
| 09 Jul 10+12d | Newmarket | Egerton House Stables Handicap | 2/12 | 2¼ | 9-5 | 87 | 84A | Frankie Dettori | 11/10F |
| 27 Jun 10+10d | Curragh | Dubai Tennis Championship European Breeders Fund Handicap | 1/15 | 8-4 | 87 | 93A | Joe Fanning | 3/1 | |
| 17 Jun 10+24d | Ascot | King George V Stakes (Handicap) | 4/18 | hd | 8-7 | 85 | 92A | Greg Fairley | 10/1 |
| 24 May 10+9d | Leicester | ladbrokes.com Coplow Maiden Stakes | 1/8 | 9-3 | 85 | 91A | Richard Hills | 10/11F | |
| 15 May 10+12d | Newbury | Bathwick Tyres Maiden Stakes | 3/9 | ½ | 9-3 | — | 82A | Frankie Dettori | 3/1 |
| 03 May 10+12d | Chepstow | Lindley Catering Maiden Stakes | 2/14 | ¾ | 8-12 | — | 79A | Greg Fairley | 7/2F |
| 21 Apr 10 | Epsom Downs | Investec Specialist Private Bank Maiden Stakes | 4/6 | 3¼ | 8-11 | — | 72B | Joe Fanning | 5/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Bay Willow won?
- Bay Willow (IRE) won 3 of 14 archived starts between 2010 and 2011, a strike rate of 21.4%. Placed 7 times in total (50% of starts).
- Who trained Bay Willow?
- Bay Willow (IRE) was trained by Saeed bin Suroor on the most recent run on record, at Yarmouth on 15 September 2011.
- Who is Bay Willow's sire?
- Bay Willow (IRE) is by Singspiel (IRE) out of Tree House (USA), whose sire is Woodman.
- What going does Bay Willow prefer?
- Bay Willow (IRE) has the best record on good to firm going: 3 wins from 9 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Bay Willow's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 92, from the run on 15 September 2011. The highest on record is 105.
- What is Bay Willow's sire's record?
- Singspiel (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 12% of 4,376 runs since Jan 2008 (378 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.5% from 118.
- Who are Bay Willow's siblings?
- Out of Tree House (USA), Bay Willow (IRE) has 5 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.