What is Greg Fairley's strike rate?

Greg Fairley has won 9 of 183 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 4.9% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Greg Fairley do best at?

Musselburgh by strike rate: 3 wins from 39 rides (7.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Greg Fairley ride most for?

Ewan Whillans, with 59 rides since 2022 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (13.6%).

Is Greg Fairley in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 7 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Greg Fairley's Fair A/E?

0.82, from 180 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Greg Fairley

183 rides in the last 5 seasons · 77 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

9–183

Wins / Runs

4.9%

Strike rate

n=183

37 (20%)

Placed

0.82

Fair A/E

n=180 · 0.67 incl. margin

−97.29

£1 level stake

n=183 at SP · −53.2%

£154k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.2%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 40 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.82). First rides on a horse are a strength: 7% on the first captured pairing (77 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 183 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Ewan Whillans: 13.6% from 59 First rides: 6.5%

The read

Ewan Whillans supplies 32% of the rides and beats the rider's average (13.6% vs 4.9%, A/E 2.05) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 0% over 30 rides, 4.9pts below the baseline. 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Kleinwort Benson Heritage Handicap at Newmarket (Jul 2007, £43,624). The standout partner of the record: Thebes (GB) — 6 wins from 24 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.5%+1.6

n=77 · A/E 1.42 · £1 −21.17

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

27.3%+22.4

n=11 · A/E 2.49 · £1 +13.50

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6.3%+1.4

n=16 · A/E 1.68 · £1 +18.00

When favourite

50%

n=4 · A/E 1.97 · £1 +2.88

Big fields · 14+ runners

0%−4.9

n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Ewan Whillans 13.6% vs 4.9% · n=59

With C&D winners 11.4% vs 4.9% · n=35

With Katie Scott 0% vs 4.9% · n=41

Over 1m – 1m1f 0% vs 4.9% · n=30

At Newcastle (AW) 2.1% vs 4.9% · n=48

With Iain Jardine 2.2% vs 4.9% · n=46

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 69 2 2.9% −55.67

Standard (AW) 67 4 6% −17.12

Good to Firm 16 2 12.5% −5.50

Good to Soft 15 0 0% −15.00

Soft 13 1 7.7% −1.00

Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 48 1 2.1% −14.00

Musselburgh 39 3 7.7% −13.67

Ayr 26 1 3.8% −22.00

Hamilton 24 1 4.2% −17.50

Wolverhampton (AW) 12 3 25% +3.88

Carlisle 12 0 0% −12.00

Southwell (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00

Redcar 3 0 0% −3.00

Catterick 3 0 0% −3.00

Thirsk 2 0 0% −2.00

York 1 0 0% −1.00

Newmarket 1 0 0% −1.00

Newbury 1 0 0% −1.00

Doncaster 1 0 0% −1.00

Chester 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 108 5 4.6% −81.62

Class 5 36 2 5.6% −22.67

Class 4 26 0 0% −26.00

Class 2 7 0 0% −7.00

Class 3 6 2 33.3% +40.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 4 2 50% 1.97 +2.88

2nd–3rd fav 24 3 12.5% 0.84 −8.67

4th–6th fav 53 3 5.7% 0.88 −23.50

7th+ in betting 102 1 1% 0.33 −68.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Falaise Blanc (FR) 11 0 4 25 Sep 26

Ramon Di Loria (IRE) 11 2 7 20 Jul 26

On The Bubble (GB) 11 0 2 30 Jun 26

Team Player (GB) 7 2 3 13 Sep 26

Classy Clarets (IRE) 6 1 3 6 Jun 26

Back Tomorrow (GB) 6 0 0 9 Feb 26

Wee Dresser (GB) 5 0 0 25 Sep 26

Sure And Stedfast (IRE) 4 1 2 19 Oct 26

Galahad Threepwood (GB) 4 0 2 12 Oct 26

Parole Officer (GB) 4 0 0 10 Aug 26

Realistic Dream (IRE) 4 0 0 16 Jul 26

Concert Boy (IRE) 4 0 0 6 Jul 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 77 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 7

Only 7 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

02198001640000

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardEwan Whillans

32% of all rides
13.6% SR · A/E 2.05

TrainerRWSR£1

Ewan Whillans 59 8 13.6% +23.83

Iain Jardine 46 1 2.2% −43.12

Katie Scott 41 0 0% −41.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

394

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.06m

Prize money

2009

Best season · 85 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Hearthstead Maison (IRE) — Kleinwort Benson Heritage Handicap Newmarket · Jul 2007 · Class 2

£43,624

Shaweel (GB) — Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2) Newbury · Aug 2008 · Group 2

£39,739

Parthenon (GB) — Totepool Glasgow Stakes (Listed) Hamilton · May 2009 · Listed

£30,815

Notable horses

Thebes (GB) McEldowney (GB) Lady Jane Digby (GB) Kingscroft (IRE) Robby Bobby (GB) Avonrose (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dandy Man (IRE) 9.5% · 2–21

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,917 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Land Force (IRE) 0% · 0–11

Progeny have won 7.6% of 1,452 runs since 2008 (155 horses).

Whitecliffsofdover (USA) 0% · 0–11

Progeny have won 3.3% of 420 runs since 2008 (63 horses).

Without Parole (GB) 18.2% · 2–11

Progeny have won 10.2% of 669 runs since 2008 (87 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 19.4% from 139. Weakest on Good going: 6.7% from 164.

Cotai Glory (GB) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 11.4% of 3,917 runs since 2008 (389 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.6% from 1,396. Weakest on Soft going: 7% from 417.

Kodiac (GB) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,534 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,219 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,219 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Sure And Stedfast (IRE)T: Ewan Whillans Phil Bull Trophy Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 18f · Heavy · 9 ran 9th 22/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Inappropriate (IRE)T: Ewan Whillans Stay At The Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 14f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 10/1

12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Galahad Threepwood (GB)T: Ewan Whillans Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 11/1

12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Pallas Lord (IRE)T: Donald Whillans Musselburgh Members Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 80/1

12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Pickersgill (IRE)T: Iain Jardine Watch On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 8th 7/1

12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Sneakin Pete (GB)T: R. Mike Smith British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 4th 150/1

08 Oct 26 Ayr Flying Moonlight (IRE)T: Sandy Thomson Outcider Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Heavy · 13 ran 3rd 9/2F

03 Oct 26 Redcar Sure And Stedfast (IRE)T: Ewan Whillans Market Cross Jewellers Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 14f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 8/1

02 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Lazy In Red (GB)T: Donald Whillans Aalberts Integrated Piping Systems Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 300/1

30 Sep 26 Musselburgh Escape Act (IRE)T: Jean McGregor Invades Day Party Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 7th 100/1

25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Wee Dresser (GB)T: Katie Scott Northumbrian Wateraid Sprint Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 33/1

25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Falaise Blanc (FR)T: Katie Scott Esh Stantec Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 33/1

22 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Galahad Threepwood (GB)T: Ewan Whillans Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 40/1

21 Sep 26 Hamilton Sure And Stedfast (IRE)T: Ewan Whillans Watch Racing TV Free For 31 Days Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Soft · 12 ran 5th 14/1

20 Sep 26 Hamilton Flying Moonlight (IRE)T: Sandy Thomson Hampton By Hilton Hamilton Park Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Heavy · 6 ran 4th 11/2

19 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Maui Breeze (GB)T: Wilf Storey Happy Birthday Dave Miller From Probio energy.com Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 20/1

19 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Raise The Stakes (IRE)T: Ewan Whillans Quinnbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12.5f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 4/1

18 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Billy Bathgate (GB)T: Ewan Whillans Black Country Mental Health 50th Anniversary Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 22/1

17 Sep 26 Ayr Edgewater Drive (IRE)T: Wilf Storey Brandinghub For Signs & Graphics Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 20 ran 18th 33/1

13 Sep 26 Doncaster Team Player (GB)T: Ewan Whillans Betfred Mallard Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 2 · 14.5f · Good · 8 ran 8th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Greg Fairley's strike rate?: Greg Fairley has won 9 of 183 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 4.9% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Greg Fairley do best at?: Musselburgh by strike rate: 3 wins from 39 rides (7.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Greg Fairley ride most for?: Ewan Whillans, with 59 rides since 2022 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (13.6%).
Is Greg Fairley in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 7 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Greg Fairley's Fair A/E?: 0.82, from 180 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.