Greg Fairley
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 40 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.81). First rides on a horse are a strength: 6% on the first captured pairing (79 rides).
Ewan Whillans supplies 32% of the rides and beats the rider's average (13.3% vs 4.8%, A/E 2.01) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 0% over 30 rides, 4.8pts below the baseline. 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Kleinwort Benson Heritage Handicap at Newmarket (Jul 2007, £43,624). The standout partner of the record: Thebes (GB) — 6 wins from 24 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 3,222 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 3,222 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 30 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 8 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 13 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Greg Fairley's strike rate?
- Greg Fairley has won 9 of 186 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 4.8% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Greg Fairley do best at?
- Musselburgh by strike rate: 3 wins from 39 rides (7.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Greg Fairley ride most for?
- Ewan Whillans, with 60 rides since 2022 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (13.3%).
- Is Greg Fairley in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 4 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Greg Fairley's Fair A/E?
- 0.81, from 183 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.