Philip Robinson
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 300 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 15% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 19% off breaks of two months or more (215 runs). Rode mostly for Michael Jarvis — 49% of rides in the window.
It is weakest at Newmarket (8.2% over 85 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 19.1% (n=215, Fair A/E 1.17), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 9.5% (n=147, Fair A/E 0.84). The market has consistently overbet rides on last-time-out winners: 14.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −65.74 to a £1 stake over 200 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Michael Jarvis supplied 49% of the rides and beats the rider's average (22.7% vs 15.2%, A/E 1.21) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well in Class 5 (21.2%, n=335) and off a 61-180-day break (22.2%, n=108). 31 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Tattersalls Timeform Fillies' 800 at Newmarket (Oct 2008, £433,360). Seasonally, the rider fired Apr–May.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 15.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 15.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,524 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,524 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 26 March 2005 to 24 September 2011.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Philip Robinson's strike rate?
- Philip Robinson has won 182 of 1,194 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 15.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Philip Robinson do best at?
- Pontefract by strike rate: 9 wins from 39 rides (23.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Philip Robinson ride most for?
- Michael Jarvis, with 581 rides since 2008 — 49% of the total. That pairing has won 132 (22.7%).
- What is Philip Robinson's Fair A/E?
- 1.03, from 1,188 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.