Butterfly Effect (IRE)
Butterfly Effect (IRE) is yet to win from 11 starts, though has placed twice. Best effort: 2nd of 7 at Lingfield (AW) (Apr 2023). Last raced off 60, 10lb below the career-high mark.
- 0–11Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 2 (18.2%)Placed
- −11.00£1 level staken=11 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=11 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 70Highest OR
- 41dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 68
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 6 | 84A | 77 | — |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 69B | 68 | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 5 | 82A | 66 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 4 | 76A | 70.5 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 84A | 76 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 11 figures from 11 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9% of 723 runs since Jan 2008 (64 horses).
Strongest on good going: 13.1% from 183.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −9 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Firm | 124 | 9 | 7.3% | −1.7 | 0 from 3 |
| Good | 183 | 24 | 13.1% | +4.1 | — |
| Good to Soft | 79 | 8 | 10.1% | +1.1 | — |
| Soft | 78 | 7 | 9% | 0 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 20 | 1 | 5% | −4 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 237 | 16 | 6.8% | −2.2 | 0 from 6 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 140 | 16 | 11.4% | +2.4 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 440 | 39 | 8.9% | −0.1 | 0 from 4 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 102 | 8 | 7.8% | −1.2 | 0 from 5 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 37 | 2 | 5.4% | −3.6 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −9 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −9 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Angelardo (IRE) (1 win).
The wins came over 2m½f; the highest grade won is Class 6 (Angelardo (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angelardo (IRE) | 13 | 1 | 2m½f | Class 6 |
| Minxie (IRE) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
| Rockstar Martini (IRE) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| Class 6 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lingfield (AW) | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Lingfield | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bath | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Pontefract | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Epsom Downs | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benoit De La Sayette | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Harry Davies | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Luke Morris | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Callum Rodriguez | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Connor Planas | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Darragh Keenan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Callum Shepherd | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| David Probert | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Marco Ghiani | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Blinkers | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Hood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 2022 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Butterfly Effect (IRE) won?
- Butterfly Effect (IRE) has yet to win, from 11 archived starts between 2022 and 2023. Placed 2 times in total (18.2% of starts).
- Who trained Butterfly Effect (IRE)?
- Butterfly Effect (IRE) was trained by George Scott on the most recent run on record, at Lingfield on 31 July 2023.
- Who is Butterfly Effect (IRE)'s sire?
- Butterfly Effect (IRE) is by James Garfield (IRE) out of Angel De La Gesse (FR), whose sire is Dark Angel.
- What is Butterfly Effect (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 60, from the run on 31 July 2023. The highest on record is 70.
- What is Butterfly Effect (IRE)'s sire's record?
- James Garfield (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9% of 723 runs since Jan 2008 (64 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good going: 13.1% from 183.
- Who are Butterfly Effect (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Angel De La Gesse (FR), Butterfly Effect (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Angelardo (IRE) (1). Highest grade won: Class 6 (Angelardo (IRE)). The wins came over 2m½f. As at Oct 2026.