What is Marco Ghiani's strike rate?

Marco Ghiani has won 371 of 2,740 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 13.5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Marco Ghiani do best at?

Brighton by strike rate: 19 wins from 81 rides (23.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Marco Ghiani ride most for?

Stuart Williams, with 592 rides since 2022 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 86 (14.5%).

Is Marco Ghiani in form?

In the last 14 days: 42 rides, 8 winners, a strike rate of 19%. That is above the baseline of 13.5% since 2022.

What is Marco Ghiani's Fair A/E?

1.10, from 2,727 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Marco Ghiani

2,740 rides in the last 5 seasons · 1,321 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

In form — 8 winners last 14 days Won yesterday Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2022

371–2,740

Wins / Runs

13.5%

Strike rate

n=2,740

907 (33%)

Placed

1.10

Fair A/E

n=2,727 · 0.94 incl. margin

−156.04

£1 level stake

n=2,739 at SP · −5.7%

£4.95m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

16%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 550 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 14% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.10). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 19% (295 rides). The rider is in form now — 8 winners in the last fortnight, above their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 2,740 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb 36.8% when favourite Stuart Williams: 14.5% from 592 LTO winners: 19.3% Rides the favourite in 12% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Brighton (23.5%, n=81), clear of the rider's 13.5% baseline. It is weakest at Newmarket (5% over 121 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 19.3% (n=295, Fair A/E 0.97), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 7.8% (n=232, Fair A/E 1.24). Right now the rider is firing: 8 winners from 42 rides in the last 14 days (19%, 5.5pts above the 13.5% baseline). Stuart Williams supplies 22% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (14.5%, A/E 1.20) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (21.2%, n=113). 12 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Royal Hunt Cup at Ascot (Jun 2021, £64,800). The standout partner of the record: Sir Rodneyredblood (GB) — 9 wins from 46 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.5% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

12%−1.5

n=1,224 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −48.67

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

19.3%+5.8

n=295 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −63.54

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

10.8%−2.7

n=406 · A/E 1.00 · £1 +58.33

When favourite

36.8%

n=342 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −7.50

Big fields · 14+ runners

7.8%−5.7

n=232 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −56.60

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.1%−4.4

n=110 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −18.12

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Brighton 23.5% vs 13.5% · n=81

With first-time headgear 4.3% vs 13.5% · n=116

With debutants 5.7% vs 13.5% · n=193

At Newmarket 5% vs 13.5% · n=121

Over 1m5f – 2m 21.2% vs 13.5% · n=113

With William Stone 3.2% vs 13.5% · n=31

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,512 210 13.9% −133.25

Good to Firm 518 68 13.1% −70.31

Good 380 46 12.1% +116.35

Good to Soft 202 25 12.4% −74.01

Soft 95 18 18.9% +16.68

Heavy 26 4 15.4% −4.50

Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 396 52 13.1% −118.61

Chelmsford (AW) 312 50 16% +18.75

Kempton (AW) 274 32 11.7% −27.03

Lingfield (AW) 240 40 16.7% +91.66

Southwell (AW) 234 29 12.4% −66.49

Yarmouth 162 24 14.8% −17.14

Newmarket 122 14 11.5% −32.49

Windsor 122 23 18.9% +79.63

Newmarket 121 6 5% −26.25

Brighton 81 19 23.5% +6.29

Leicester 68 4 5.9% −47.17

Nottingham 67 10 14.9% +2.10

Doncaster 60 4 6.7% −35.67

Newcastle (AW) 54 7 13% −29.53

Newbury 49 7 14.3% +165.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 818 122 14.9% −135.33

Class 6 802 125 15.6% +34.56

Class 4 532 63 11.8% +10.65

Class 3 242 29 12% +57.45

Class 2 234 22 9.4% −103.25

Class 1 111 10 9% −19.12

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 398 132 33.2% 1.08 −40.34

2nd–3rd fav 703 139 19.8% 1.16 −25.53

4th–6th fav 900 73 8.1% 1.00 −109.67

7th+ in betting 738 27 3.7% 1.15 +19.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Revolutionise (IRE) 22 3 7 27 Nov 25

Sir Rodneyredblood (GB) 21 3 5 28 Apr 26

Existent (GB) 16 1 3 26 Nov 25

Poetic Jack (GB) 14 2 6 19 May 26

Diomed Spirit (GB) 14 4 5 12 Jan 26

Expert Agent (GB) 13 4 5 9 Oct 26

Quinault (GER) 13 4 7 11 Jul 26

Rock N Roll Pinkie (GB) 13 4 5 26 Apr 26

Above (FR) 12 0 4 29 Oct 25

Agostino (GB) 12 3 7 2 Aug 25

Boasty (IRE) 12 2 7 19 Dec 24

Top Button (IRE) 12 1 3 9 Nov 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,321 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

8 from 42 19% · +5.5pts vs baseline

Last 14 days19%

5-season base13.5%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

171810151213141316101412

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardStuart Williams

22% of all rides
14.5% SR · A/E 1.20

TrainerRWSR£1

Stuart Williams 592 86 14.5% +35.43

Marco Botti 375 71 18.9% +62.61

William Knight 156 15 9.6% −91.48

Ivan Furtado 130 16 12.3% −39.49

Tony Carroll 129 16 12.4% −26.05

Robert Cowell 122 19 15.6% −20.60

J R Jenkins 94 7 7.4% −9.80

Jane Chapple-Hyam 84 8 9.5% −52.83

Clare Hobson 56 4 7.1% −12.67

Charles Hills 56 9 16.1% −18.50

Ed Dunlop 50 6 12% −19.63

Charlie Wallis 40 3 7.5% −23.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

513

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£6.24m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 106 wins

Real World (IRE) — Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) (Str) Ascot · Jun 2021 · Class 2

£64,800

Sportingsilvermine (IRE) — Betway Old Newton Cup Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Newmarket · Jul 2026 · Class 2

£64,425

Soft Whisper (IRE) — Louis Roederer Queen Charlotte Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Listed) Chelmsford City (AW) · Jul 2022 · Listed

£56,710

Notable horses

Sir Rodneyredblood (GB) Revolutionise (IRE) Maykir (GB) Diomed Spirit (GB) Expert Agent (GB) Quinault (GER)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Lope De Vega (IRE) 12.6% · 11–87

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,219 runs since 2014 (1,108 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 960.

Oasis Dream (GB) 14.1% · 11–78

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,040 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 484. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 792.

Dark Angel (IRE) 21.7% · 13–60

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,941 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Kodiac (GB) 8.5% · 5–59

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,598 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Showcasing (GB) 19% · 11–58

Progeny have won 10.2% of 11,646 runs since 2014 (998 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Harry Angel (IRE) 19.1% · 9–47

Progeny have won 12.6% of 2,795 runs since 2022 (265 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.2% from 340.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,676 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,676 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 June 2018 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Wadima (GB)T: Marco Botti Make The Move To Midnite Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 8/1

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Pride's Queen (GB)T: Marco Botti Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 5/1

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Lady Mariko (GB)T: Dylan Cunha AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 7/2

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) The Dark Prince (IRE)T: Stuart Williams AWC Season 14 Has Begun EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 18/1

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Dovey Moon (GB)T: David Evans AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 9/4F

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) In The Post (GB)T: Dylan Cunha Try Unibet's Smartview Racecards Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 3rd 15/2

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Freddie's Star (IRE)T: Roger Teal Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 1st 9/4F

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Queue Dos (GB)T: J. S. Moore Try Unibet's New Racing Bet Builder Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 5th 7/2

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Submarine (IRE)T: Charles Hills British EBF Future Stayers Maiden Stakes (Sire And Dam Restricted Race) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 10th 100/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Wise Times (GB)T: Marco Botti Unibet/British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Div I) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 9th 40/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Kodi Morse (IRE)T: Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos All Weather Championship Is Back EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 13/2

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Oppenheimer (IRE)T: James Owen AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 2/5F

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Mini Mac (IRE)T: James Owen AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 8/11F

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Maestro Del Mar (FR)T: Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd 11/4

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Orange Emperor (IRE)T: Marco Botti ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 9/2

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Handle With Care (GB)T: Marco Botti AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 11/2

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Honeymoon Bear (IRE)T: Joseph Parr AWC Season 14 Has Begun EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 25/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Hell Of An Angel (IRE)T: T. J. Kent All-Weather Championship Is Back EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 16/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) London Is Blue (GB)T: Robert Cowell Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 11/1

31 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) National Honour (IRE)T: Charlie Appleby All-weather Championship Is Back Nursery Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard · 7 ran 4th 1/2F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 7 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 9 runs (won 4) · fastest on KTB Speed in 9 runs (won 2) · to 3 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Marco Ghiani's strike rate?: Marco Ghiani has won 371 of 2,740 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 13.5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Marco Ghiani do best at?: Brighton by strike rate: 19 wins from 81 rides (23.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Marco Ghiani ride most for?: Stuart Williams, with 592 rides since 2022 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 86 (14.5%).
Is Marco Ghiani in form?: In the last 14 days: 42 rides, 8 winners, a strike rate of 19%. That is above the baseline of 13.5% since 2022.
What is Marco Ghiani's Fair A/E?: 1.10, from 2,727 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.