What is Darragh Keenan's strike rate?

Darragh Keenan has won 205 of 2,451 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.4% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Darragh Keenan do best at?

Brighton by strike rate: 23 wins from 175 rides (13.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Darragh Keenan ride most for?

George Scott, with 268 rides since 2022 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 44 (16.4%).

Is Darragh Keenan in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 12 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Darragh Keenan's Fair A/E?

1.04, from 2,433 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Darragh Keenan

2,451 rides in the last 5 seasons · 1,249 individual horses

As at 11 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 4 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)

from 1 Jan 2022

205–2,451

Wins / Runs

8.4%

Strike rate

n=2,451

529 (22%)

Placed

1.04

Fair A/E

n=2,433 · 0.89 incl. margin

−646.88

£1 level stake

n=2,451 at SP · −26.4%

£2.05m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.4%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 490 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.04). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 22% (194 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,451 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 11 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 38.9% when favourite George Scott: 16.4% from 268 LTO winners: 22.2% Rides the favourite in 5% of races

The read

It is weakest at Kempton (AW) (2.8% over 211 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 22.2% (n=194, Fair A/E 1.30), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.8% (n=145, Fair A/E 1.09). George Scott supplies 11% of the rides and beats the rider's average (16.4% vs 8.4%, A/E 1.37) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (20.1%, n=139). 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the LK Bennett Butterfly Mark Heritage Handicap at Ascot (Jul 2025, £51,540). The standout partner of the record: Dion Baker (IRE) — 8 wins from 21 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.2%−2.2

n=1,174 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −482.88

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

22.2%+13.8

n=194 · A/E 1.30 · £1 +2.50

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7.4%−1.0

n=325 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −12.81

When favourite

38.9%

n=131 · A/E 1.27 · £1 +10.85

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.8%−3.6

n=145 · A/E 1.09 · £1 +10.12

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.7%−1.7

n=30 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −24.30

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 22.2% vs 8.4% · n=194

Off a 0-7-day break 20.1% vs 8.4% · n=139

With Michael Wigham 18.5% vs 8.4% · n=92

With George Scott 16.4% vs 8.4% · n=268

At Kempton (AW) 2.8% vs 8.4% · n=211

With William Haggas 16.7% vs 8.4% · n=30

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,317 93 7.1% −451.27

Good to Firm 422 47 11.1% +19.62

Good 397 41 10.3% −34.14

Good to Soft 141 8 5.7% −102.09

Soft 131 11 8.4% −74.75

Heavy 30 3 10% +0.50

Firm 13 2 15.4% −4.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 293 17 5.8% −171.09

Lingfield (AW) 260 24 9.2% −45.79

Southwell (AW) 254 22 8.7% −31.76

Chelmsford (AW) 225 16 7.1% −1.73

Kempton (AW) 211 6 2.8% −168.50

Brighton 175 23 13.1% +8.96

Yarmouth 161 13 8.1% −40.74

Leicester 82 9 11% −34.17

Newcastle (AW) 74 8 10.8% −32.40

Windsor 69 4 5.8% +56.25

Nottingham 67 4 6% −46.12

Bath 58 7 12.1% −8.25

Newmarket 50 3 6% −23.12

Doncaster 43 3 7% −33.52

Lingfield 41 5 12.2% +10.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 1,005 90 9% −180.88

Class 5 800 67 8.4% −230.21

Class 4 441 35 7.9% −158.94

Class 3 90 9 10% +4.95

Class 2 83 2 2.4% −55.50

Class 1 30 2 6.7% −24.30

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 155 55 35.5% 1.21 −1.40

2nd–3rd fav 373 69 18.5% 1.11 −29.98

4th–6th fav 823 53 6.4% 0.89 −213.50

7th+ in betting 1,100 28 2.5% 0.97 −402.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Dion Baker (IRE) 21 8 9 28 Sep 26

Rivas Rob Roy (GB) 21 3 6 24 Feb 25

Edergole's Gift (IRE) 19 1 4 15 Oct 26

Mick's Spirit (GB) 18 5 9 9 Jun 26

Catch My Breath (GB) 17 1 5 27 Mar 23

Batchelor Boy (IRE) 15 3 3 2 Sep 24

Pistoletto (USA) 15 1 2 8 Nov 23

Spring Bloom (GB) 14 1 5 2 May 26

My Awele (IRE) 13 2 3 27 Mar 26

Golden Dove (GB) 12 1 4 9 Oct 24

First Encounter (GB) 11 1 3 16 Jun 26

Havana Mojito (GB) 11 3 5 16 Oct 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,249 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 12

Only 12 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

9761181161098410

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardGeorge Scott

11% of all rides
16.4% SR · A/E 1.37

TrainerRWSR£1

George Scott 268 44 16.4% −43.78

John Ryan 143 8 5.6% −73.42

John Gallagher 134 16 11.9% −31.37

John Butler 112 3 2.7% −69.00

Michael Keady 96 4 4.2% −73.00

Michael Wigham 92 17 18.5% +23.17

Conrad Allen 92 11 12% +42.62

Robert Eddery 72 3 4.2% −55.50

Martin Dunne 72 3 4.2% −39.17

David Evans 56 5 8.9% −25.63

Jennie Candlish 50 6 12% +3.75

Derek Shaw 46 4 8.7% −10.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→

328

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.02m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 53 wins

Alzahir (FR) — LK Bennett Butterfly Mark Heritage Handicap Ascot · Jul 2025 · Class 2

£51,540

Emily Goldfinch (GB) — British Ebf Breeders' Fillies' Series Sprint Handicap Newmarket · Oct 2018 · Class 2

£31,125

Command The Stars (IRE) — Criterium de l'Ouest - Prix du Haras de Bouquetot () (2yo) (Turf) Craon (FR) · Sep 2025 · Listed

£22,686

Notable horses

Dion Baker (IRE) Catch My Breath (GB) Goddess Of Fire (GB) Mick's Spirit (GB) Rivas Rob Roy (GB) Pistoletto (USA)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dandy Man (IRE) 11.1% · 6–54

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,989 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.

Mehmas (IRE) 8.5% · 4–47

Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,239 runs since 2020 (755 horses).

Bated Breath (GB) 8.7% · 4–46

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,180 runs since 2016 (670 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.6% from 857.

Kodiac (GB) 15% · 6–40

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,604 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Kodi Bear (IRE) 7.9% · 3–38

Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,995 runs since 2020 (392 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.2% from 263.

Dark Angel (IRE) 8.1% · 3–37

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,954 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 11 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,041 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,041 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 24 November 2016 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Man Is King (IRE)T: David Flood Midnite Built Different Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 66/1

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Valor's Call (GB)T: George Scott AWC Season 14 Has Begun Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 25/1

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) King Of Charm (GB)T: Martin Dunne All-Weather Championship Is Back Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 28/1

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Omega Fernandez (GB)T: Lemos De Souza Juddmonte EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 7.5f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 250/1

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Saahir (IRE)T: Gihan Arnolda Midnite Built Different Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 9/1

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Train In Vain (GB)T: Jessica Macey Experience Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 14f · Soft · 10 ran 9th 200/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Caraway (GB)T: William Haggas Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 3/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Dapper Valley (IRE)T: Michael Keady Midnite Aint Your Grandads Bookie Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 50/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Renesmee (GB)T: Michael Keady ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 18/1

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Masai Land (GB)T: William Haggas German G1 Racecourses Thank World Pool British Ebf Novice Stakes (Colts And Geldings Only) (Div II)Class 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 5th 66/1

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Alfonso (IRE)T: William Haggas German G1 Racecourses Thank World Pool British EBF Novice Stakes (Colts And Geldings Only) (Div I)Class 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 7th 40/1

29 Oct 26 Bath Pirates Paradise (IRE)T: George Scott Bath Luxury Toilet Hire Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 28/1

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Rating (IRE)T: Grace Harris Set Your Limits With Unibet Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 7th 25/1

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Howluckyweare (GB)T: William Haggas Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 6th 11/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Our Planet (IRE)T: Michael Keady Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 13/2

26 Oct 26 Redcar Saahir (IRE)T: Gihan Arnolda Market Cross Jewellers Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Heavy · 14 ran 11th 5/2F

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Nymphaea (GB)T: Jennie Candlish Join The Midnite Movement Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 22/1

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Moulin Booj (IRE)T: George Scott Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 15/2

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Caraway (GB)T: William Haggas Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 5 ran 2nd 100/30

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Souffler (GB)T: Kevin Philippart de Foy Awc Season 14 Has Begun Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 9 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 3 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 5 runs (won 0) · to 28 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Darragh Keenan's strike rate?: Darragh Keenan has won 205 of 2,451 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.4% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Darragh Keenan do best at?: Brighton by strike rate: 23 wins from 175 rides (13.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Darragh Keenan ride most for?: George Scott, with 268 rides since 2022 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 44 (16.4%).
Is Darragh Keenan in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 12 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Darragh Keenan's Fair A/E?: 1.04, from 2,433 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.