Carwyn (IRE)
Carwyn is a maiden who has shown one placed effort from 10 starts, finishing third of 13 at Bellewstown in Jul 2025. He has raced six times over 1m2f – 1m4f without success and has been held up in five of seven analysed runs. His last run, at Newcastle (AW) in Sep 2026, saw him finish 12 of 14 in a Class 6 handicap off an official rating of 57, 21lb below his highest ever mark.
- 0–10Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 1 (10%)Placed
- −10.00£1 level staken=10 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=10 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 78Highest OR
- 50dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 82
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 4 | 82A | 67.5 | 2 runs · 82 / 71.5 |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 77C | 69 | 3 runs · 77 / 69 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 6 | 82A | 71 | 6 runs · 82 / 71 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 3 | 92A | 74 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 10 figures from 10 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 10 analysed runs since Jul 2025
- Held up 6 (60%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 2 (20%) · 0 wins
- Led 1 (10%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 1 (10%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.8% of 1,216 runs since Jan 2008 (174 horses).
Strongest on good to firm going: 15.8% from 165. Weakest on good to soft going: 8.3% from 132. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.2% from 165. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 219.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −11.8 | — |
| Good to Firm | 165 | 26 | 15.8% | +4 | — |
| Good | 307 | 35 | 11.4% | −0.4 | 0 from 4 |
| Good to Soft | 132 | 11 | 8.3% | −3.5 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 148 | 17 | 11.5% | −0.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 37 | 2 | 5.4% | −6.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 425 | 52 | 12.2% | +0.4 | 0 from 3 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | −0.7 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 219 | 17 | 7.8% | −4 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 309 | 31 | 10% | −1.8 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 444 | 65 | 14.6% | +2.8 | 0 from 6 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 165 | 25 | 15.2% | +3.4 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 58 | 2 | 3.4% | −8.4 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | +4.9 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 25 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Golden West (GB) (2 wins).
The wins came over 1m–1m½f; the highest grade won is Class 2 (Golden West (GB)).
Family form: Golden West (GB) finished 2nd of 7 at Catterick, 17 Oct 2026.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden West (GB) | 15 | 2 | 1m–1m½f | Class 2 |
| Garencieres (GB) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 6 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Chester | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Gowran Park | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leopardstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bellewstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry McHugh | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| James Ryan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Colin Keane | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| David Nolan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Donagh Murphy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ethan Tindall | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheekpieces | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| None | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2025 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 25 Sep 26+25d | Newcastle (AW) | Esh Stantec Handicap Stakes Settled towards the back of the pack early - pushed for effort with three furlongs left - dropped away inside the final furlong | 12/14 | nk | 9-4 | 57 | 77C | 56C | David Nolan | 28/1 |
| 31 Aug 26+35d | Southwell (AW) | Winter Ladies Evening Sat 28th November Handicap Stakes Went straight to front - driven to stay there before losing command inside final 2f - dropped away rapidly - finished well beaten in 7th | 7/7 | 17 | 8-7 | 60 | 69C | 40C | Barry McHugh | 100/1 |
| 27 Jul 26+58d | Southwell (AW) | Prestige Safety E-learning @ Prestigesafetyservices.com Handicap Stakes handy in the pack - driven 2f out - soon faded meekly | 12/14 | shd | 8-10 | 64 | 60C | 42C | Donagh Murphy | 100/1 |
| 30 May 26+8d | Chester | General Elliot Croft Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Settled in the pack - urged forward before dropping away 2f out - finished 9th | 9/10 | 2¼ | 8-10 | 69 | 82A | 54A | Barry McHugh | 66/1 |
| 22 May 26+15d | Haydock | racingtv.com Handicap Held up towards the back - driven approaching final furlong - dropped away close home - finished ninth | 9/11 | 2¼ | 9-6 | 72 | 73A | 62A | Barry McHugh | 125/1 |
| 07 May 26+201d | Chester | Chester Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Held up rear early - never a threat - well beaten in 8th | 8/8 | 12 | 8-3 | 75 | 61C | 49C | Ethan Tindall | 80/1 |
| 2025 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 18 Oct 25+28d | Leopardstown | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap Held up towards the back - driven approaching the straight without threatening leaders - stayed on steadily but outpaced late to finish ninth | 9/12 | shd | 9-3 | 78 | 66A | 70A | James Ryan | 20/1 |
| 20 Sep 25+38d | Gowran Park | Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden (Smullen Series) Settled midfield early - up in 5th at halfway - driven approaching final 2f - held no more under pressure and slipped back late to finish 6th | 6/9 | nse | 9-5 | — | 92A | 76A | Colin Keane | 16/1 |
| 13 Aug 25+40d | Gowran Park | Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden Held up towards the back - urged into action turning for home - shaken up but made no headway approaching final 2f - stayed on at one speed inside closing furlong - finished 9th without threatening | 9/14 | ¾ | 9-0 | — | 52C | 54C | Colin Keane | 4/1 |
| 04 Jul 25 | Bellewstown | Irish EBF Median Sires Series (C & G) Maiden Held up towards the back - pushed along and made headway 2f out then chasing the front pair in 7th with a furlong left - finished off strongly to take third | 3/13 | ¾ | 8-10 | — | 74C | 93A | James Ryan | 10/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Carwyn won?
- Carwyn (IRE) has yet to win, from 10 archived starts between 2025 and 2026. Placed 1 time in total (10% of starts).
- Who trains Carwyn?
- Carwyn (IRE) is trained by Patrick Morris, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 25 September 2026.
- Who is Carwyn's sire?
- Carwyn (IRE) is by Masar (IRE) out of Gwendolyn (GER), whose sire is Invincible Spirit.
- What is Carwyn's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 57, from the run on 25 September 2026. The highest on record is 78.
- What is Carwyn's sire's record?
- Masar (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.8% of 1,216 runs since Jan 2008 (174 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to firm going: 15.8% from 165. Weakest on good to soft going: 8.3% from 132. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.2% from 165. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 219.
- Who are Carwyn's siblings?
- Out of Gwendolyn (GER), Carwyn (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Golden West (GB) (2). Highest grade won: Class 2 (Golden West (GB)). The wins came over 1m–1m½f. As at Oct 2026.