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Trainer profile

Patrick Morris

757 runners in the last 5 seasons · 63 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 11.0% of 318 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 21 Oct 2026.
Last runner yesterday 97% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
52–757
Wins / Runs
6.9%
Strike rate
n=757
188 (25%)
Placed
0.86
Fair A/E
n=753 · 0.73 incl. margin
−365.58
£1 level stake
n=757 at SP · −48.3%
£522k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 150 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.86).

Deterministic profile computed from 757 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun 31.4% when favourite David Nolan: 10.9% from 64 Claiming riders: 7.2% Sends off the favourite in 5% of races
The read

It is weakest at Haydock (0% over 44 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=92, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 7.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −188.46 to a £1 stake over 374 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. David Nolan rides 8% of the entries and edges the yard's average (10.9% vs 6.9%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well on Good to Firm going (15.6%, n=45) and off a 0-7-day break (14%, n=86). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 60 runners, 6.9pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Street Life (GB) — 12 wins from 89 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−6.9
n=92 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −92.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
1.8%−5.1
n=57 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −38.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.9
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.9
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
2.5%−4.4
n=40 · A/E 0.45 · £1 −30.50
When favourite
31.4%
n=35 · A/E 1.13 · £1 +0.59
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.2%+0.3
n=374 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −188.46

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good to Firm going 15.6% vs 6.9% · n=45
Off a 0-7-day break 14% vs 6.9% · n=86
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 6.9% · n=60
At Haydock 0% vs 6.9% · n=44
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 6.9% · n=32
At trips under 6f 11.4% vs 6.9% · n=140
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 735 50 6.8% −359.83
Chase 14 2 14.3% +2.25
Hurdle 8 0 0% −8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 518 38 7.3% −244.91
Good 102 5 4.9% −62.92
Good to Firm 45 7 15.6% +4.75
Good to Soft 44 1 2.3% −21.00
Soft 39 1 2.6% −32.50
Heavy 9 0 0% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newcastle (AW) 213 18 8.5% −95.92
Wolverhampton (AW) 212 12 5.7% −106.87
Southwell (AW) 73 7 9.6% −35.12
Chester 57 1 1.8% −34.00
Haydock 44 0 0% −44.00
Carlisle 23 1 4.3% −16.50
Hamilton 20 2 10% −5.67
Bath 10 1 10% −3.50
Doncaster 9 0 0% −9.00
Lingfield (AW) 9 0 0% −9.00
Ripon 7 1 14.3% +2.00
Redcar 7 0 0% −7.00
Pontefract 7 1 14.3% −3.50
Hexham 7 2 28.6% +9.25
Chelmsford City (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 377 36 9.5% −134.71
Class 5 235 13 5.5% −134.87
Class 4 114 3 2.6% −65.00
Class 3 21 0 0% −21.00
Class 2 10 0 0% −10.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 44 14 31.8% 1.21 +4.59
2nd–3rd fav 128 12 9.4% 0.59 −64.67
4th–6th fav 245 24 9.8% 1.22 +2.50
7th+ in betting 340 2 0.6% 0.23 −308.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Street Life (GB)from Richard Fahey 81 9 28 27 Apr 26
Hot Team (IRE)from Richard Fahey 60 5 17 29 Sep 25
Brian The Snail (IRE)from Richard Fahey 47 6 15 25 Apr 26
Tasever (GB)from Tim Easterby 42 6 18 20 Oct 26
Golspie (IRE)from Eve Johnson Houghton 42 3 15 29 Sep 26
Wyvern (GB)from Stuart Williams 36 3 10 11 May 26
Bajan Bandit (GB)from Grant Tuer 30 2 9 20 Oct 26
Rogue Thunder (GB)from Tom Clover 28 1 7 27 Jan 26
Rampant (GB)from James Ewart 22 0 5 5 Feb 26
Havachoc (GB)from Grant Tuer 21 3 9 25 Sep 26
Lessay (IRE)from Ed Dunlop 20 2 5 25 Sep 26
Book Of Life (GB)from Ian Williams 19 0 9 12 Sep 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 63 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 57 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ian Williams (6) and Richard Fahey (5); 3 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for Ian Williams (3) and C Byrnes (2); 52 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 4
Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
87358122746913
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderDavid Nolan
8% of all rides
10.9% SR · A/E 1.02
RiderRWSR£1
David Nolan 64 7 10.9% −27.50
Paddy Bradley 62 6 9.7% −12.25
Ryan Kavanagh 55 5 9.1% −24.92
Warren Fentiman 38 2 5.3% −20.50
Billy Loughnane 34 2 5.9% +0.00
Rhys Elliott 34 3 8.8% −20.92
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
166
Archived wins
£1.24m
Prize money
2025
Best season · 19 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Aunty Euro (IRE) — Ulster Oaks Fillies' Handicap (60-90) Down Royal · Jun 2006
£17,903
Modular (GB) — Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Chase Tramore (IRE) · Apr 2008
£13,475
Lady Orpen (IRE) — Www.tipperaryraces.ie Race Tipperary · Apr 2006
£13,020
Notable horses
Street Life (GB) Radiator Rooney (IRE) Bell Heather (IRE) Ask Jenny (IRE) Your Gifted (IRE) Brian The Snail (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Hot Streak (IRE) 11.1% · 9–81
Progeny have won 8% of 1,754 runs since 2008 (123 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.7% from 780. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.9% from 153.
Zoffany (IRE) 8.3% · 5–60
Progeny have won 9.9% of 10,761 runs since 2008 (799 horses).
Zebedee (GB) 12.8% · 6–47
Progeny have won 9% of 7,139 runs since 2008 (435 horses).
Ribchester (IRE) 6.5% · 3–46
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,744 runs since 2008 (261 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.5% from 116. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.1% from 213.
Tasleet (GB) 14.3% · 6–42
Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,175 runs since 2008 (133 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 15.9% from 107. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 356.
Churchill (IRE) 10.5% · 4–38
Progeny have won 11% of 4,788 runs since 2008 (459 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,376 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,376 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 January 2005 to 20 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Bajan Bandit (GB)J: Alexandra Egan Awc Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 13/2
20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Tasever (GB)J: David Nolan AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 18/1
19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Someone's Wish (IRE)J: Jack Nicholls bettingsites.co.uk Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 18/1
13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Lady Delila (IRE)J: Alexandra Egan Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 16/1
29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Mythical Isle (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd 8/1
29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Masterpiece (GB)J: Paddy Bradley Follow @AtTheRaces On Instagram Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 12/1
29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Golspie (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 6 ran 4th 5/1
29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Lady Delila (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 40/1
27 Sep 26 Ffos Las Someone's Wish (IRE)J: Mr Jack Loughnane Bridge Llangennech Open Daily Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (For Riders With 3 Wins Or Fewer At Start Of Season)Class 6 · 10f · Soft · 5 ran 4th 10/1
25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Tasever (GB)J: Tom Kiely-Marshall Today's Wonderful Sponsors Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 50/1
25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Lessay (IRE)J: Cian Horgan Today's Wonderful Sponsors Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 66/1
25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Bajan Bandit (GB)J: David Nolan Mwh Treatment Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 100/30
25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Carwyn (IRE)J: David Nolan Esh Stantec Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 28/1
25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Dancingondiamonds (FR)J: Jack Callan Northumbrian Wateraid Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 33/1
25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Havachoc (GB)J: David Nolan Northumbrian Wateraid Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 8/1
19 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Triggerman (IRE)J: Finlay Bassett Get The Inside Track With Raceday-ready.com Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 50/1
19 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Bajan Bandit (GB)J: Alexandra Egan Get The Inside Track With Raceday-ready.com Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 5/1
17 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Cavalry Call (IRE)J: Miss Grace Barr Download The At The Races App Novice Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (Riders Who Have Ridden 3 Winners Or Fewer At Start Of Season)Class 6 · 11f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 66/1
17 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Golspie (IRE)J: Mr Lucas Murphy Download The At The Races App Novice Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (Riders Who Have Ridden 3 Winners Or Fewer At Start Of Season)Class 6 · 11f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 15/8F
13 Sep 26 Doncaster Henrythenate (GB)J: Jack Nicholls Land Of Lights Festival At Gullivers Handicap StakesClass 3 · 5f · Good · 16 ran 13th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Patrick Morris's strike rate?
Patrick Morris has won 52 of 757 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Patrick Morris do best at?
Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 73 runners (9.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Patrick Morris?
David Nolan, with 64 runners since 2022 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (10.9%).
Is Patrick Morris in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Patrick Morris's Fair A/E?
0.86, from 753 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).