What is Ethan Tindall's strike rate?

Ethan Tindall has won 39 of 411 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.5% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ethan Tindall do best at?

Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 76 rides (11.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Ethan Tindall ride most for?

Richard Fahey, with 137 rides since 2022 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (10.2%).

Is Ethan Tindall in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 13 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Ethan Tindall's Fair A/E?

1.07, from 410 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Ethan Tindall

411 rides in the last 5 seasons · 199 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Won yesterday Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)

from 1 Jan 2022

39–411

Wins / Runs

9.5%

Strike rate

n=411

114 (28%)

Placed

1.07

Fair A/E

n=410 · 0.90 incl. margin

+18.99

£1 level stake

n=411 at SP · +4.6%

£482k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.1%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 80 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.07). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 15% (39 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 411 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Richard Fahey: 10.2% from 137 LTO winners: 15.4% Claiming: 9.8%

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 15.4% (n=39, Fair A/E 1.15), but first rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 5.5% (n=199, Fair A/E 0.75). Richard Fahey supplies 33% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (10.2%, A/E 1.15) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well in Class 6 (13.1%, n=168). The record reads poorly over 1m2f – 1m4f — 0% over 36 rides, 9.5pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.5% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.5%−4.0

n=199 · A/E 0.75 · £1 +11.88

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

15.4%+5.9

n=39 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +9.58

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7.3%−2.2

n=55 · A/E 1.63 · £1 −23.50

When favourite

22.7%

n=22 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −7.25

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

9.8%+0.3

n=398 · A/E 1.10 · £1 +31.99

Big fields · 14+ runners

8.9%−0.6

n=56 · A/E 1.77 · £1 +40.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 0% vs 9.5% · n=36

On last-time-out winners 15.4% vs 9.5% · n=39

On first rides for the horse 5.5% vs 9.5% · n=199

With John David Riches 15.2% vs 9.5% · n=33

In Class 6 13.1% vs 9.5% · n=168

With C&D winners 13.2% vs 9.5% · n=106

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 183 21 11.5% +85.83

Good 88 7 8% −40.55

Good to Firm 61 6 9.8% −20.62

Good to Soft 35 2 5.7% −26.67

Soft 32 2 6.3% −1.00

Heavy 12 1 8.3% +22.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 76 9 11.8% +102.50

Wolverhampton (AW) 54 6 11.1% −6.00

Southwell (AW) 31 3 9.7% −16.17

Catterick 29 3 10.3% −13.67

Beverley 24 2 8.3% −16.12

Thirsk 23 1 4.3% −11.00

Ripon 22 2 9.1% −5.00

Doncaster 20 2 10% +23.00

York 17 1 5.9% −6.00

Hamilton 14 1 7.1% −8.00

Chelmsford City (AW) 12 1 8.3% −3.50

Pontefract 12 1 8.3% −9.38

Carlisle 11 1 9.1% −6.67

Redcar 10 0 0% −10.00

Chester 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 168 22 13.1% −0.09

Class 5 116 10 8.6% +59.08

Class 4 78 5 6.4% −38.00

Class 2 32 2 6.3% +15.00

Class 3 17 0 0% −17.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 28 5 17.9% 0.69 −13.25

2nd–3rd fav 79 16 20.3% 1.23 +3.24

4th–6th fav 131 12 9.2% 1.10 −25.00

7th+ in betting 173 6 3.5% 1.14 +54.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Havana Rum (IRE) 16 2 6 27 Oct 26

Vintage Clarets (GB) 14 0 3 30 Oct 26

Ziggy's Queen (IRE) 11 2 5 24 Jul 26

Monsieur Kodi (IRE) 10 1 7 9 Sep 26

Street Life (GB) 10 2 5 25 Feb 26

Mwafaq (IRE) 9 4 5 30 Oct 26

Evocative Spark (IRE) 9 2 4 30 Sep 26

Show Me Show Me (GB) 9 1 2 20 Feb 25

Blue Jay Way (GB) 8 2 3 27 Oct 26

Rock Opera (GB) 8 0 1 25 Jul 26

Good Karma (GB) 6 1 2 26 Sep 26

Rain Cap (GB) 6 0 2 3 Sep 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 199 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 13

Only 13 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

11111714414812391213

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardRichard Fahey

33% of all rides
10.2% SR · A/E 1.15

TrainerRWSR£1

Richard Fahey 137 14 10.2% −12.67

Richard & Peter Fahey 90 6 6.7% −27.17

John David Riches 33 5 15.2% +8.33

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→

Archived wins

£482k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 22 wins

Golden Mind (IRE) — Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Handicap Doncaster · Nov 2025 · Class 2

£23,193

Ziggy's Queen (IRE) — BetMGM AWC Fillies And Mares Trial Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Feb 2026 · Class 2

£23,193

Lord Roxby (IRE) — William Hill Keep Your Raceday Positive Handicap York · May 2026 · Class 4

£12,885

Notable horses

Mwafaq (IRE) Havana Rum (IRE) Ziggy's Queen (IRE) Street Life (GB) Evocative Spark (IRE) Blue Jay Way (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Havana Grey (GB) 13% · 3–23

Progeny have won 13.2% of 4,595 runs since 2022 (419 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.2% from 105. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 422.

Mehmas (IRE) 18.2% · 4–22

Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,214 runs since 2020 (752 horses).

Ardad (IRE) 5.9% · 1–17

Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,543 runs since 2021 (352 horses).

Dark Angel (IRE) 13.3% · 2–15

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,934 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 13.3% · 2–15

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,862 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Kodiac (GB) 13.3% · 2–15

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,595 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 411 · newest first

The latest 50 of 411 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 14 June 2022 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Supreme Dancer (IRE)T: Richard & Peter Fahey racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 1st 25/1

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Rambuso Creek (IRE)T: Michael Herrington Ladies Day 8th May On Sale Now Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 10 ran 5th 17/2

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Yaahobby (IRE)T: Antony Brittain Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 14/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Winter Crown (GB)T: Liam Bailey Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 40/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Mwafaq (IRE)T: Richard & Peter Fahey Awc Season 14 Has Begun Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 7/2F

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Vintage Clarets (GB)T: Richard & Peter Fahey Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 3 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 9/1

27 Oct 26 Catterick Havana Rum (IRE)T: Richard & Peter Fahey Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 15 ran 7th 4/1

27 Oct 26 Catterick Blue Jay Way (GB)T: John David Riches Celebrating Helen MacKinnon's LX Years Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 10 ran 2nd 5/1

27 Oct 26 Catterick By Jove Grace (IRE)T: Richard & Peter Fahey Download The Raceday Ready App Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Soft · 7 ran 2nd 2/1F

26 Oct 26 Leicester Dinah Myte (GB)T: John Gallagher Fireworks Festival Here Saturday 7th November Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 16 ran 6th 9/4F

26 Oct 26 Leicester Claret And Blues (GB)T: Richard & Peter Fahey Christmas Parties At Leicester Racecourse - Book Now Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 5th 5/1

24 Oct 26 Doncaster Cotai Belle (IRE)T: Richard & Peter Fahey Rfj And Bee Jays Electrical Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 7f · Heavy · 13 ran 10th 20/1

23 Oct 26 Doncaster Musical Touch (IRE)T: Richard & Peter Fahey William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap StakesClass 2 · 6f · Soft · 15 ran 8th 33/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Promethean (FR)T: Sam England Go Racing In Yorkshire Future Stars Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Good · 10 ran 4th 16/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Vintage Clarets (GB)T: Richard & Peter Fahey William Hill Catterick Dash Handicap StakesClass 2 · 5f · Good · 12 ran 4th 22/1

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Mr Moonshine (IRE)T: Richard & Peter Fahey quinnbet.com Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 4/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Nefyn Queen (GB)T: Stephen Hanlon Free Bets On Attheraces.com Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 125/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Supreme Dancer (IRE)T: Richard & Peter Fahey Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 6 ran 2nd 18/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Blue Jay Way (GB)T: John David Riches Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 22/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Yaahobby (IRE)T: Antony Brittain Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 7/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 12 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 4 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Ethan Tindall's strike rate?: Ethan Tindall has won 39 of 411 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.5% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ethan Tindall do best at?: Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 76 rides (11.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Ethan Tindall ride most for?: Richard Fahey, with 137 rides since 2022 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (10.2%).
Is Ethan Tindall in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 13 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Ethan Tindall's Fair A/E?: 1.07, from 410 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.