How many races has C'est Ta Chance won?

C'est Ta Chance (FR) won 3 of 14 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 21.4%. Placed 5 times in total (35.7% of starts).

Who trains C'est Ta Chance?

C'est Ta Chance (FR) is trained by W P Mullins, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 6 April 2026.

Who is C'est Ta Chance's sire?

C'est Ta Chance (FR) is by Elm Park (GB) out of Kadiana (IRE), whose sire is Grand Lodge.

What going does C'est Ta Chance prefer?

C'est Ta Chance (FR) has the best record on heavy going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.

What is C'est Ta Chance's official rating?

The most recent official rating on record is 142, from the run on 6 April 2026. That is also the highest on record.

Who are C'est Ta Chance's siblings?

Out of Kadiana (IRE), C'est Ta Chance (FR) has 5 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Paricolor (FR) (9). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Paricolor (FR)). The wins came over 1m3f–2m7f. As at Oct 2026.

Horse profile

C'est Ta Chance (FR)

7yo gelding · Trainer W P Mullins · Owner Simon Munir Isaac Souede

by Elm Park (GB) out of Kadiana (IRE) (Grand Lodge)

14 runs · 9 courses · from Jan 2024

As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily

3 wins · Thurles, Gowran Park & Clonmel Last run 6 Apr 2026 · 8th of 30 Last raced off OR 142

KTB Profile

C'est Ta Chance is 3 from 14 on turf with wins at Thurles, Gowran Park and Clonmel, including the Grade 3 Pierce Molony Memorial Novice Chase at Thurles in Mar 2026. Both chase wins came on soft or heavy ground over 2m1f – 2m4f and 2m5f – 3m. Typically held up, he finished 8 of 30 in the Boyle Sports Irish Grand National Chase at Fairyhouse in Apr 2026 when last raced off his career-high mark of 142.

Based on 14 archived runs · run-style from 10 commented runs since Jan 2025 · updated 25 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance OR at career high

3–14Wins / Runs
21.4%Strike rate
5 (35.7%)Placed
+7.62£1 level staken=14 at SP
1.17Fair A/E n=14 · 0.99 incl. margin
142Highest OR
62dAvg between runs

Official rating142At career-high mark

142 117–142

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 138 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Gowran Park, 22 Jan 2026

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Jumps 14 figures · best 138^B · median 104.5

Going	Runs	Best	Median	Since 25 Oct 2025
Soft	10	120^C	103	3 runs · 112 / 88
Heavy	3	138^B	104	2 runs · 138 / 121
Good to Soft	1	—	—	—

Distance	Runs	Best	Median	Since 25 Oct 2025
2m5f – 3m	5	120^C	111	2 runs · 112 / 87.5
1m5f – 2m	5	106^B	101	—
2m1f – 2m4f	3	138^B	112	2 runs · 138 / 121
Over 3m	1	—	—	1 run · —

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 14 figures from 14 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 149^B the best of the last 3 rated runs · Thurles, 5 Mar 2026 Official rating 142 at the last run, 6 Apr 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Jumps 14 figures · best 151^B · median 129.5

Going	Runs	Best	Median	Since 25 Oct 2025
Soft	10	151^B	128.5	3 runs · 149 / 130
Heavy	3	144^A	142	2 runs · 144 / 133
Good to Soft	1	—	—	—

Distance	Runs	Best	Median	Since 25 Oct 2025
2m5f – 3m	5	149^B	129	2 runs · 149 / 138.5
1m5f – 2m	5	151^B	127	—
2m1f – 2m4f	3	144^A	140	2 runs · 144 / 133
Over 3m	1	—	—	1 run · —

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 14 figures from 14 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style from 10 analysed runs since Jan 2025

Prominent 4 (40%) · 0 wins
Mid-division 4 (40%) · 1 win
Held up 2 (20%) · 1 win

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Elm Park (GB)

Progeny in our archive have won 8.5% of 177 runs since Jan 2008 (45 horses).

Going	Runs	Wins	SR	vs sire	This horse
Good to Firm	3	0	0%	−8.5	—
Good	10	1	10%	+1.5	—
Good to Soft	27	1	3.7%	−4.8	0 from 1
Soft	62	5	8.1%	−0.4	2 from 10
Heavy	28	2	7.1%	−1.4	1 from 3
Standard (AW)	47	6	12.8%	+4.3	—

Distance (all codes)	Runs	Wins	SR	vs sire	This horse
6f – 7f	12	1	8.3%	−0.2	—
1m – 1m1f	31	2	6.5%	−2	—
1m2f – 1m4f	40	4	10%	+1.5	—
1m5f – 2m	38	3	7.9%	−0.6	0 from 5
2m1f – 2m4f	49	4	8.2%	−0.3	2 from 3
2m5f – 3m	6	1	16.7%	+8.2	1 from 5
Over 3m	1	0	0%	−8.5	0 from 1

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 24 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam

Kadiana (IRE) (Grand Lodge)

5 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Paricolor (FR) (9 wins).

The wins came over 1m3f–2m7f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Paricolor (FR)).

Produce	Runs	Wins	Win trips	Best grade
Paricolor (FR)	44	9	1m7½f–2m7f	Class 4
Kadaya (IRE)	1	1	1m3f	—
Kalik (FR)	9	0	—	—
Kalidjar (FR)	2	0	—	—
Kiyrna (FR)	1	0	—	—

Record by conditions

Going	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
Soft	10	2	20%	−3.38
Heavy	3	1	33%	+12.00
Good to Soft	1	0	0%	−1.00

Class	Runs	SR	£1
Class 3	1	0%	−1.00
Class 2	1	0%	−1.00
Class 1	1	0%	−1.00

Course	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
Navan	3	0	0%	−3.00
Fairyhouse	2	0	0%	−2.00
Punchestown	2	0	0%	−2.00
Ayr	2	0	0%	−2.00
Thurles	1	1	100%	+4.00
Gowran Park	1	1	100%	+14.00
Leopardstown	1	0	0%	−1.00
Clonmel	1	1	100%	+0.62
Cheltenham	1	0	0%	−1.00

Distance	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
2m5f – 3m	5	1	20%	+0.00
1m5f – 2m	5	0	0%	−5.00
2m1f – 2m4f	3	2	67%	+13.62
Over 3m	1	0	0%	−1.00

Jockey	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
Paul Townend	3	1	33%	+2.00
J J Slevin	3	0	0%	−3.00
Mr P W Mullins	3	1	33%	−1.38
Danny Mullins	2	1	50%	+13.00
Sam Ewing	1	0	0%	−1.00
Brian Hayes	1	0	0%	−1.00
Daryl Jacob	1	0	0%	−1.00

Season	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
2026	3	2	67%	+17.00
2025	7	0	0%	−7.00
2024	4	1	25%	−2.38

Type	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
Hurdle	6	1	17%	−4.38
Chase	5	2	40%	+15.00
NH Flat	3	0	0%	−3.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

Date	Course	Race	Pos	Btn	Wgt	OR	Spd	KTB	Jockey	SP
2026 · 3 runs
06 Apr 26+32d	Fairyhouse	BOYLE Sports Irish Grand National Chase (Extended Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) 29f · Yielding To Soft · 30 ran Settled just behind pace - minor error at 10th - 8th at halfway - up into 5th before a small blunder 4 out - 4th but stumbled 3 out - dropped away after and well held to finish	8/30	4¾	11-0	142	88^C	130^C	Danny Mullins	20/1
05 Mar 26+42d	Thurles	Pierce Molony Memorial Novice Chase (Grade 3) 21.5f · Soft · 6 ran Settled midpack early - slipped towards the back before the 7th - improved into 3rd after 4 out - asked for effort before the last to hit the front and stayed on strongly to win going away	1/6		10-13	140	112^A	149^B	Paul Townend	4/1
22 Jan 26+25d	Gowran Park	Daly Farrell Accountants Beginners Chase 20f · Heavy · 9 ran Held up towards the back - improved into 6th 4 out then 4th 2 out - hampered by a small error at the last - shifted left and driven out on the run-in - finished strongly to get up on the post	1/9		11-12	132	138^B	144^A	Danny Mullins	14/1
2025 · 7 runs
28 Dec 25+37d	Leopardstown	Ballymaloe Relish Rising Stars Beginners Chase 21.5f · Yielding · 9 ran Settled midfield - slipped back to 7th before edging into 5th 3 out - kept on into 4th but held late - stayed on same gear to the line	4/9	3¾	11-12	—	63^A	128^A	Sam Ewing	40/1
21 Nov 25+204d	Fairyhouse	Irish National Hunt Chase CLG Beginners Chase 20f · Heavy · 10 ran Held up in the pack - pushed along into 8th two out before improving to 6th at the last - stayed on same pace to finish 5th	5/10	11	11-12	—	104^A	122^A	Brian Hayes	18/1
01 May 25+19d	Punchestown	Conway Piling Handicap Hurdle (Listed) 23.5f · Yielding · 23 ran Held up at the back - urged forward in the early stages - hampered hard at the 3rd - made no headway from 2 out and well held	18/23	1¾	11-1	131	120^C	112^C	J J Slevin	20/1
12 Apr 25+21d	Ayr	Stagecoach We've Got You Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Class 3 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran Sat close to pace early - pushed along after 3 out - faded final furlong to finish fourth	4/5	¾	12-0	135	111^C	133^B	J J Slevin	7/1
22 Mar 25+30d	Navan	Irish Stallion Farms EBF Novice Hurdle 22.5f · Soft · 6 ran Settled midfield early - improved into range 2 out - unable to close gap in 4th last after a mistake - stayed one-speed to finish 4th	4/6	4¼	11-4	133	85^A	129^B	Paul Townend	11/4
20 Feb 25+33d	Punchestown	Madigan Group Irish EBF Sheila Bourke Novice Hurdle (Listed) 16f · Soft · 5 ran Sat close behind the front group in 3rd - hit the fence lightly 4th - pushed along in 3rd after 3 out but unable to close - held a modest 4th at the last - held on with nothing more to give	4/5	2¼	11-9	134	75^C	124^B	Paul Townend	5/2
18 Jan 25+46d	Navan	Race Displays Rated Novice Hurdle 16f · Soft · 5 ran Settled in 3rd behind the pace - small error 3 out lost ground to last - recovered to challenge 2 out - driven into 2nd before the final fence - stayed on into a prolonged tussle on the run-in - just denied in 2nd	2/5	¾	11-9	—	101^C	151^B	J J Slevin	9/2
2024 · 4 runs
03 Dec 24+227d	Clonmel	ClonmelRaces.ie (Q.R.) Maiden Hurdle (Div 1) 19.5f · Yielding · 18 ran Shared early running in 3rd - small error 6th and still 3rd at halfway - minor mistake 3 out then urged for a spell - found extra to draw level between rivals entering the straight - driven and level again before 2 out - moved in front after 2 out - stayed on strongly from the last to prevail	1/18		11-4	—	112^B	140^A	Mr P W Mullins	8/13F
20 Apr 24+38d	Ayr	Golf Inn Prestwick Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) Class 2 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran	4/11	1¾	11-3	117	105^A	127^A	Mr P W Mullins	11/10F
13 Mar 24+53d	Cheltenham	Weatherbys Champion Bumper (Standard Open NH Flat Race) (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Class 1 · 16.5f · Soft · 19 ran	13/19	3½	11-7	117	106^B	122^A	Daryl Jacob	33/1
20 Jan 24	Navan	Racing Again February 11th (Pro/Am) Flat Race 16f · Soft To Heavy · 6 ran	2/6	shd	12-0	—	53^A	142^B	Mr P W Mullins	8/13F

Quick answers

How many races has C'est Ta Chance won?: C'est Ta Chance (FR) won 3 of 14 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 21.4%. Placed 5 times in total (35.7% of starts).
Who trains C'est Ta Chance?: C'est Ta Chance (FR) is trained by W P Mullins, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 6 April 2026.
Who is C'est Ta Chance's sire?: C'est Ta Chance (FR) is by Elm Park (GB) out of Kadiana (IRE), whose sire is Grand Lodge.
What going does C'est Ta Chance prefer?: C'est Ta Chance (FR) has the best record on heavy going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is C'est Ta Chance's official rating?: The most recent official rating on record is 142, from the run on 6 April 2026. That is also the highest on record.
What is C'est Ta Chance's sire's record?: Elm Park (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 8.5% of 177 runs since Jan 2008 (45 horses), Flat and jumps together.
Who are C'est Ta Chance's siblings?: Out of Kadiana (IRE), C'est Ta Chance (FR) has 5 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Paricolor (FR) (9). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Paricolor (FR)). The wins came over 1m3f–2m7f. As at Oct 2026.

KTB Speed and Rating

Run style from 10 analysed runs since Jan 2025

Pedigree intelligence

Record by conditions

▾Going

▾Class 3 of 14 runs

▾Course

▾Distance

▾Jockey

▾Season

▾Type

Form

Quick answers