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Jockey profile

Mr P. W. Mullins

775 rides in the last 5 seasons · 462 individual horses
As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride yesterday
from 1 Jan 2022
247–775
Wins / Runs
31.9%
Strike rate
n=775
444 (57%)
Placed
1.08
n=775 · 0.89 incl. margin
−91.28
£1 level stake
n=775 at SP · −11.8%
£4.64m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
31.9%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 160 times a season, winning on 32% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.08). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 41% off breaks of two months or more (174 runs). Rides mostly for W P Mullins — 83% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 775 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 14 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires May–Sep Fresh horses: 40.8% 47.4% when favourite W P Mullins: 33.9% from 641 First rides: 36.2% Rides the favourite in 52% of races
The read

It is weakest at Cheltenham (11.5% over 61 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 40.8% (n=174, Fair A/E 1.31), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 12.2% (n=148, Fair A/E 0.64). Rides in big fields of 14 or more are the standout value angle: 29.2% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.28 and +32.99 to a £1 stake over 209 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. W P Mullins supplies 83% of the rides and edges the rider's average (33.9% vs 31.9%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 11.9% over 160 rides, 20pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.79 across 112 rides (19.6% strike, −62.49 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 66 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Randox Grand National Handicap Chase at Aintree (Apr 2025, £500,000). The standout partner of the record: Billaway (IRE) — 9 wins from 23 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires May–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 31.9% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
36.2%+4.3
n=426 · A/E 1.18 · £1 +1.47
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
27.9%−4.0
n=154 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −30.70
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
40.8%+8.9
n=174 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +48.11
When favourite
47.4%
n=405 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −30.77
Big fields · 14+ runners
29.2%−2.7
n=209 · A/E 1.28 · £1 +32.99
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
12.2%−19.7
n=148 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −52.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 31.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 1 11.9% vs 31.9% · n=160
In Group / Graded races 12.2% vs 31.9% · n=148
At Cheltenham 11.5% vs 31.9% · n=61
Over 2m5f – 3m 16.9% vs 31.9% · n=65
Off a 15-30-day break 19.6% vs 31.9% · n=112
In Chase races 19.8% vs 31.9% · n=106
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
NH Flat 434 162 37.3% −35.80
Hurdle 141 41 29.1% −11.59
Chase 106 21 19.8% −9.41
Flat 94 23 24.5% −34.48

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 320 84 26.3% −77.78
Good 172 72 41.9% −2.85
Good to Soft 165 48 29.1% −20.38
Heavy 108 41 38% +13.48
Standard (AW) 9 2 22.2% −2.75
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 101 26 25.7% −25.27
Cheltenham 61 7 11.5% +9.66
Fairyhouse 56 11 19.6% −29.74
Leopardstown 53 12 22.6% −26.66
Galway 47 12 25.5% −17.95
Downpatrick 29 13 44.8% +1.85
Naas 28 10 35.7% −2.55
Wexford 28 7 25% −9.60
Clonmel 27 10 37% −2.44
Navan 25 10 40% +6.74
Kilbeggan 25 9 36% −5.33
Thurles 24 7 29.2% −10.47
Listowel 24 11 45.8% +0.38
Limerick 23 15 65.2% +23.81
Sligo 19 6 31.6% −8.11

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 160 19 11.9% −30.00
Class 2 29 2 6.9% −23.76
Class 4 26 17 65.4% +2.92
Class 5 9 3 33.3% −4.07
Class 3 5 1 20% −1.25

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 427 197 46.1% 1.13 −35.86
2nd–3rd fav 229 44 19.2% 0.96 −73.42
4th–6th fav 89 3 3.4% 0.41 −52.00
7th+ in betting 30 3 10% 2.71 +70.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.4% completed · 247 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 106 74.5% 8 4 14 1 0
Hurdle 141 93.6% 2 0 7 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Billaway (IRE) 14 5 9 24 May 24
Chart Topper (FR) 8 2 5 25 Oct 25
Sharjah (FR) 8 0 4 14 Mar 24
Stattler (IRE) 7 2 3 13 Mar 26
Ile Atlantique (FR) 7 1 3 29 Apr 25
Ashroe Diamond (IRE) 7 2 3 4 May 24
Jarrive De Mee (FR) 6 3 3 23 Oct 26
Al Arrivee (FR) 6 3 6 24 Sep 26
Cause For Comment (FR) 6 1 4 22 May 26
Fun Fun Fun (IRE) 6 4 4 5 Jan 25
Fine Margin (IRE) 6 3 3 26 Oct 24
Road To Home (IRE) 5 1 4 25 Apr 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 462 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
433425213850393735262330
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardW P Mullins
83% of all rides
33.9% SR · A/E 1.07
TrainerRWSR£1
W P Mullins 641 217 33.9% −86.33
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
947
Archived wins
66
Pattern / graded wins
£14.3m
Prize money
2012
Best season · 74 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Nick Rockett (IRE) — Randox Grand National Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Aintree · Apr 2025 · Class 1
£500,000
Sharjah (FR) — Guinness Galway Hurdle Handicap (Grade A) Galway · Aug 2018 · Grade A
£177,000
Un De Sceaux (FR) — Boylesports Champion Chase (Grade 1) Punchestown · Apr 2018 · Grade 1
£162,250

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Walk In The Park (IRE) 33.8% · 23–68
Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,102 runs since 2011 (712 horses).
Authorized (IRE) 28% · 7–25
Progeny have won 13.5% of 7,042 runs since 2011 (543 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.3% from 1,044. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 19.7% from 127. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 267.
Doctor Dino (FR) 13.6% · 3–22
Progeny have won 15.9% of 3,242 runs since 2013 (500 horses). Strongest on Good going: 19.9% from 567. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 212. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.7% from 699. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.7% from 138.
Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 38.1% · 8–21
Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,905 runs since 2013 (688 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Jukebox Jury (IRE) 50% · 10–20
Progeny have won 13.6% of 2,263 runs since 2016 (257 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.3% from 155.
Well Chosen (GB) 45% · 9–20
Progeny have won 12.7% of 1,926 runs since 2008 (156 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,187 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,187 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 December 2005 to 13 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Dr Bones (IRE)T: W. P. Mullins GavinLynchRacing.com Flat Race15.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 3rd 100/30

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 23 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Mr P. W. Mullins's strike rate?
Mr P. W. Mullins has won 247 of 775 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 31.9% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mr P. W. Mullins do best at?
Punchestown by strike rate: 26 wins from 101 rides (25.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Mr P. W. Mullins ride most for?
W P Mullins, with 641 rides since 2022 — 83% of the total. That pairing has won 217 (33.9%).
Is Mr P. W. Mullins in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mr P. W. Mullins's Fair A/E?
1.08, from 775 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 14 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).