Horse profile
Coincidental Glory (IRE)
by Cotai Glory (GB) out of Coincidently (GB) (Acclamation)
26 runs · 15 courses · from Jul 2025
As at 30 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Won last time out
2 wins · Navan (IRE) & Dundalk (AW)
Last run 21 Oct 2026 · 1st of 21
Last raced off OR 60
KTB Profile
Coincidental Glory is 2 from 26 with both wins at 6f-7f, one on soft turf at Navan in Oct 2026 and one on standard AW at Dundalk in Dec 2025. He races prominently, doing so in 19 of 25 analysed runs. His last run, at Navan in Oct 2026, was a win in the Christmas Parties At Navan Racecourse 5th & 13th December Handicap off an official rating of 60, 12lb below his previous winning mark and 17lb below his highest ever mark of 77.
Based on 26 archived runs · run-style from 25 commented runs since Jul 2025 · updated 30 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
Typically prominent
OR ↓ 17lb off peak
- 2–26Wins / Runs
- 7.7%Strike rate
- 13 (50%)Placed
- −16.00£1 level staken=26 at SP
- 0.72Fair A/E n=26 · 0.56 incl. margin
- 77Highest OR
- 18dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating60↓ 17lb off peak
60
60–77
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 89
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 30 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 9 | 89A | 84 | 7 runs · 89 / 85 |
| Good | 9 | 100C | 83 | 7 runs · 100 / 84 |
| Standard (AW) | 6 | 96A | 85.5 | 5 runs · 96 / 87 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 103A | 98.5 | 1 run · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 30 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 24 | 103A | 84 | 18 runs · 100 / 85.5 |
| Under 6f | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 26 figures from 26 runs · as at 29 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
The forward record. KTB’s figures on this horse since 21 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 1) · to 21 Oct 2026. Each pick was the figure’s choice before the off, settled against the result the next morning; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races since 5 Oct 2026.
Run style from 25 analysed runs since Jul 2025
- Prominent 19 (76%) · 2 wins
- Held up 3 (12%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 2 (8%) · 0 wins
- Led 1 (4%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 11.5% of 3,943 runs since Jan 2008 (389 horses).
Strongest on standard (aw) going: 14.7% from 1,412. Weakest on soft going: 7.1% from 425.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | +27 | — |
| Good to Firm | 621 | 78 | 12.6% | +1.1 | — |
| Good | 1,050 | 92 | 8.8% | −2.7 | 0 from 9 |
| Good to Soft | 318 | 29 | 9.1% | −2.4 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 425 | 30 | 7.1% | −4.4 | 1 from 9 |
| Heavy | 104 | 11 | 10.6% | −0.9 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,412 | 207 | 14.7% | +3.2 | 1 from 6 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 812 | 111 | 13.7% | +2.2 | 0 from 1 |
| 6f – 7f | 2,030 | 225 | 11.1% | −0.4 | 2 from 24 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 725 | 77 | 10.6% | −0.9 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 303 | 35 | 11.6% | +0.1 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 49 | 1 | 2% | −9.5 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 24 | 3 | 12.5% | +1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 29 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Coincidently (GB) (Acclamation)
3 siblings in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broadbeach (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
| No Such Thing (IRE) | 11 | 0 | — | — |
| Millie's Street (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 9 | 1 | 11% | −3.50 |
| Good | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 6 | 1 | 17% | −1.50 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundalk (AW) | 5 | 1 | 20% | −0.50 |
| Curragh | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Curragh (IRE) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Navan (IRE) | 2 | 1 | 50% | +3.50 |
| Naas | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Dundalk (AW) (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fairyhouse (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Galway (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Navan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Limerick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Roscommon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Gowran Park | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sligo | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leopardstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 24 | 2 | 8% | −14.00 |
| Under 6f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Caffrey | 12 | 0 | 0% | −12.00 |
| Reese Holohan | 5 | 1 | 20% | +0.50 |
| Sam Coen | 3 | 1 | 33% | +1.50 |
| Declan McDonogh | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Gavin Ryan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| R. P. Whelan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chris Hayes | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 15 | 0 | 0% | −15.00 |
| Hood | 8 | 1 | 13% | −3.50 |
| Visor | 3 | 1 | 33% | +2.50 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 16 | 1 | 6% | −10.50 |
| 2025 | 10 | 1 | 10% | −5.50 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 16 runs | ||||||||||
| 21 Oct 26+6d | Navan (IRE) | Christmas Parties At Navan Racecourse 5th & 13th December Handicap Sat just off the pace early - in the pack at halfway - shaken up over 2f out - urged into 6th over 1f out - stayed on to take 2nd over 50 yards out - got up near the line to win | 1/21 | 9-11 | 60 | 88C | 98A | Reese Holohan | 9/2F | |
| 15 Oct 26+8d | Curragh (IRE) | October Racing With 1xBet.ie Apprentice Handicap Prominent from the start - pushed along 2f out and 4th 1f out - stayed on late to snatch 3rd inside the final strides | 3/17 | ½ | 9-4 | 60 | 85C | 92A | Reese Holohan | 13/2 |
| 07 Oct 26+12d | Navan (IRE) | Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Handicap chased the pace early - niggled over 2f out and still 5th over 1f out - stayed on to take 2nd over 100 yards out - never threatened winner | 2/22 | 4 | 10-1 | 60 | 86C | 95A | Declan McDonogh | 8/1 |
| 25 Sep 26+4d | Dundalk (AW) (IRE) | View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap | 11/13 | ½ | 9-10 | 72 | 80B | 71A | Reese Holohan | 7/1 |
| 21 Sep 26+23d | Fairyhouse (IRE) | Fairyhouse Return Of The Jumps On October 10th Handicap Up with the front group - nudged forward in 4th from 2f out - moved to 2nd approaching the final 200 yards - soon found nothing more and fell back to 3rd - one-paced to finish | 3/17 | 3½ | 9-3 | 61 | 100C | 84A | R. P. Whelan | 17/2 |
| 29 Aug 26+7d | Curragh (IRE) | Holden Plant Rentals Apprentice Handicap Sat close to the front group early - still 7th at halfway - pushed along but couldn't find more from 2f out and finished without response | 13/19 | ¾ | 9-3 | 64 | 61C | 66A | Reese Holohan | 7/1 |
| 22 Aug 26+26d | Curragh (IRE) | Friends Of Moorefield GAA Handicap Sat just behind the pacesetter down the middle - asked for effort with 2f left and into 3rd a furlong out - held on steadily to finish 4th | 4/27 | 1¼ | 9-5 | 64 | 94C | 92A | Adam Caffrey | 10/1 |
| 27 Jul 26+16d | Galway (IRE) | Clayton Hotel Galway Handicap Set the pace - driven and put under serious pressure 2f out - caught approaching the straight - overtaken over 1f out and made no impact | 9/15 | nk | 8-13 | 65 | 62C | 66A | Adam Caffrey | 12/1 |
| 11 Jul 26+22d | Navan | Newgrange Hotel Handicap Sprung from the stalls and edged right early - raced close to the front group down the middle of the course - asked for effort 2f out and off the bridle in second beyond a furlong out - continued at an even effort in the final furlong | 2/15 | 1¼ | 9-3 | 65 | 82C | 83A | Declan McDonogh | 13/2 |
| 19 Jun 26+7d | Limerick | Conference & Banqueting Facilities At Limerick Handicap Sat close to the front early travelling well - up into 2nd by halfway - pressed for effort with 2 1/2f left - unable to find more into 1f out - stayed on same stride to finish 3rd | 3/6 | 2¾ | 9-1 | 66 | 89A | 70B | Adam Caffrey | 13/2 |
| 12 Jun 26+9d | Fairyhouse | Winter Festival Early Bird Handicap Sat close up in 2nd early - shared front spot at halfway - pressed and lost command 2f out - slipped to 4th and held for pace late | 6/12 | 2½ | 9-1 | 67 | 76A | 77A | Adam Caffrey | 8/1 |
| 03 Jun 26+11d | Curragh | Sky Bet Extra Places Handicap Went forward with the near-track bunch early - pushed along in 3rd approaching final furlong - unable to threaten front pair but stayed on - eased back to finish 4th at the line | 4/18 | hd | 9-11 | 67 | 94C | 87A | Adam Caffrey | 17/2 |
| 23 May 26+12d | Curragh | NorthStandard Handicap Settled towards the back of the pack early - moved into 5th by halfway before getting squeezed for space with 2f left - driven from there but unable to find more and finished well held | 12/13 | ½ | 8-0 | 70 | 77C | 60A | Reese Holohan | 40/1 |
| 11 May 26+14d | Roscommon | Athlone Handicap (Div 1) Sat just behind the front pack early - moved into 3rd by halfway - asked for effort 2f out and slipped back to 4th - unable to find more and edged back to finish 5th | 5/14 | nk | 9-9 | 72 | 84C | 76A | Sam Coen | 5/1 |
| 27 Apr 26+19d | Naas | Enjoy Racing TV With A Free Trial Now Handicap Sat close to the front group early while fighting for control - still up there in 5th with 2f left - then pressed for effort and dropped away to finish 11th | 11/12 | 1¼ | 9-8 | 76 | 85A | 66A | Adam Caffrey | 13/2 |
| 08 Apr 26+112d | Gowran Park | Golf At Gowran Park Claiming Race Sat behind pace and pulling hard early - moved through to hit front turning in - driven approaching final 2f - challenged hard inside final furlong - stayed on but caught in the final strides to finish second | 2/9 | ½ | 9-7 | 77 | 70A | 78A | Sam Coen | 18/5 |
| 2025 · 10 runs | ||||||||||
| 17 Dec 25+7d | Dundalk (AW) | Happy Christmas From All At Dundalk Stadium Nursery Handicap Tracked the front group early - 6th at the midpoint - pressed forward under urging with 2f left - battled to the line and got up | 1/13 | 9-7 | 72 | 87B | 83A | Sam Coen | 7/2 | |
| 10 Dec 25+12d | Dundalk (AW) | Irishinjuredjockeys.com Nursery Handicap Sat just behind front group - 6th at halfway - driven approaching straight then up to 3rd inside final furlong - stayed on same speed to finish third | 3/14 | 1¼ | 10-0 | 72 | 87B | 87A | Adam Caffrey | 10/3 |
| 28 Nov 25+23d | Dundalk (AW) | New Saddle Bar At Dundalk Stadium Claiming Race Held a midfield spot on the rail - urged forward to move into 4th with 2f left - into 2nd inside the final furlong - stayed on at an even effort to finish 2nd beaten a half length | 2/10 | ½ | 9-4 | 72 | 96A | 81A | Adam Caffrey | 11/4F |
| 05 Nov 25+25d | Dundalk (AW) | Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Median Auction Maiden Sat behind the front group early - 5th at halfway then urged on and 6th with a furlong left - stayed on at one gait to finish 5th | 5/11 | ½ | 9-2 | 72 | 84A | 77A | Adam Caffrey | 2/1F |
| 11 Oct 25+22d | Naas | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Birdcatcher Premier Nursery Handicap Held up towards the back - 8th at halfway - driven over 2f out but unable to make headway from a furlong out | 9/14 | ¾ | 8-9 | 74 | 84C | 70A | Chris Hayes | 20/1 |
| 19 Sep 25+5d | Dundalk (AW) | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden Sat close to the front pack fighting for control early - 5th at halfway - pressed for a run 2f out and slipped to 6th with a furlong left - unable to close and stayed held in 6th | 6/14 | ½ | 9-4 | 76 | 73B | 76A | Adam Caffrey | 16/5F |
| 14 Sep 25+29d | Curragh | Tattersalls Ireland Super Auction Sales Stakes Settled in the pack early - improved into 6th by halfway - pushed along with two furlongs left but couldn't find headway - held to the line finishing 11th | 11/16 | ½ | 9-5 | 77 | 8C | 78A | Gavin Ryan | 66/1 |
| 16 Aug 25+10d | Curragh | Irish European Breeders Fund Median Sires Series Maiden Sat just off the pace early - 5th at halfway - urged into action 6th with 2f left - responded late to snatch 3rd near the line | 3/19 | 2¾ | 9-4 | — | 83C | 81A | Gavin Ryan | 15/2 |
| 06 Aug 25+20d | Sligo | Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden Sat behind the front group early - third at halfway - urged on turning for home - asked for effort a furlong out but found little more - stayed on same gear to finish third | 3/10 | nk | 9-7 | — | 103A | 85A | Adam Caffrey | 7/1 |
| 17 Jul 25 | Leopardstown | Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden Held up towards the back of the pack keeping keen hold - asked for effort 2f out - stayed on at one speed to finish ninth | 9/14 | 1¾ | 9-2 | — | 73C | 67A | Adam Caffrey | 125/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Coincidental Glory won?
- Coincidental Glory (IRE) won 2 of 26 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 7.7%. Placed 13 times in total (50% of starts).
- Who trains Coincidental Glory?
- Coincidental Glory (IRE) is trained by Adrian McGuinness, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 21 October 2026.
- Who is Coincidental Glory's sire?
- Coincidental Glory (IRE) is by Cotai Glory (GB) out of Coincidently (GB), whose sire is Acclamation.
- What going does Coincidental Glory prefer?
- Coincidental Glory (IRE) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 1 win from 6 starts (16.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Coincidental Glory's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 60, from the run on 21 October 2026. The highest on record is 77.
- What is Coincidental Glory's sire's record?
- Cotai Glory (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.5% of 3,943 runs since Jan 2008 (389 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on standard (aw) going: 14.7% from 1,412. Weakest on soft going: 7.1% from 425.
- Who are Coincidental Glory's siblings?
- Out of Coincidently (GB), Coincidental Glory (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.