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Jockey profile

Sam Coen

512 rides in the last 5 seasons · 280 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2024→)
from 1 Jan 2022
56–512
Wins / Runs
10.9%
Strike rate
n=512
174 (34%)
Placed
1.10
Fair A/E
n=512 · 0.87 incl. margin
−114.56
£1 level stake
n=512 at SP · −22.4%
£1.09m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
15.5%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 100 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.10). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 17% off breaks of two months or more (65 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 512 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 29 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug Fresh horses: 16.9% 29.5% when favourite Adrian McGuinness: 11.8% from 136 Claiming: 11.2% Rides the favourite in 9% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Gowran Park (16.3%, n=43), clear of the rider's 10.9% baseline. It is weakest at Dundalk (AW) (7% over 157 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 16.9% (n=65, Fair A/E 2.30). Adrian McGuinness supplies 27% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (11.8%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 61-180-day break (20%, n=50) and on Good going (14.8%, n=149). The record reads poorly on Standard (AW) going — 6.9% over 160 rides, 4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 1m2f – 1m4f: Fair A/E 0.77 across 125 rides (7.2% strike, −65.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The standout partner of the record: Clonmacash (GB) — 6 wins from 24 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.9% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
10.7%−0.2
n=280 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −88.51
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
10.3%−0.6
n=58 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −30.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
16.9%+6.0
n=65 · A/E 2.30 · £1 +40.00
When favourite
29.5%
n=44 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +4.69
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
11.2%+0.3
n=490 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −96.56
Big fields · 14+ runners
9.5%−1.4
n=262 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −48.67
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−10.9
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 61-180-day break 20% vs 10.9% · n=50
At Gowran Park 16.3% vs 10.9% · n=43
On Standard (AW) going 6.9% vs 10.9% · n=160
At Dundalk (AW) 7% vs 10.9% · n=157
On Good going 14.8% vs 10.9% · n=149
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 7.2% vs 10.9% · n=125
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 510 56 11% −112.56
Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 160 11 6.9% −105.80
Good 149 22 14.8% +27.62
Soft 120 15 12.5% −32.13
Good to Soft 46 4 8.7% −1.00
Heavy 30 3 10% +0.00
Good to Firm 7 1 14.3% −3.25

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 157 11 7% −102.80
Curragh 43 6 14% +10.00
Gowran Park 43 7 16.3% +1.00
Navan 38 4 10.5% −4.50
Leopardstown 29 3 10.3% +9.00
Cork 22 3 13.6% −8.25
Galway 21 2 9.5% −7.00
Naas 19 2 10.5% +10.00
Bellewstown 18 2 11.1% −4.00
Down Royal 18 3 16.7% +5.00
Killarney 17 5 29.4% +4.24
Roscommon 16 1 6.3% −12.00
Fairyhouse 13 1 7.7% −9.25
Ballinrobe 10 1 10% −3.00
Tramore 10 1 10% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 62 17 27.4% 1.29 +5.69
2nd–3rd fav 126 21 16.7% 1.16 −12.25
4th–6th fav 148 12 8.1% 0.93 −40.50
7th+ in betting 176 6 3.4% 0.87 −67.50
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Clonmacash (GB) 24 6 14 30 Sep 26
Doctor Grace (IRE) 14 1 4 23 Apr 26
Harry The Rogue (IRE) 13 2 9 17 Oct 25
Distillate (GB) 9 0 4 10 Sep 26
Ranko Express (IRE) 8 1 3 26 Jul 25
Una Matata (IRE) 6 1 4 28 Oct 26
Arch Enemy (IRE) 6 3 4 30 Aug 26
Highbury See See (IRE) 5 1 3 4 Oct 26
Zabriskie Point (GB) 5 0 1 30 Sep 26
Faoladh (IRE) 5 0 1 28 Sep 26
Bucaneer's Spirit (IRE) 5 1 3 18 Aug 26
I'm Spartacus (IRE) 5 0 2 1 Jul 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 280 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 6
Only 6 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1521024610161510734
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardAdrian McGuinness
27% of all rides
11.8% SR · A/E 1.07
TrainerRWSR£1
Adrian McGuinness 136 16 11.8% −8.30
A. Slattery 99 14 14.1% −25.63
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→
56
Archived wins
£1.09m
Prize money
2026
Best season · 29 wins
Chally Chute (IRE) — Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch Curragh (IRE) · Sep 2026
£275,000
Bella Isabella (IRE) — BOYLE Sports Apprentice Handicap Leopardstown · Jun 2026
£14,725
Loughrea (IRE) — Diageo Luxury Spirits Irish European Breeders Fund Median Auction Maiden Curragh · Jun 2026
£14,725
Notable horses
Clonmacash (GB) Arch Enemy (IRE) Harry The Rogue (IRE) Rock Etoile (IRE) Dancing Steve (IRE) Bella Colombia (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Charming Thought (GB) 25% · 6–24
Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,003 runs since 2008 (75 horses).
Buratino (IRE) 8.7% · 2–23
Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,881 runs since 2008 (118 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.2% from 119.
Kodi Bear (IRE) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,959 runs since 2008 (387 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.3% from 259.
Mehmas (IRE) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,169 runs since 2008 (750 horses).
Havana Grey (GB) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 13.3% of 4,568 runs since 2008 (418 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.3% from 104. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10.1% from 414.
The Gurkha (IRE) 14.3% · 2–14
Progeny have won 9.7% of 2,028 runs since 2008 (127 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.7% from 183. Weakest on Heavy going: 2.9% from 105. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 111.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 512 · newest first

The latest 50 of 512 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 23 August 2024 to 28 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Una Matata (IRE)T: Adrian McGuinness Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div II)7f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 9/4F
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) The Bear Trap (IRE)T: Adrian McGuinness Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div I)7f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 6/1
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Bella Colombia (IRE)T: W. McCreery Halloween Mid-Term Racing At Dundalk Handicap8f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 11/1
16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Tribal Moon (IRE)T: Noel C. Kelly View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 7/2F
16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Four Blondes (IRE)T: Ross O'Sullivan Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div II)7f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 6/1
16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Una Matata (IRE)T: Adrian McGuinness Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div I)7f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 4/1
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Apache Outlaw (IRE)T: Adrian McGuinness Feel The Rush With 1xBet.ie Handicap7f · Soft · 20 ran 9th 7/1
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Happy Henry (IRE)T: W. McCreery October Racing With 1xBet.ie Apprentice Handicap5f · Soft · 17 ran 4th 8/1
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Miss Australie (IRE)T: Adrian McGuinness Isuzu Ireland Handicap14f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 11th 11/1
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Suir Monad (IRE)T: A. Slattery DNG Excellence Handicap9f · Yielding To Soft · 19 ran 4th 11/4F
12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Goldrush Kid (IRE)T: Adrian McGuinness Roscommon Racecourse On Facebook Handicap (Div I)7.5f · Soft · 14 ran 13th 3/1
05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Tanzanite Diamond (IRE)T: Adrian McGuinness Killarney Grand Apprentice Handicap11f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 11/2
05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Jasmine Affanalis (IRE)T: David Marnane Killarney Student Raceday Handicap8f · Soft · 15 ran 1st 9/2
05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Suir Monad (IRE)T: A. Slattery Carry Out Off-Licence Handicap8f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 85/40F
04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Highbury See See (IRE)T: A. Slattery 1xBet.ie Proud Partners Of Irish Sport Apprentice Handicap8f · Soft · 16 ran 6th 5/2J
04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Real Force (GB)T: G. O'Leary Business Plus Handicap6f · Soft · 22 ran 13th 28/1
04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Eastwatch (IRE)T: A. Slattery 1xBet.ie Proud Supporters Of Irish Racing Handicap9f · Yielding · 10 ran 6th 13/2
02 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Blue Anthem (GB)T: Adrian McGuinness BAR 1 Betting 'Download Our App' Handicap5f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 5/2
01 Oct 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Dandy Land (IRE)T: W. McCreery Johnny Kierans Memorial Handicap5f · Soft To Heavy · 9 ran 6th 9/2
30 Sep 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Clonmacash (GB)T: Adrian McGuinness Gannon City Recovery & Recycling Handicap5f · Soft To Heavy · 6 ran 6th 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Sam Coen's strike rate?
Sam Coen has won 56 of 512 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.9% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Sam Coen do best at?
Gowran Park by strike rate: 7 wins from 43 rides (16.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Sam Coen ride most for?
Adrian McGuinness, with 136 rides since 2022 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (11.8%).
Is Sam Coen in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Sam Coen's Fair A/E?
1.10, from 512 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).