Horse profile
Dublin Bay (IRE)
by New Bay (GB) out of La Fiamma (USA) (War Front)
17 runs · 11 courses · from Apr 2025
As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
4 wins · Wolverhampton (AW), Doncaster & Ffos Las
Last run 19 Oct 2026 · 4th of 12
Last raced off OR 84
KTB Profile
Dublin Bay (IRE) is 4 from 17. All 4 wins have come over 6f – 7f.
Based on 17 archived runs · run-style from 14 commented runs since Apr 2025 · updated 2 Nov 2026
- 4–17Wins / Runs
- 23.5%Strike rate
- 6 (35.3%)Placed
- −3.37£1 level staken=17 at SP
- 1.53Fair A/E n=17 · 1.31 incl. margin
- 85Highest OR
- 23dBetween runs (median)longest 140 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating84↓ 1lb off peak
84
56–85
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 100
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 2 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 8 | 115B | 90 | 6 runs · 115 / 95 |
| Good to Firm | 4 | 87A | 77 | — |
| Good | 2 | 104C | 100.5 | 1 run · — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 2 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 15 | 115B | 89 | 8 runs · 115 / 93.5 |
| Under 6f | 2 | 65C | 63.5 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 17 figures from 17 runs · as at 27 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
The forward record. KTB’s figures on this horse since 19 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · to 19 Oct 2026. Each pick was the figure’s choice before the off, settled against the result the next morning; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races since 5 Oct 2026.
Run style from 14 analysed runs since Apr 2025
- Prominent 6 (43%) · 1 win
- Led 4 (29%) · 2 wins
- Held up 3 (21%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 1 (7%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 14.3% of 3,991 runs since Jun 2020 (426 horses).
Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 8 | 0 | 0% | −14.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Firm | 587 | 92 | 15.7% | +1.4 | 1 from 4 |
| Good | 995 | 140 | 14.1% | −0.2 | 1 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 471 | 70 | 14.9% | +0.6 | — |
| Soft | 629 | 81 | 12.9% | −1.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 183 | 27 | 14.8% | +0.5 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,118 | 161 | 14.4% | +0.1 | 2 from 8 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 102 | 11 | 10.8% | −3.5 | 0 from 2 |
| 6f – 7f | 1,185 | 183 | 15.4% | +1.1 | 4 from 15 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,280 | 165 | 12.9% | −1.4 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,094 | 165 | 15.1% | +0.8 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 272 | 40 | 14.7% | +0.4 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 53 | 7 | 13.2% | −1.1 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 5 | 0 | 0% | −14.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jun 2020 · as at 1 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
La Fiamma (USA) (War Front)
1 sibling in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fahrana (FR) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 8 | 2 | 25% | +2.33 |
| Good to Firm | 4 | 1 | 25% | −2.43 |
| Good | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.27 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Class 5 | 5 | 2 | 40% | +5.33 |
| Class 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 6 | 2 | 2 | 100% | +1.30 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 4 | 2 | 50% | +6.33 |
| Ascot | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Salisbury | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Chester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| York | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.57 |
| Ffos Las | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.73 |
| Bath | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 15 | 4 | 27% | −1.37 |
| Under 6f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean D Bowen | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Billy Loughnane | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.43 |
| Stevie Donohoe | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.00 |
| Sean Dylan Bowen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Darragh Keenan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Robbie Downey | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Marco Ghiani | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.33 |
| Harry Bentley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Trevor Whelan | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.73 |
| Daniel Muscutt | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheekpieces | 8 | 2 | 25% | +2.33 |
| None | 8 | 2 | 25% | −4.70 |
| Hood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8 | 2 | 25% | +2.33 |
| 2025 | 9 | 2 | 22% | −5.70 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 8 runs | ||||||||||
| 19 Oct 26+14d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes Prominent in the pack - pushed along over 2f out - stayed on strongly inside final furlong then pipped for third near the line | 4/12 | ½ | 9-10 | 84 | 100A | 93A | Sean Dylan Bowen | 14/1 |
| 05 Oct 26+23d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap Stakes Prominent early - pushed along over 2f out - folded tamely inside the final furlong - finished 11th | 11/11 | 4½ | 9-12 | 85 | 90A | 57A | Darragh Keenan | 10/1 |
| 12 Sep 26+16d | Chester | Lee Martin 60th Birthday Celebration Handicap Stakes (Div II) Fretting before the off - stumbled start - settled mid-pack - pushed to chase 2f out - moved into third with a furlong left but couldn't get near leading pair and edged out of the frame close home | 4/9 | 1¼ | 9-9 | 85 | 88A | 84A | Robbie Downey | 17/2 |
| 27 Aug 26+90d | Southwell (AW) | Free Digital Racecard At Raceday-ready.com Handicap Stakes Set the pace early - driven along and overtaken with a furlong left - fought back at the winner but weakened again close home to finish third | 3/11 | hd | 9-7 | 85 | 101A | 95A | Sean D Bowen | 22/1 |
| 29 May 26+21d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap Drifted right early - set pace throughout and pushed out to draw away inside final furlong - won comfortably | 1/11 | 9-9 | 75 | 115B | 99A | Marco Ghiani | 10/3 | |
| 08 May 26+28d | Ascot | Ascot Hospitality Handicap Hampered start - raced handily through middle stages - driven and holding a real shout inside final two furlongs - unable to match the front pair and finished fifth staying on well | 5/19 | 1½ | 9-4 | 75 | 97C | 82A | Daniel Tudhope | 12/1 |
| 10 Apr 26+23d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap Set the pace from the off - eager under restraint early - asked for effort with two furlongs left - stayed on strongly late to hold rally and score | 1/7 | 9-5 | 71 | 90A | 78A | Stevie Donohoe | 5/1 | |
| 18 Mar 26+140d | Kempton (AW) | Virgin Bet A Good Bet Handicap Set the pace early - driven along and challenged approaching final furlong before losing front spot - weakened close home to finish fourth | 4/8 | 1 | 9-6 | 72 | 89A | 80A | Stevie Donohoe | 18/1 |
| 2025 · 9 runs | ||||||||||
| 29 Oct 25+12d | Kempton (AW) | Try Unibet's Improved Acca Boosts Nursery Settled with eager attitude early - hit front after opening furlong - asked for effort two out - edge shrinking approaching final furlong - overtaken and eased back to third right on the line | 3/8 | 1¼ | 9-8 | 73 | 82A | 77A | Billy Loughnane | 5/1 |
| 17 Oct 25+35d | Newcastle (AW) | Happy Birthday Stuart From Probio-Energy Nursery Settled towards the back of the field - failed to threaten leaders - finished sixth beaten 4¼ lengths | 6/8 | 1¾ | 9-3 | 74 | 86A | 71A | Sean D Bowen | 6/1 |
| 12 Sep 25+23d | Salisbury | Andy Hardwick & Clive Leonard Memorial Nursery Handy early - pressed for effort over 2f out and drifted left approaching final furlong - lost ground late to finish fifth | 5/6 | ¾ | 9-8 | 74 | 73A | 66B | Billy Loughnane | 11/8F |
| 20 Aug 25+18d | York | Sky Bet Nursery Settled in the pack early - pushed along past the furlong marker - stayed on late but never landed a serious blow - finished 6th beaten a length and a half | 6/19 | nk | 8-2 | 73 | 70C | 85A | Harry Bentley | 15/2 |
| 02 Aug 25+4d | Doncaster | UNISON Protecting You At Work Nursery Up with the pace on the near flank - moved to the front 2f out - asserted through the final furlong and won readily | 1/7 | 9-12 | 57 | 87A | 91A | Daniel Tudhope | 4/7F | |
| 29 Jul 25+34d | Ffos Las | DragonBet/Cymru Bet Nursery Set the pace from the off - pressed for effort with a furlong left - finished strongly to win | 1/4 | 9-6 | 56 | 104C | 79B | Trevor Whelan | 8/11F | |
| 25 Jun 25+10d | Bath | British EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Sluggish start - settled towards back - dropped out of contention over final 3f - finished sixth | 6/7 | 2½ | 9-5 | — | 62B | 48A | Sean D Bowen | 12/1 |
| 15 Jun 25+46d | Salisbury | Happy 80th Birthday Richard Hannon Snr British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Held up at the back - lost touch with the pace 2f out - dropped away inside the final furlong - finished 7th | 7/10 | 4 | 9-4 | — | 84A | 63A | Daniel Muscutt | 18/1 |
| 30 Apr 25 | Ascot | Royal Ascot Two-Year-Old Trial EBF Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) Sluggish break - dropped in behind and unable to match the pace - held towards the back to finish 10th | 10/13 | 4½ | 9-4 | — | 65C | 52A | Billy Loughnane | 33/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Dublin Bay won?
- Dublin Bay (IRE) won 4 of 17 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 23.5%. Placed 6 times in total (35.3% of starts).
- Who trains Dublin Bay?
- Dublin Bay (IRE) is trained by Ollie Sangster, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 19 October 2026.
- Who is Dublin Bay's sire?
- Dublin Bay (IRE) is by New Bay (GB) out of La Fiamma (USA), whose sire is War Front.
- What going does Dublin Bay prefer?
- Dublin Bay (IRE) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 2 wins from 8 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Dublin Bay's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 84, from the run on 19 October 2026. The highest on record is 85.
- What is Dublin Bay's sire's record?
- New Bay (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 14.3% of 3,991 runs since Jun 2020 (426 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
- Who are Dublin Bay's siblings?
- Out of La Fiamma (USA), Dublin Bay (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Nov 2026.