Early Arrival (IRE)
Early Arrival won three of 44 starts on turf, all in soft-ground handicap hurdles between 2m1f and 3m. Two of those wins came at Tramore and one at Sligo. Ridden prominently in four of six analysed runs, the gelding finished second of 13 in a handicap chase at Kilbeggan in Aug 2025. He last won at Sligo in Aug 2024 off an official rating of 102.
- 3–44Wins / Runs
- 6.8%Strike rate
- 15 (34.1%)Placed
- −27.00£1 level staken=44 at SP
- 0.84Fair A/E n=44 · 0.67 incl. margin
- 108Highest OR
- 41dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 90
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 19 | 220B | 85 | — |
| Good to Soft | 8 | 126B | 86.5 | — |
| Good | 6 | 145A | 81.5 | — |
| Heavy | 6 | 133B | 53.5 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 20 | 133B | 79.5 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 8 | 220B | 95.5 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 6 | 84B | 56 | — |
| Over 3m | 5 | 145A | 119 | — |
Of 44 runs looked at, 5 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (3) · did not complete (1) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 39 figures from 44 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 8 analysed runs since Aug 2024
- Prominent 6 (75%) · 1 win
- Held up 1 (13%) · 0 wins
- Led 1 (13%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 5.8% of 310 runs since Jan 2008 (35 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 4 | 1 | 25% | +19.2 | — |
| Good | 125 | 7 | 5.6% | −0.2 | 0 from 7 |
| Good to Soft | 56 | 3 | 5.4% | −0.4 | 0 from 10 |
| Soft | 93 | 6 | 6.5% | +0.7 | 3 from 21 |
| Heavy | 28 | 1 | 3.6% | −2.2 | 0 from 6 |
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 0 | 0% | −5.8 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 9 | 0 | 0% | −5.8 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −5.8 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 83 | 4 | 4.8% | −1 | 0 from 6 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 124 | 8 | 6.5% | +0.7 | 2 from 23 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 75 | 5 | 6.7% | +0.9 | 1 from 10 |
| Over 3m | 15 | 1 | 6.7% | +0.9 | 0 from 5 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 20 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Rule Of June (IRE) (1 win).
The wins came over 2m5½f.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rule Of June (IRE) | 26 | 1 | 2m5½f | — |
| Flight Code (IRE) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 21 | 3 | 14% | −4.00 |
| Good to Soft | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| Good | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Heavy | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clonmel | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Tramore | 6 | 2 | 33% | +6.00 |
| Ballinrobe | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Kilbeggan | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Wexford | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Sligo | 3 | 1 | 33% | +2.00 |
| Punchestown | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Killarney | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Naas | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Gowran Park | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Thurles | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Galway | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cork | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Down Royal | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tipperary | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Limerick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 23 | 2 | 9% | −11.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 10 | 1 | 10% | −5.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Over 3m | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Callaghan | 17 | 3 | 18% | +0.00 |
| J J Slevin | 12 | 0 | 0% | −12.00 |
| Donagh Meyler | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Darragh O'Keeffe | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ian Power | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Patrick M O'Brien | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Charlie O'Dwyer | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| P J O'Hanlon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr A P Ryan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cathal Landers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sean Flanagan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sean O'Keeffe | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Phillip Enright | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 26 | 2 | 8% | −16.00 |
| Tongue tie | 10 | 1 | 10% | −3.00 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Tongue tie + blinkers | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2024 | 10 | 2 | 20% | +0.00 |
| 2023 | 15 | 1 | 7% | −8.00 |
| 2022 | 12 | 0 | 0% | −12.00 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 30 | 3 | 10% | −13.00 |
| Chase | 14 | 0 | 0% | −14.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug 25+7d | Kilbeggan | New Forest Estate & Golf Club Handicap Chase (0-100) Prominent early - slipped back through the pack after the 2nd - began making progress before the 7th - up to 3rd after the 8th - into 2nd after 4 out - improved again 2 out - hit the front briefly after that - caught in the last strides for a narrow defeat | 2/13 | nk | 11-1 | 80 | 90B | 112A | Donagh Meyler | 9/1 |
| 15 Aug 25+42d | Tramore | I.P.R.S. Handicap Chase (0-100) Sat close to the pace early - lost placing at the 2nd and 4th and dropped towards the back - fell away from the field and pulled up before the 10th | PU/14 | — | 10-4 | 81 | — | — | Kieran Callaghan | 6/1 |
| 04 Jul 25+34d | Wexford | Molloy Metal Recycling Handicap Chase (0-100) Sat close behind front group early - drifted back into midfield by halfway - pushed along to improve into 6th two out - held that spot to the line without further gain | 6/16 | ½ | 10-3 | 82 | 82B | 98A | Patrick M O'Brien | 14/1 |
| 31 May 25+217d | Tramore | Racing TV Free Month Trial Handicap Chase (0-100) Settled towards rear early on outside - improved into touch with front group from 11th - lost footing 3 out - pushed along soon after - chasing in 5th at the last - stayed on same effort to finish third | 3/14 | 8½ | 10-7 | 82 | 71B | 93A | Kieran Callaghan | 8/1 |
| 26 Oct 24+52d | Galway | W.B. Gavin & Co. Handicap Hurdle Handy early - held 3rd/4th through mid-race - dropped away before last finishing eighth | 8/10 | 3 | 9-9 | 107 | 101A | 99A | Kieran Callaghan | 22/1 |
| 04 Sep 24+11d | Kilbeggan | Kilbeggan Handicap Hurdle (80-116) Went straight to front - lost command at 2nd - hit a rail 3rd - fourth at the following fence - urged along in fourth two out - into third at the last but unable to close on the front pair - stayed on steadily to finish third | 3/7 | 3¼ | 11-3 | 107 | 92A | 109A | Kieran Callaghan | 9/2 |
| 24 Aug 24+16d | Killarney | Bunkers Bar & Restaurant Handicap Hurdle Tracked the front-runner early - dropped to 3rd from the 4th - scrappy jump 7th - still handy in 4th by the 9th - urged after stumbling 3 out then found nothing more | 7/13 | ½ | 9-11 | 108 | 126B | 99A | Kieran Callaghan | 16/1 |
| 08 Aug 24+16d | Sligo | Lighthouse At Clifford Electrical Handicap Hurdle Sat second early - blundered three out and slipped back to third - driven along entering the straight - fought back level at the last - went on to score and kept finding more close home | 1/9 | 10-4 | 102 | 90A | 110A | Kieran Callaghan | 4/1 | |
| 23 Jul 24+16d | Ballinrobe | BoyleSports Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle | 2/8 | 1¼ | 9-12 | 100 | 83A | 104A | Kieran Callaghan | 11/2 |
| 07 Jul 24+36d | Sligo | Sligo Park Hotel Handicap Hurdle (80-109) | 5/14 | 19 | 11-0 | 100 | 127B | 94A | Kieran Callaghan | 7/1 |
| 01 Jun 24+16d | Tramore | Racing TV Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle (80-109) | 1/13 | 10-5 | 91 | 220B | 118A | Kieran Callaghan | 4/1J | |
| 16 May 24+30d | Clonmel | Talbot Hotel Clonmel Handicap Hurdle (80-109) | 2/16 | 6 | 10-4 | 90 | 75B | 105A | Kieran Callaghan | 6/1 |
| 16 Apr 24+12d | Naas | Sean Graham Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle (80-95) | 9/17 | 2¼ | 11-5 | 91 | 87B | 97A | Kieran Callaghan | 7/2 |
| 04 Apr 24+128d | Naas | Thanks To All Our Sponsors In The National Hunt Season Handicap Hurdle (80-102) | 2/24 | ½ | 10-10 | 89 | 133B | 117A | Kieran Callaghan | 33/1 |
| 28 Nov 23+12d | Tramore | 2024 Group Package Deals Online Handicap Hurdle (80-95) | 10/16 | nk | 11-11 | 92 | — | 91A | Donagh Meyler | 12/1 |
| 16 Nov 23+37d | Punchestown | Ladbrokes 'Halftime Quiz' Handicap Hurdle (80-102) | 13/18 | nk | 11-7 | 95 | 85C | 91C | Donagh Meyler | 28/1 |
| 10 Oct 23+25d | Punchestown | Paddy Power Handicap Hurdle | 13/19 | 33 | 9-9 | 97 | 99C | 75C | Kieran Callaghan | 20/1 |
| 15 Sep 23+14d | Ballinrobe | Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Chase (0-109) | 6/10 | 4 | 10-5 | 84 | 53A | 85A | Charlie O'Dwyer | 9/4F |
| 01 Sep 23+18d | Wexford | Wexford Racecourse Racing Club Handicap Chase (0-109) | 6/12 | 1¾ | 9-13 | 85 | 113B | 92A | P J O'Hanlon | 3/1F |
| 14 Aug 23+7d | Ballinrobe | Burleigh Accountancy Handicap Hurdle | 4/9 | 5 | 10-6 | 99 | 119A | 108A | J J Slevin | 3/1F |
| 07 Aug 23+17d | Cork | Fermoy Handicap Hurdle | 5/11 | nk | 10-9 | 99 | 115B | 109A | J J Slevin | 14/1 |
| 21 Jul 23+12d | Killarney | Lee Stand Handicap Chase (0-102) | 4/15 | 13 | 10-6 | 85 | 81B | 96A | Kieran Callaghan | 3/1F |
| 09 Jul 23+59d | Sligo | Sligo Park Hotel Handicap Hurdle (80-109) | 4/12 | 1½ | 11-3 | 98 | 145A | 113A | J J Slevin | 12/1 |
| 11 May 23+25d | Clonmel | Talbot Hotel Clonmel Handicap Hurdle (80-109) | 4/16 | 1 | 10-10 | 98 | 72B | 111A | Kieran Callaghan | 11/1 |
| 16 Apr 23+30d | Tramore | Anne Valley Walk Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1) | 1/13 | 11-3 | 91 | 104B | 117A | Kieran Callaghan | 6/1 | |
| 17 Mar 23+6d | Down Royal | Powered By Bluegrass Novice Handicap Hurdle | 6/11 | 30 | 9-7 | 91 | 35C | 76C | Mr A P Ryan | 10/3 |
| 11 Mar 23+14d | Gowran Park | BoyleSports Handicap Hurdle (80-109) | 2/20 | nk | 10-7 | 88 | 109B | 120A | J J Slevin | 20/1 |
| 25 Feb 23+39d | Fairyhouse | Anna Gannon 90th Birthday Handicap Hurdle (80-102) | 4/25 | hd | 10-7 | 87 | 85B | 108A | Kieran Callaghan | 50/1 |
| 17 Jan 23+61d | Clonmel | Tipperary Handicap Hurdle (80-102) | 8/15 | 10 | 11-1 | 89 | 46C | 92C | Cathal Landers | 33/1 |
| 17 Nov 22+14d | Clonmel | Prior Park Service Station Clonmel Handicap Chase (0-102) | 10/16 | shd | 10-13 | 87 | 1C | 85C | J J Slevin | 14/1 |
| 03 Nov 22+14d | Thurles | Littleton Handicap Chase | 4/15 | 10 | 10-6 | 87 | — | 99A | Darragh O'Keeffe | 9/2F |
| 20 Oct 22+21d | Thurles | www.thurlesraces.ie Handicap Chase (0-102) | 3/15 | 5 | 10-13 | 87 | — | 107A | Sean Flanagan | 7/1 |
| 29 Sep 22+26d | Clonmel | ClonmelRaces.ie Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2) | 4/12 | 3½ | 11-8 | 89 | 65B | 110A | J J Slevin | 11/1 |
| 03 Sep 22+20d | Wexford | Wexford Racecourse Racing Club Handicap Chase (0-109) | 2/11 | 5½ | 10-4 | 85 | 77A | 102A | Darragh O'Keeffe | 22/1 |
| 14 Aug 22+28d | Tramore | Heinz Pollmeier Memorial Handicap Chase (0-102) | 9/11 | 13 | 11-0 | 88 | 81C | 71C | Sean O'Keeffe | 40/1 |
| 17 Jul 22+54d | Tipperary | Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Chase (0-102) | 6/10 | 39 | 11-2 | 90 | 27C | 94C | J J Slevin | 16/1 |
| 24 May 22+46d | Punchestown | Bar One Racing 50 Free Bet Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1) | 17/19 | 22 | 11-10 | 91 | 51C | 85C | J J Slevin | 33/1 |
| 08 Apr 22+17d | Ballinrobe | Michael Cawe Suspended Ceilings Handicap Hurdle (80-95) | 9/14 | nk | 11-10 | 91 | — | 97A | Phillip Enright | 11/1 |
| 22 Mar 22+33d | Clonmel | Cannonwood Handicap Hurdle (80-95) | 2/16 | 1¼ | 11-9 | 90 | 84B | 123A | J J Slevin | 80/1 |
| 17 Feb 22+16d | Clonmel | Minorstown Handicap Hurdle (80-95) | 11/16 | 21 | 11-11 | 92 | 61C | 92C | Ian Power | 100/1 |
| 01 Feb 22+315d | Limerick | Follow Limerick Racecourse On Twitter (C & G) Maiden Hurdle | 11/14 | 2 | 11-12 | — | 50C | 105C | Ian Power | 250/1 |
| 23 Mar 21+162d | Clonmel | Play Lotto On The Boylesports App Maiden Hurdle | 15/18 | 27 | 11-6 | — | 11C | 85C | J J Slevin | 80/1 |
| 12 Oct 20+9d | Kilbeggan | Wineport Lodge Beginners Chase | 6/6 | 99 | 12-0 | — | 6C | 98C | J J Slevin | 80/1 |
| 03 Oct 20 | Gowran Park | Golf Memberships At Gowran Park Maiden Hurdle | 3/9 | 16 | 12-0 | — | 60A | 103A | J J Slevin | 33/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Early Arrival (IRE) won?
- Early Arrival (IRE) won 3 of 44 archived starts between 2020 and 2025, a strike rate of 6.8%. Placed 15 times in total (34.1% of starts).
- Who trained Early Arrival (IRE)?
- Early Arrival (IRE) was trained by James M Barcoe on the most recent run on record, at Kilbeggan on 22 August 2025.
- Who is Early Arrival (IRE)'s sire?
- Early Arrival (IRE) is by Rule of Law (USA) out of Early June (IRE), whose sire is Beneficial.
- What going does Early Arrival (IRE) prefer?
- Early Arrival (IRE) has the best record on soft going: 3 wins from 21 starts (14.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Early Arrival (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 80, from the run on 22 August 2025. The highest on record is 108.
- What is Early Arrival (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Rule of Law (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 5.8% of 310 runs since Jan 2008 (35 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Early Arrival (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Early June (IRE), Early Arrival (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Rule Of June (IRE) (1). The wins came over 2m5½f. As at Oct 2026.