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Trainer profile

James M Barcoe

575 runners in the last 5 seasons · 57 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago
from 1 Jan 2022
25–575
Wins / Runs
4.3%
Strike rate
n=575
104 (18%)
Placed
0.83
n=575 · 0.66 incl. margin
−318.67
£1 level stake
n=575 at SP · −55.4%
£364k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 120 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.83).

Deterministic profile computed from 575 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Nov Kieran Callaghan: 6.7% from 105 Claiming riders: 4.8%
The read

The record is strongest at Tramore (10.7%, n=56) and Clonmel (10.2%, n=49) — all clear of the yard's 4.3% baseline. It is weakest at Limerick (0% over 36 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=35, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 1% strike, Fair A/E 0.32 and −71.00 to a £1 stake over 105 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Kieran Callaghan rides 18% of the entries and edges the yard's average (6.7% vs 4.3%, A/E 0.98) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (11.1%, n=36). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 39 runners, 4.3pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Influential Lady (IRE) — 7 wins from 64 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Oct–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1%−3.3
n=105 · A/E 0.32 · £1 −71.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.3
n=35 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −35.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.3
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.3
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
11.8%+7.5
n=17 · A/E 3.34 · £1 −1.50
When favourite
7.1%
n=14 · A/E 0.34 · £1 −10.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.8%+0.5
n=313 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −117.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.3
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Tramore 10.7% vs 4.3% · n=56
At trips under 6f 11.1% vs 4.3% · n=36
At Clonmel 10.2% vs 4.3% · n=49
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 4.3% · n=39
At Limerick 0% vs 4.3% · n=36
With new recruits 0% vs 4.3% · n=35
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 315 14 4.4% −174.00
Flat 160 7 4.4% −113.17
Chase 71 4 5.6% −2.50
NH Flat 29 0 0% −29.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 195 9 4.6% −121.17
Good 167 5 3% −128.50
Good to Soft 104 7 6.7% −57.00
Heavy 89 3 3.4% +2.00
Standard (AW) 14 0 0% −14.00
Good to Firm 6 1 16.7% +0.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Tramore 56 6 10.7% −17.00
Clonmel 49 5 10.2% +38.00
Navan 36 2 5.6% +2.33
Limerick 36 0 0% −36.00
Wexford 34 0 0% −34.00
Punchestown 33 0 0% −33.00
Cork 29 3 10.3% +2.50
Gowran Park 28 2 7.1% −10.50
Naas 28 0 0% −28.00
Curragh 24 2 8.3% −9.50
Fairyhouse 23 0 0% −23.00
Kilbeggan 22 0 0% −22.00
Sligo 22 1 4.5% −17.00
Downpatrick 20 0 0% −20.00
Leopardstown 19 0 0% −19.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 8 0 0% −8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 18 4 22.2% 1.15 +2.00
2nd–3rd fav 61 12 19.7% 1.49 +11.33
4th–6th fav 123 7 5.7% 0.76 −27.00
7th+ in betting 373 2 0.5% 0.21 −305.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
82.6% completed · 386 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 71 73.2% 2 4 13 0 0
Hurdle 315 84.8% 6 2 40 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Influential Lady (IRE)from J P Dempsey 53 4 12 20 Aug 25
Nouvel Espoir (IRE) 39 6 18 20 Oct 26
Early Arrival (IRE)from Liam Casey 29 3 11 22 Aug 25
Courting Vickie (IRE) 24 2 5 10 Mar 24
Doyen Flyer (IRE)from W P Mullins 23 0 1 8 Sep 25
Karacole (FR) 19 0 4 1 Jul 25
Hollow Spark (IRE)from Eoin Doyle 18 1 3 16 Oct 25
Rain (GER)from A Fabre · then Eddie & Patrick Harty 17 0 4 28 Oct 24
All 57 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 57 horses listed, 38 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Martin Gerard McGuane (3) and Aidan Anthony Howard (2); 19 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 53 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 5
Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0036311250785
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderKieran Callaghan
18% of all rides
6.7% SR · A/E 0.98
RiderRWSR£1
Kieran Callaghan 105 7 6.7% −21.50
Donagh Meyler 41 3 7.3% −27.00
Cathal Landers 40 2 5% −23.00
J J Slevin 31 0 0% −31.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
42
Archived wins
£563k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 7 wins
Allez Kal (IRE) — Kevin McManus Bookmaker Handicap Hurdle (0-140) Cork · Nov 2018
£16,605
Nouvel Espoir (IRE) — Autumn Racing With 1xBet.ie At The Curragh Handicap Curragh (IRE) · Oct 2026
£12,600
Nouvel Espoir (IRE) — Business Plus Handicap Curragh (IRE) · Oct 2026
£12,600

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Doyen (IRE) 6.4% · 7–110
Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,349 runs since 2008 (605 horses).
Harry Angel (IRE) 15.4% · 6–39
Progeny have won 12.7% of 2,753 runs since 2008 (261 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.4% from 332.
Rule of Law (USA) 10.3% · 3–29
Progeny have won 5.8% of 310 runs since 2008 (35 horses).
The Carbon Unit (USA) 3.7% · 1–27
Progeny have won 8.2% of 682 runs since 2008 (44 horses).
Yeats (IRE) 7.4% · 2–27
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,807 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 816.
Court Cave (IRE) 8.3% · 2–24
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,929 runs since 2008 (551 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 934.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 844 · newest first

The latest 50 of 844 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 June 2013 to 20 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is James M Barcoe's strike rate?
James M Barcoe has won 25 of 575 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does James M Barcoe do best at?
Tramore by strike rate: 6 wins from 56 runners (10.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for James M Barcoe?
Kieran Callaghan, with 105 runners since 2022 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (6.7%).
Is James M Barcoe in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is James M Barcoe's Fair A/E?
0.83, from 575 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).