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Jockey profile

Patrick M O'Brien

643 rides in the last 5 seasons · 294 individual horses
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 3 days ago 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)
from 1 Jan 2022
46–643
Wins / Runs
7.2%
Strike rate
n=643
149 (23%)
Placed
1.13
Fair A/E
n=643 · 0.90 incl. margin
−108.30
£1 level stake
n=643 at SP · −16.8%
£831k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.7%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 130 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.13). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 16% (37 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 643 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 28 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Dermot A McLoughlin: 5.1% from 158 First rides: 8.8% LTO winners: 16.2%
The read

The record is strongest at Downpatrick (13.2%, n=38), clear of the rider's 7.2% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 16.2% (n=37, Fair A/E 1.29). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 8.8% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.45 and +58.75 to a £1 stake over 295 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Dermot A McLoughlin supplies 25% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (5.1% vs 7.2%, A/E 0.81). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 3.4% over 87 rides, 3.8pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the BOYLE Sports JT McNamara Munster National Handicap Chase at Limerick (Oct 2025, £59,000).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.2% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
8.8%+1.6
n=295 · A/E 1.45 · £1 +58.75
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
16.2%+9.0
n=37 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +13.25
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
5.3%−1.9
n=131 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −51.00
When favourite
30.8%
n=26 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +0.45
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
6.8%−0.4
n=622 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −137.30
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.7%−2.5
n=361 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −65.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
5%−2.2
n=40 · A/E 1.33 · £1 −14.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With E McNamara 16.7% vs 7.2% · n=36
On last-time-out winners 16.2% vs 7.2% · n=37
At Downpatrick 13.2% vs 7.2% · n=38
With Gavin Cromwell 3.3% vs 7.2% · n=90
Off a 61-180-day break 3.4% vs 7.2% · n=87
With C&D winners 11.8% vs 7.2% · n=34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 455 29 6.4% −108.00
Chase 179 17 9.5% +8.70
NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00
Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 225 14 6.2% −107.00
Good 210 19 9% −24.30
Good to Soft 112 7 6.3% +63.00
Heavy 96 6 6.3% −40.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Fairyhouse 71 4 5.6% −31.00
Punchestown 57 2 3.5% −18.00
Down Royal 41 3 7.3% −28.55
Wexford 38 4 10.5% −7.50
Downpatrick 38 5 13.2% −1.75
Limerick 36 4 11.1% +14.50
Kilbeggan 33 1 3% −26.00
Navan 28 1 3.6% +73.00
Sligo 26 3 11.5% −7.50
Naas 24 2 8.3% −6.50
Galway 23 4 17.4% +15.00
Thurles 23 0 0% −23.00
Clonmel 22 2 9.1% −12.00
Leopardstown 21 1 4.8% −11.50
Ballinrobe 19 1 5.3% +0.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 46 2 4.3% −20.50
Class 2 8 2 25% +24.00
Class 3 4 1 25% +19.00
Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 39 10 25.6% 1.19 −3.30
2nd–3rd fav 86 10 11.6% 0.84 −26.50
4th–6th fav 156 16 10.3% 1.39 +10.50
7th+ in betting 362 10 2.8% 1.11 −89.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
78.2% completed · 634 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 179 71.5% 7 5 38 1 0
Hurdle 455 80.9% 17 8 59 0 3
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Malton Groove (IRE) 15 0 3 20 Aug 26
Digby (IRE) 15 2 3 17 Mar 26
Penny Jar (IRE) 12 1 3 16 Jul 26
Finnians Row (IRE) 12 2 5 17 Mar 26
My Policy (IRE) 11 0 3 24 Jul 26
Jerk (FR) 11 1 2 21 Feb 26
Papa Barns (IRE) 10 0 6 12 Jan 25
Hey Babbs (IRE) 9 0 1 5 Mar 26
Bocelli's Voice (IRE) 9 0 2 31 Dec 25
Small Bucks (IRE) 8 2 3 14 Aug 26
Baltic Bird (GB) 8 1 2 31 Jul 26
Highstreetfashion (IRE) 8 2 3 14 Dec 24
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 294 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 1
Only 1 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0108811741061843
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardDermot A McLoughlin
25% of all rides
5.1% SR · A/E 0.81
TrainerRWSR£1
Dermot A McLoughlin 158 8 5.1% −70.50
Gavin Cromwell 90 3 3.3% −71.75
E McNamara 36 6 16.7% +1.00
William Durkan 35 3 8.6% −2.30
Patrick Downey 33 2 6.1% −18.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
46
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£831k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 23 wins
French Dynamite (FR) — BOYLE Sports JT McNamara Munster National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Limerick · Oct 2025 · Grade 3
£59,000
Air Of Entitlement (IRE) — Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2026 · Class 2
£38,580
Me Wee Bonnie Lass (IRE) — BOYLE Sports Mares Handicap Chase (Listed) Fairyhouse · Apr 2026 · Listed
£26,505
Notable horses
Digby (IRE) Finnians Row (IRE) Highstreetfashion (IRE) Small Bucks (IRE) Goodie Girl (IRE) Fr Gilligansvoyge (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Califet (FR) 3.7% · 1–27
Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,793 runs since 2008 (399 horses).
Court Cave (IRE) 9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,941 runs since 2008 (551 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.
Kalanisi (IRE) 10% · 2–20
Progeny have won 10.5% of 6,745 runs since 2008 (648 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 355.
Walk In The Park (IRE) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 13.3% of 6,978 runs since 2008 (696 horses).
Policy Maker (IRE) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,244 runs since 2008 (143 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.6% from 197. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.8% from 125.
Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,931 runs since 2008 (1,028 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.3% from 133.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 649 · newest first

The latest 50 of 649 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 4 April 2021 to 25 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Illtakehimmyself (IRE)T: E McNamara COLM QUINN BMW Handicap Steeplechase22.5f · Soft To Heavy · 9 ran 1st 7/2
21 Aug 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Fr Gilligansvoyge (GB)T: John G Carr New Forest Estate & Golf Club Handicap Steeplechase26f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 1st 6/1
21 Aug 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Cocovic (IRE)T: E McNamara Tom Lynam Memorial Handicap Hurdle19f · Good · 15 ran UR 9/1
20 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Gaelic Des Chastys (FR)T: E McNamara Brehon Hotel & Spa Handicap Steeplechase21f · Good · 11 ran UR 12/1
20 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Malton Groove (IRE)T: Dermot A McLoughlin Easyfix Equine Handicap Steeplechase23.5f · Good · 12 ran F 14/1
19 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Fremantle Doctor (IRE)T: John C McConnell Aidan Moffitt Memorial Handicap Hurdle17.5f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 100/30
14 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Small Bucks (IRE)T: P E Collins John Fairbrother Memorial Mares Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good · 9 ran 1st 17/2
14 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Fr Gilligansvoyge (GB)T: John G Carr I.P.R.S. Handicap Steeplechase22f · Good · 13 ran 1st 14/1
10 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Fremantle Doctor (IRE)T: John C McConnell Cummins Homevalue Hardware Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 12/1
09 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Georgia Celena (IRE)T: John C McConnell Join Us For Ladies Day Handicap Hurdle22f · Good · 10 ran 5th 7/2J
09 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Joya Del Mar (IRE)T: Dermot A McLoughlin Franco Hughes Away Bet Mares Handicap Hurdle22f · Good · 10 ran 5th 8/1
09 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Shinnhill (IRE)T: Neil McKnight Randox Rated Hurdle18f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 16/1
09 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Santa Paula (IRE)T: Dermot A McLoughlin WTW Willis Mares Maiden Hurdle18f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 9/1
08 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) West Away (IRE)T: P E Collins Wexford Racecourse Park Run Beginners Steeplechase19f · Good · 6 ran 1st 10/1
07 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Esticky End (IRE)T: Tom McGuinness Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20f · Good · 14 ran 1st 6/1
07 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Plastic Paddy (GB)T: Tom McGuinness Think Print & Design Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 14 ran PU 200/1
06 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Glenriver (IRE)T: Shane Crawley SIS Handicap Hurdle18f · Good · 16 ran 5th 33/1
04 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Johnny M (IRE)T: E McNamara Kepak Handicap Steeplechase21.5f · Soft · 13 ran PU 40/1
02 Aug 26 Galway (IRE) Cloonainra (IRE)T: John C McConnell Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good · 17 ran 7th 18/1
01 Aug 26 Galway (IRE) Mousey Brown (IRE)T: Dermot A McLoughlin BOYLE Sports Handicap Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 22.5f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 4th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Patrick M O'Brien's strike rate?
Patrick M O'Brien has won 46 of 643 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Patrick M O'Brien do best at?
Downpatrick by strike rate: 5 wins from 38 rides (13.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Patrick M O'Brien ride most for?
Dermot A McLoughlin, with 158 rides since 2022 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (5.1%).
Is Patrick M O'Brien in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Patrick M O'Brien's Fair A/E?
1.13, from 643 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 28 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).