What is Kieran Callaghan's strike rate?

Kieran Callaghan has won 36 of 394 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.1% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Kieran Callaghan do best at?

Punchestown by strike rate: 1 wins from 33 rides (3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Kieran Callaghan ride most for?

James M Barcoe, with 105 rides since 2022 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (6.7%).

What is Kieran Callaghan's Fair A/E?

0.96, from 394 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Kieran Callaghan

394 rides in the last 5 seasons · 225 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Aug 2025 98% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)

from 1 Jan 2022

36–394

Wins / Runs

9.1%

Strike rate

n=394

96 (24%)

Placed

0.96

Fair A/E

n=394 · 0.79 incl. margin

−127.87

£1 level stake

n=394 at SP · −32.5%

£503k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 80 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.96).

Deterministic profile computed from 394 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 40% when favourite James M Barcoe: 6.7% from 105 First rides: 9.8% Claiming: 9.3% Rides the favourite in 8% of races

The read

It is weakest at Punchestown (3% over 33 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 6% (n=84, Fair A/E 0.86). James M Barcoe supplies 27% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (6.7% vs 9.1%, A/E 0.98) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well off a 31-60-day break (13.1%, n=107). The record reads poorly off a 8-14-day break — 1.9% over 53 rides, 7.2pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Good to Soft going: Fair A/E 0.34 across 69 rides (2.9% strike, −62.80 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the McHale Mayo National Handicap Chase at Ballinrobe (May 2022, £35,400).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

9.8%+0.7

n=224 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −119.37

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

7.5%−1.6

n=40 · A/E 0.45 · £1 −32.50

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6%−3.1

n=84 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −24.38

When favourite

40%

n=30 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −7.62

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

9.3%+0.2

n=386 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −119.87

Big fields · 14+ runners

7.4%−1.7

n=203 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −89.84

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.7%−2.4

n=30 · A/E 1.32 · £1 −13.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With W P Mullins 21.4% vs 9.1% · n=98

Off a 8-14-day break 1.9% vs 9.1% · n=53

On Good to Soft going 2.9% vs 9.1% · n=69

At Punchestown 3% vs 9.1% · n=33

Off a 31-60-day break 13.1% vs 9.1% · n=107

Off a break of 180+ days 4.8% vs 9.1% · n=42

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 289 28 9.7% −62.50

Chase 94 8 8.5% −54.37

Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 164 17 10.4% −42.65

Good 113 11 9.7% −38.04

Good to Soft 69 2 2.9% −62.80

Heavy 47 6 12.8% +16.62

Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 33 1 3% −30.38

Kilbeggan 29 2 6.9% −17.50

Wexford 28 5 17.9% −9.80

Limerick 28 3 10.7% −19.38

Ballinrobe 27 6 22.2% +18.11

Tramore 26 3 11.5% +12.00

Downpatrick 25 3 12% −14.00

Cork 25 5 20% +25.00

Clonmel 21 3 14.3% +2.83

Galway 17 0 0% −17.00

Sligo 17 2 11.8% −8.25

Killarney 14 0 0% −14.00

Fairyhouse 13 0 0% −13.00

Leopardstown 12 1 8.3% −5.50

Naas 12 0 0% −12.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 33 2 6.1% −16.00

Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 37 15 40.5% 1.16 −2.62

2nd–3rd fav 69 13 18.8% 1.22 +6.25

4th–6th fav 90 4 4.4% 0.53 −26.50

7th+ in betting 198 4 2% 0.66 −105.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

78.9% completed · 383 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 94 64.9% 8 8 17 0 0

Hurdle 289 83.4% 2 2 43 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Influential Lady (IRE) 18 2 6 20 Aug 25

Early Arrival (IRE) 17 3 9 15 Aug 25

Spellacy's Cross (IRE) 10 0 4 15 Aug 25

Hollow Spark (IRE) 10 1 3 4 Aug 25

Hob's Angel (IRE) 7 0 2 15 Jul 25

Doyen Flyer (IRE) 7 0 0 30 Mar 25

Winter Fog (IRE) 7 2 3 27 May 24

Charlie Stout (IRE) 7 1 3 6 Aug 23

Whatyouwant (IRE) 6 1 1 13 Jul 25

Courting Vickie (IRE) 6 1 1 14 Jan 24

Old Bill Barley (IRE) 5 0 4 5 Aug 25

Brianna Lily (IRE) 5 0 1 10 Jun 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 225 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1178139165441055

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJames M Barcoe

27% of all rides
6.7% SR · A/E 0.98

TrainerRWSR£1

James M Barcoe 105 7 6.7% −21.50

W P Mullins 98 21 21.4% −26.37

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£519k

Prize money

2023

Best season · 16 wins

Rock Road (IRE) — McHale Mayo National Handicap Chase (Grade B) Ballinrobe · May 2022 · Grade B

£35,400

Captain Kangaroo (IRE) — Paddy Power Cork Grand National Handicap Chase (0-150) (Grade B) Cork · Nov 2022 · Grade B

£26,550

Winter Fog (IRE) — Paddy Power 'Je Suis Une Baguette' Handicap Hurdle Leopardstown · Dec 2022

£17,700

Notable horses

Early Arrival (IRE) Iridescent (IRE) Influential Lady (IRE) Winter Fog (IRE) Hollow Spark (IRE) Charlie Stout (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Doyen (IRE) 7.5% · 3–40

Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,358 runs since 2008 (605 horses).

Rule of Law (USA) 16.7% · 3–18

Progeny have won 5.8% of 310 runs since 2008 (35 horses).

Dylan Thomas (IRE) 7.7% · 1–13

Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,491 runs since 2008 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.

Beat Hollow (GB) 9.1% · 1–11

Progeny have won 11.3% of 6,031 runs since 2008 (412 horses).

Court Cave (IRE) 9.1% · 1–11

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,942 runs since 2008 (551 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.

Mahler (GB) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,853 runs since 2008 (785 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 411 · newest first

The latest 50 of 411 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 1 October 2020 to 20 August 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

20 Aug 25 Sligo Influential Lady (IRE)T: James M Barcoe McDermott Farm Machinery Handicap Hurdle (0-100)20.5f · Good · 12 ran 5th 11/2

15 Aug 25 Tramore Spellacy's Cross (IRE)T: James M Barcoe Comeragh Veterinary Kilmachthomas Handicap Hurdle21f · Good · 8 ran 6th 5/2F

15 Aug 25 Tramore Early Arrival (IRE)T: James M Barcoe I.P.R.S. Handicap Chase (0-100)22f · Good · 14 ran PU 6/1

08 Aug 25 Wexford Influential Lady (IRE)T: James M Barcoe BoyleSports Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100)17f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 2nd 12/1

05 Aug 25 Roscommon Old Bill Barley (IRE)T: W P Mullins J.F. Hanley Groundscare Beginners Chase16.5f · Yielding · 6 ran 2nd 9/1

04 Aug 25 Cork Hollow Spark (IRE)T: James M Barcoe Follow Us On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)17f · Good · 17 ran PU 12/1

15 Jul 25 Downpatrick Hob's Angel (IRE)T: James M Barcoe Download The Tote App Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100)19f · Good · 10 ran 5th 10/1

13 Jul 25 Sligo Spellacy's Cross (IRE)T: James M Barcoe Sligo Park Hotel Handicap Hurdle25.5f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 9/2

13 Jul 25 Sligo Whatyouwant (IRE)T: Gerard Kyne Kilcawley Construction Handicap Hurdle (0-100)20f · Good · 16 ran 11th 28/1

08 Jul 25 Tramore Influential Lady (IRE)T: James M Barcoe Racing TV Free Trial Now Handicap (0-60)16f · Good · 8 ran 4th 22/1

07 Jul 25 Roscommon Spellacy's Cross (IRE)T: James M Barcoe Roscommon Herald Handicap Hurdle (0-100)24.5f · Good · 16 ran 2nd 11/1

16 Jun 25 Kilbeggan Straight Home (IRE)T: W P Mullins Paul & Carmel Fay Memorial Handicap Hurdle24.5f · Good · 10 ran 1st 2/1F

16 Jun 25 Kilbeggan Hob's Angel (IRE)T: James M Barcoe Belvedere House & Gardens Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)24.5f · Good · 16 ran 10th 10/1

16 Jun 25 Kilbeggan Adela Icon (IRE)T: W P Mullins Follow Kilbeggan On Instagram Mares Hurdle19f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 2/1

15 Jun 25 Downpatrick Influential Lady (IRE)T: James M Barcoe Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle19f · Yielding To Soft · 7 ran 4th 33/1

15 Jun 25 Downpatrick Dysart Dasher (IRE)T: W P Mullins Randox Maiden Hurdle19f · Yielding To Soft · 15 ran 3rd 11/2

15 Jun 25 Downpatrick Full Confession (IRE)T: W P Mullins Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle22f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 2nd 5/2

10 Jun 25 Sligo Brianna Lily (IRE)T: James M Barcoe Connaught Bottlers Handicap Hurdle (0-100)20.5f · Good · 16 ran 11th 16/1

09 Jun 25 Roscommon Luckinthecity (GB)T: W P Mullins www.roscommonracecourse.ie Beginners Chase25f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 3/1

08 Jun 25 Punchestown Lisnagar Fortune (IRE)T: W P Mullins K-Mech Mechanical Handicap Chase20f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 8th 2/1J

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Kieran Callaghan's strike rate?: Kieran Callaghan has won 36 of 394 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.1% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Kieran Callaghan do best at?: Punchestown by strike rate: 1 wins from 33 rides (3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Kieran Callaghan ride most for?: James M Barcoe, with 105 rides since 2022 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (6.7%).
What is Kieran Callaghan's Fair A/E?: 0.96, from 394 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.