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Horse profile

Estimate (IRE)

5yo mare (at last run, Oct 2014) · Last trainer Sir Michael Stoute · Last owner The Queen
by Monsun (GER) out of Ebaziya (IRE) (Darshaan)
13 runs · 6 courses · from Sep 2011
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 18 Oct 2014 — 4,385 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Oct 2014 · 9th of 9 5 wins · Doncaster, Ascot & Salisbury Last raced off OR 112
KTB Profile

Estimate (IRE) is 5 from 13, including a Group 1 win. The biggest win we hold: the Gold Cup at Ascot (Jun 2013). Hasn't won since Sep 2014. 3 of 6 starts at Ascot have ended in wins. 3 of 5 starts with soft in the ground have ended in wins — 2 from 8 on quicker.

Based on 13 archived runs · updated 21 Oct 2026

Progeny in our archive

Produce record

As a dam, Estimate (IRE) has 5 produce in the archive, 4 winners — most wins Evaluation (GB) (7 wins).

The wins came over 1m2f–2m2f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Calculation (GB)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Evaluation (GB)3871m6f–2m½fClass 4
Calculation (GB)1331m5½f–1m6½fClass 3
Reaching High (IRE)1321m6f–2m2fClass 3
Market Value (IRE)611m2fClass 5
Approximate (GB)50——
Official rating112↓ 2lb off peak
112 86–114

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 88A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Doncaster, 12 Sep 2014 Official rating 112 at the last run, 18 Oct 2014

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 13 figures · best 90A · median 87
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 21 Oct 2025
Good490A86.5—
Good to Firm488A77—
Good to Soft288A88—
Soft290A88.5—
Heavy1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 21 Oct 2025
1m5f – 2m890A86—
2m1f – 2m4f388A88—
1m2f – 1m4f1———
1m – 1m1f1———

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 13 figures from 13 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
Monsun (GER)

Progeny in our archive have won 15.8% of 2,243 runs since Jan 2008 (250 horses).

Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 19.6% from 276. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.3% from 150.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm600%−15.8—
Good to Firm2223415.3%−0.51 from 4
Good5929816.6%+0.81 from 4
Good to Soft3586217.3%+1.52 from 2
Soft5418515.7%−0.11 from 2
Heavy2313414.7%−1.10 from 1
Standard (AW)2924214.4%−1.4—
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f100%−15.8—
6f – 7f4824.2%−11.6—
1m – 1m1f2765419.6%+3.80 from 1
1m2f – 1m4f95316317.1%+1.31 from 1
1m5f – 2m4988216.5%+0.72 from 8
2m1f – 2m4f2723312.1%−3.72 from 3
2m5f – 3m150149.3%−6.5—
Over 3m45715.6%−0.2—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Ebaziya (IRE) (Darshaan)

6 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Erzen (IRE) (2 wins).

The wins came over 1m1½f–2m4f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Erzen (IRE)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Erzen (IRE)1422m–2m4fClass 4
Eytarna (IRE)721m1½f–1m4f—
Edallora (IRE)70——
Ebaza (IRE)30——
Ezbek (IRE)10——
Elbasana (IRE)10——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Good 4 1 25% −1.00
Good to Firm 4 1 25% +0.50
Good to Soft 2 2 100% +13.38
Soft 2 1 50% +2.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 1 11 4 36% +2.88
Class 5 1 1 100% +12.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Ascot 6 3 50% +5.50
Doncaster 2 1 50% +0.38
Goodwood 2 0 0% −2.00
York 1 0 0% −1.00
Salisbury 1 1 100% +12.00
Leicester 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
1m5f – 2m 8 2 25% −1.00
2m1f – 2m4f 3 2 67% +3.88
1m2f – 1m4f 1 1 100% +12.00
1m – 1m1f 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Ryan Moore 10 4 40% +3.88
Paul Hanagan 1 0 0% −1.00
Pat Dobbs 1 1 100% +12.00
Richard Mullen 1 0 0% −1.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2014 5 1 20% −2.62
2013 3 2 67% +4.50
2012 4 2 50% +13.00
2011 1 0 0% −1.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORKTB Jockey SP
18 Oct 14+36d Ascot Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 2) Class 1 · 16f · Heavy · 9 ran 9/9 33 9-4 11276C Ryan Moore 8/1
12 Sep 14+21d Doncaster Socialites Electric Cigarettes Doncaster Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 2) Class 1 · 18f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 1/12 9-0 11288A Ryan Moore 11/8F
22 Aug 14+22d York Weatherbys Hamilton Insurance Lonsdale Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 2) Class 1 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 2/7 ½ 9-0 11288A Ryan Moore 9/2
31 Jul 14+42d Goodwood Artemis Goodwood Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 2) Class 1 · 16f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8/8 1¼ 9-5 11276C Ryan Moore 2/1F
19 Jun 14+243d Ascot Gold Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Class 1 · 20f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 13/13 nk 8-13 11278C Ryan Moore 8/1
19 Oct 13+121d Ascot Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 3) Class 1 · 16f · Soft · 12 ran 7/12 ½ 9-4 11487A Ryan Moore 2/1F
20 Jun 13+50d Ascot Gold Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Class 1 · 20f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 1/14 8-11 10888A Ryan Moore 7/2F
01 May 13+230d Ascot Longines Sagaro Stakes (Group 3) Class 1 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 1/10 8-9 10890A Ryan Moore 2/1F
13 Sep 12+42d Doncaster DFS Park Hill Stakes (Fillies' Group 2) Class 1 · 14.5f · Good · 9 ran 3/9 shd 8-6 11085A Paul Hanagan 7/2
02 Aug 12+41d Goodwood iShares Fillies' Stakes (Registered As The Lillie Langtry Stakes) (Group 3) Class 1 · 14f · Good · 12 ran 3/12 hd 8-9 10583A Ryan Moore 3/1J
22 Jun 12+47d Ascot Queen's Vase (Group 3) Class 1 · 16f · Soft · 10 ran 1/10 8-12 8690A Ryan Moore 3/1F
06 May 12+243d Salisbury Betfred 'Double Delight' E.B.F. Maiden Stakes Class 5 · 12f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 1/12 8-12 —88A Pat Dobbs 12/1
06 Sep 11 Leicester British Stallion Studs Supporting British Racing E.B.F. Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Div 2) (Rnd) Class 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 7/11 1 9-0 —73A Richard Mullen 12/1

Quick answers

How many races has Estimate (IRE) won?
Estimate (IRE) won 5 of 13 archived starts between 2011 and 2014, a strike rate of 38.5%. Placed 8 times in total (61.5% of starts).
Who trained Estimate (IRE)?
Estimate (IRE) was trained by Sir Michael Stoute on the most recent run on record, at Ascot on 18 October 2014.
Who is Estimate (IRE)'s sire?
Estimate (IRE) is by Monsun (GER) out of Ebaziya (IRE), whose sire is Darshaan.
What going does Estimate (IRE) prefer?
Estimate (IRE) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Estimate (IRE)'s official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 112, from the run on 18 October 2014. The highest on record is 114.
What is Estimate (IRE)'s sire's record?
Monsun (GER)'s progeny in our archive have won 15.8% of 2,243 runs since Jan 2008 (250 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 19.6% from 276. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.3% from 150.
Who are Estimate (IRE)'s siblings?
Out of Ebaziya (IRE), Estimate (IRE) has 6 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Erzen (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Erzen (IRE)). The wins came over 1m1½f–2m4f. As at Oct 2026.
Has Estimate (IRE) produced winners?
As a dam, Estimate (IRE) has 5 produce in our archive, 4 of them winners. Most wins: Evaluation (GB) (7). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Calculation (GB)). The wins came over 1m2f–2m2f. As at Oct 2026.

Record shown from September 2011. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.