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Horse profile

Every Chance (IRE)

5yo gelding (at last run, Nov 2018) · Last trainer Noel C Kelly · Last owner John Devinejames Doherty
by Frozen Power (IRE) out of Runway Dancer (GB) (Dansili)
24 runs · 12 courses · from Oct 2015
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 2 Nov 2018 — 2,909 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Nov 2018 · 10th of 11 3 wins · Lingfield (AW) & Wolverhampton (AW) Last raced off OR 77
KTB Profile

Every Chance (IRE) is 3 from 24. Hasn't won since Jan 2018. All 3 wins have come on the all-weather — 0 from 7 on turf. Last raced off 77, 25lb below the career-high mark.

Based on 24 archived runs · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance All wins on AW OR ↓ 25lb off peak
Official rating77↓ 25lb off peak
77 77–102

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 121 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Sedgefield, 23 Apr 2018

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 14 figures · best 114A · median 96
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 21 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)14114A96—
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 21 Oct 2025
1m2f – 1m4f9114A95—
1m5f – 2m3109C84—
1m – 1m1f2112A107—
Jumps 5 figures · best 121A · median 60
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 21 Oct 2025
Good4121A79.5—
Good to Firm1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 21 Oct 2025
2m1f – 2m4f4121A57.5—
1m5f – 2m1———

Of 21 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1) · did not complete (1).

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 19 figures from 21 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating (flat) 88A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Lingfield (AW), 13 Jan 2018 Official rating 77 at the last flat run, 2 Nov 2018

Best recent KTB Rating (jumps) 115A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Tramore, 19 Aug 2018 Official rating 90 at the last jumps run, 28 Sep 2018

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 17 figures · best 101A · median 82
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 21 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)17101A82—
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 21 Oct 2025
1m2f – 1m4f997B82—
1m – 1m1f4101A91.5—
1m5f – 2m387A79—
6f – 7f1———
Jumps 5 figures · best 115A · median 92
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 21 Oct 2025
Good4115A93.5—
Good to Firm1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 21 Oct 2025
2m1f – 2m4f495A91.5—
1m5f – 2m1———

Of 24 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: did not complete (or a non-runner row) (2).

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 22 figures from 24 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Progeny in our archive have won 8.4% of 1,887 runs since Jan 2008 (132 horses).

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm24312.5%+4.1—
Good to Firm264259.5%+1.10 from 1
Good416297%−1.40 from 6
Good to Soft15395.9%−2.5—
Soft213125.6%−2.8—
Heavy6857.4%−1—
Standard (AW)7497610.1%+1.73 from 17
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f153159.8%+1.4—
6f – 7f761587.6%−0.80 from 1
1m – 1m1f3693910.6%+2.21 from 4
1m2f – 1m4f272207.4%−11 from 9
1m5f – 2m196136.6%−1.81 from 4
2m1f – 2m4f10398.7%+0.30 from 6
2m5f – 3m23417.4%+9—
Over 3m10110%+1.6—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Runway Dancer (GB) (Dansili)

6 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Astaire (IRE) (5 wins).

The wins came over 6f–1m7f; the highest grade won is Group 1 (Astaire (IRE)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Astaire (IRE)1756fGroup 1
Shoshone Warrior (IRE)1521m4f–1m7f—
Vision Of Victory (IRE)40——
Batya (IRE)20——
U S Grant (IRE)80——
Swish Dancer (IRE)20——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Standard (AW) 17 3 18% −9.11
Good 6 0 0% −6.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 4 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 6 5 2 40% −1.61
Class 3 4 1 25% +0.50
Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 6 2 33% +0.75
Lingfield (AW) 4 1 25% −2.86
Kempton (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Dundalk (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Newton Abbot 2 0 0% −2.00
Downpatrick 1 0 0% −1.00
Tramore 1 0 0% −1.00
Cartmel 1 0 0% −1.00
Ayr 1 0 0% −1.00
Sedgefield 1 0 0% −1.00
Southwell (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Newcastle (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
1m2f – 1m4f 9 1 11% −7.86
2m1f – 2m4f 6 0 0% −6.00
1m5f – 2m 4 1 25% +0.50
1m – 1m1f 4 1 25% −1.75
6f – 7f 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Dougie Costello 5 1 20% −3.86
Timmy Murphy 5 1 20% −0.50
Adam Kirby 3 1 33% −0.75
Mr N McParlan 2 0 0% −2.00
Oisin Orr 1 0 0% −1.00
Adam Short 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr L P Gilligan 1 0 0% −1.00
Danny Mullins 1 0 0% −1.00
Kielan Woods 1 0 0% −1.00
Derek Fox 1 0 0% −1.00
Conor O'Farrell 1 0 0% −1.00
Miss K Harrington 1 0 0% −1.00
Lucy K Barry 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
None 13 2 15% −6.25
Tongue tie 10 1 10% −8.86
Tongue tie + cheekpieces 1 0 0% −1.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2018 11 1 9% −9.86
2017 10 1 10% −5.50
2015 3 1 33% −0.75

TypeRunsWinsSR£1
Flat 17 3 18% −9.11
Hurdle 7 0 0% −7.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
02 Nov 18+35d Dundalk (AW) Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap 12f · Standard · 11 ran 10/11 shd 8-10 7790A60A Oisin Orr 20/1
28 Sep 18+18d Downpatrick Molson Coors Handicap Hurdle (80-95) 19f · Good · 15 ran PU/15 — 11-4 90—— Adam Short 25/1
10 Sep 18+22d Newton Abbot Racing Partnership Novices' Handicap Hurdle Class 5 · 17f · Good · 12 ran F/12 — 11-10 102—— Mr L P Gilligan 5/1
19 Aug 18+13d Tramore Tramore Amusement & Leisure Park Handicap Hurdle (80-95) 16f · Good · 16 ran 3/16 ¾ 11-6 89104B115A Danny Mullins 16/1
06 Aug 18+70d Newton Abbot Racing Partnership Novices' Hurdle Class 4 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 6/8 10 10-12 —60C91C Kielan Woods 16/1
28 May 18+21d Cartmel Marten Julian Awesome Foursome Novices' Hurdle Class 4 · 17f · Good · 14 ran 9/14 11 10-12 —47C88C Derek Fox 33/1
07 May 18+14d Ayr Get Daily Tips At racinguk.com Novices' Hurdle Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 6 ran 5/6 22 10-12 —55C92C Conor O'Farrell 16/1
23 Apr 18+45d Sedgefield Sea Merchant Fish Shop Open Today Maiden Hurdle Class 5 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 6/10 5 10-11 —121A95A Mr N McParlan 10/1
09 Mar 18+55d Dundalk (AW) 32red.com (Q.R.) Handicap 16f · Standard · 13 ran 5/13 1¾ 11-8 8184B87A Mr N McParlan 14/1
13 Jan 18+3d Lingfield (AW) Betway Selling Stakes Class 6 · 12f · Standard · 7 ran 1/7 9-7 81105A88A Dougie Costello 1/7F
10 Jan 18+11d Kempton (AW) 100% Profit Boost At 32RedSport.com Amateur Riders' Handicap Class 4 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 2/10 1½ 10-10 8194A92A Miss K Harrington 9/2
30 Dec 17+11d Lingfield (AW) Betway Casino Handicap Class 4 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 4/12 2¾ 9-8 83114A82A Dougie Costello 16/1
19 Dec 17+24d Southwell (AW) Betway Claiming Stakes Class 6 · 11f · Standard · 4 ran 2/4 2 9-10 8685C91B Timmy Murphy 5/4F
25 Nov 17+3d Wolverhampton (AW) Betway Claiming Stakes Class 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 9 ran 3/9 shd 9-10 90102A99A Dougie Costello 9/2
22 Nov 17+29d Kempton (AW) 32Red Handicap Class 2 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 8/9 16 8-13 9056C65C Dougie Costello 14/1
24 Oct 17+178d Newcastle (AW) Betway Super Claiming Stakes Class 3 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 10/14 1¼ 9-0 92102B74A Dougie Costello 10/1
29 Apr 17+21d Wolverhampton (AW) Ringwood Razorback Handicap Class 3 · 12f · Standard · 6 ran 4/6 2¾ 9-8 9293A80B Timmy Murphy 11/2
08 Apr 17+22d Wolverhampton (AW) Betway Stayers Handicap Class 3 · 14f · Standard · 5 ran 1/5 9-2 90109C79B Timmy Murphy 7/2
17 Mar 17+27d Lingfield (AW) Bet On The Festival With Betway Handicap Class 3 · 12f · Standard · 6 ran 3/6 nse 9-4 9097B80B Timmy Murphy 7/2
18 Feb 17+12d Kempton (AW) 32Red.com Handicap (London Middle Distance Qualifier) Class 4 · 11f · Standard · 6 ran 2/6 nse 9-9 8795A97B Adam Kirby 9/4F
06 Feb 17+420d Wolverhampton (AW) Betway Handicap Class 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 5/10 ½ 9-12 87112A84A Adam Kirby 11/4F
14 Dec 15+7d Wolverhampton (AW) 32red Casino Median Auction Maiden Stakes Class 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 1/11 9-5 ——101A Adam Kirby 5/4F
07 Dec 15+38d Lingfield (AW) 32red.com Median Auction Maiden Stakes Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 4/12 1¼ 9-5 ——80A Timmy Murphy 9/2
30 Oct 15 Wolverhampton (AW) 32red Casino Median Auction Maiden Stakes Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 5/11 ½ 9-0 ——69A Lucy K Barry 6/1

Quick answers

How many races has Every Chance (IRE) won?
Every Chance (IRE) won 3 of 24 archived starts between 2015 and 2018, a strike rate of 12.5%. Placed 7 times in total (29.2% of starts).
Who trained Every Chance (IRE)?
Every Chance (IRE) was trained by Noel C Kelly on the most recent run on record, at Dundalk (AW) on 2 November 2018.
Who is Every Chance (IRE)'s sire?
Every Chance (IRE) is by Frozen Power (IRE) out of Runway Dancer (GB), whose sire is Dansili.
What going does Every Chance (IRE) prefer?
Every Chance (IRE) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 3 wins from 17 starts (17.6%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Every Chance (IRE)'s official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 77, from the run on 2 November 2018. The highest on record is 102.
What is Every Chance (IRE)'s sire's record?
Frozen Power (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 8.4% of 1,887 runs since Jan 2008 (132 horses), Flat and jumps together.
Who are Every Chance (IRE)'s siblings?
Out of Runway Dancer (GB), Every Chance (IRE) has 6 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Astaire (IRE) (5). Highest grade won: Group 1 (Astaire (IRE)). The wins came over 6f–1m7f. As at Oct 2026.

Record shown from October 2015. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.