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Horse profile

Fate's Gambit (IRE)

3yo gelding · Trainer Ruth Carr · Owner Ruth Carr Racing Club
by Ubettabelieveit (IRE) out of Simpletwistof Fate (USA) (Quality Road)
10 runs · 8 courses · from Jan 2026
As at 18 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Ran 38 days ago · 18th of 19 Last raced off OR 58
KTB Profile

Fate's Gambit (IRE) is yet to win from 10 starts, though has placed twice. Best effort: 2nd of 13 at Dundalk (AW) (Jan 2026). Last raced off 58, 20lb below the career-high mark.

Based on 10 archived runs · run-style from 3 commented runs · updated 18 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance OR ↓ 20lb off peak
Official rating58↓ 20lb off peak
58 58–78

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 104 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Sligo, 3 May 2026

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 10 figures · best 104A · median 75.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)384B813 · 84 / 81
Soft3104A583 · 104 / 58
Good1——1 · —
Good to Soft1——1 · —
Good to Firm1——1 · —
Heavy1——1 · —
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
6f – 7f7104A817 · 104 / 81
1m – 1m1f282C592 · 82 / 59
Under 6f1——1 · —

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 10 figures from 10 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 63A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Carlisle, 19 Aug 2026 Official rating 58 at the last run, 9 Sep 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 10 figures · best 91A · median 59.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)391A593 · 91 / 59
Soft372A463 · 72 / 46
Good1——1 · —
Good to Soft1——1 · —
Good to Firm1——1 · —
Heavy1——1 · —
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
6f – 7f791A597 · 91 / 59
1m – 1m1f260B512 · 60 / 51
Under 6f1——1 · —

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 10 figures from 10 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style from 3 analysed runs

  • Held up 2 (67%) · 0 wins
  • Prominent 1 (33%) · 0 wins

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
Ubettabelieveit (IRE)

Progeny in our archive have won 10.6% of 452 runs since Jan 2008 (77 horses).

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm6233.3%+22.7—
Good to Firm971414.4%+3.80 from 1
Good1341410.4%−0.20 from 1
Good to Soft4524.4%−6.20 from 1
Soft2827.1%−3.50 from 3
Heavy300%−10.60 from 1
Standard (AW)1391410.1%−0.50 from 3
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f147149.5%−1.10 from 1
6f – 7f2342510.7%+0.10 from 7
1m – 1m1f48612.5%+1.90 from 2
1m2f – 1m4f23313%+2.4—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 18 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Simpletwistof Fate (USA) (Quality Road)

1 sibling in the archive, 1 winner — best of them The Eyes Have It (GB) (1 win).

The wins came over 7f; the highest grade won is Class 5 (The Eyes Have It (GB)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
The Eyes Have It (GB)617fClass 5

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Soft 3 0 0% −3.00
Good 1 0 0% −1.00
Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Redcar 1 0 0% −1.00
Carlisle 1 0 0% −1.00
Cork (IRE) 1 0 0% −1.00
Gowran Park 1 0 0% −1.00
Sligo 1 0 0% −1.00
Cork 1 0 0% −1.00
Curragh 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
6f – 7f 7 0 0% −7.00
1m – 1m1f 2 0 0% −2.00
Under 6f 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Donagh O'Connor 4 0 0% −4.00
James Sullivan 2 0 0% −2.00
Wayne Lordan 2 0 0% −2.00
James Ryan 1 0 0% −1.00
David Egan 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
None 9 0 0% −9.00
Blinkers 1 0 0% −1.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
09 Sep 26+21d Redcar Watch Race Replays On Racing Tv Handicap Stakes Class 6 · 8f · Good · 19 ran Up with the far-rail group - lost touch and under pressure from 1f out - faded to finish 18th 18/19 1 9-3 5882C42C James Sullivan 40/1
19 Aug 26+26d Carlisle North Lakes Energy - Harry Doyle Memorial Maiden Handicap Stakes (Div I) Class 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 10 ran held a middle position - pushed along with a furlong left - stayed on same gear to the line - finished fourth beaten 4¾ lengths 4/10 1¼ 9-7 6084A63A James Sullivan 8/1
24 Jul 26+12d Cork (IRE) Buy Tickets Online At www.corkracecourse.ie Median Auction Race 8f · Good To Firm · 5 ran Driven to the front early and saw the margin cut by halfway - ridden hard and overtaken 2 1/2f out - couldn't get competitive and slipped to 3rd 1f out - had nothing more late on 3/5 4¾ 9-5 6336C60B Donagh O'Connor 14/1
12 Jul 26+30d Dundalk (AW) RACING TV FREE ONE MONTH TRIAL Handicap 7f · Standard · 11 ran slow into stride and settled in the pack - 7th at halfway - pushed along two furlongs out - made no impact 9/11 shd 9-11 6781A56A Donagh O'Connor 22/1
12 Jun 26+40d Gowran Park Golf At Gowran Park Handicap 7f · Yielding · 12 ran Held up towards the back of the pack - asked for effort approaching 2f out but made no headway - held on late stages without finding more 11/12 3½ 10-1 7141C44C Donagh O'Connor 33/1
03 May 26+29d Sligo Tote.ie Median Auction Maiden 6.5f · Yielding To Soft · 8 ran Settled in the pack early - up to 4th under pressure inside final 2f - flattened out approaching last furlong and a half to finish 5th 5/8 6 9-8 76104A46A James Ryan 9/1
04 Apr 26+20d Cork Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden 5f · Soft · 11 ran Sat just behind the front runner early - asked for effort with a furlong and a half left - slipped back to 4th approaching the final furlong - unable to find more and eased into 5th at the finish 5/11 ½ 9-8 7858A72A Donagh O'Connor 18/1
15 Mar 26+37d Curragh Nua CLaD Hub Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden 6f · Heavy · 16 ran Slow to begin - driven up to join rivals inside first furlong - hit front after furlong and a half - drifted left approaching two out - overtaken over a furlong out - unable to fight back and slipped to third late on - kept plugging without further gain 3/16 4½ 9-7 —63C76A David Egan 8/1
06 Feb 26+14d Dundalk (AW) BAR 1 Betting Bet 10 Get 50 Free Bets Race 7f · Standard · 6 ran Sat close to pace early - 3rd at halfway then pushed along with little response in 4th inside final two furlongs - held no more late to finish 5th 5/6 5 9-5 —70A59B Wayne Lordan 11/10F
23 Jan 26 Dundalk (AW) Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden (Div 1) 7f · Standard · 13 ran Bolted to front early - overtaken after a furlong and sat close up - third at halfway - shared advantage with two furlongs out - driven back in front at the furlong and a half marker - matched a furlong out then overhauled inside final furlong - battled on gamely for second 2/13 ½ 9-8 —84B91A Wayne Lordan 11/4

Quick answers

How many races has Fate's Gambit (IRE) won?
Fate's Gambit (IRE) has yet to win, from 10 archived starts in 2026. Placed 2 times in total (20% of starts).
Who trains Fate's Gambit (IRE)?
Fate's Gambit (IRE) is trained by Ruth Carr, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 9 September 2026.
Who is Fate's Gambit (IRE)'s sire?
Fate's Gambit (IRE) is by Ubettabelieveit (IRE) out of Simpletwistof Fate (USA), whose sire is Quality Road.
What is Fate's Gambit (IRE)'s official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 58, from the run on 9 September 2026. The highest on record is 78.
What is Fate's Gambit (IRE)'s sire's record?
Ubettabelieveit (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.6% of 452 runs since Jan 2008 (77 horses), Flat and jumps together.
Who are Fate's Gambit (IRE)'s siblings?
Out of Simpletwistof Fate (USA), Fate's Gambit (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: The Eyes Have It (GB) (1). Highest grade won: Class 5 (The Eyes Have It (GB)). The wins came over 7f. As at Oct 2026.

Record shown from January 2026. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.