Fresh Fade (IRE)
Typically ridden prominently in 10 of 17 analysed runs — Fresh Fade (IRE) is 1 from 19. Hasn't won since Aug 2025. The win came on good or faster ground (0 from 4 on softer). Last raced off 63, 25lb below the career-high mark.
- 1–19Wins / Runs
- 5.3%Strike rate
- 2 (10.5%)Placed
- −14.80£1 level staken=19 at SP
- 0.59Fair A/E n=19 · 0.49 incl. margin
- 88Highest OR
- 19dBetween runs (median)longest 148 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 90
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 8 | 101C | 79 | 2 runs · 94 / 91 |
| Good to Firm | 4 | 94C | 83 | 4 runs · 94 / 83 |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 90B | 88 | 3 runs · 90 / 88 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 81A | 78 | 1 run · — |
| Soft | 2 | 76A | 71.5 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 14 | 94C | 78.5 | 7 runs · 94 / 88 |
| Under 6f | 4 | 101C | 86.5 | 2 runs · 87 / 86.5 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 19 figures from 19 runs · as at 4 Nov 2026 · 1 recent figure provisional (may move for 7 days) · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 17 analysed runs since Jun 2025
- Prominent 10 (59%) · 0 wins
- Led 4 (24%) · 1 win
- Held up 2 (12%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 1 (6%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.4% of 3,954 runs since Mar 2021 (389 horses).
Strongest on standard (aw) going: 14.6% from 1,420. Weakest on soft going: 7% from 427.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | +27.1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 621 | 78 | 12.6% | +1.2 | 0 from 4 |
| Good | 1,051 | 92 | 8.8% | −2.6 | 1 from 8 |
| Good to Soft | 318 | 29 | 9.1% | −2.3 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 427 | 30 | 7% | −4.4 | 0 from 2 |
| Heavy | 104 | 11 | 10.6% | −0.8 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,420 | 207 | 14.6% | +3.2 | 0 from 3 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 813 | 111 | 13.7% | +2.3 | 0 from 4 |
| 6f – 7f | 2,036 | 225 | 11.1% | −0.3 | 1 from 14 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 727 | 77 | 10.6% | −0.8 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 304 | 35 | 11.5% | +0.1 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 50 | 1 | 2% | −9.4 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 24 | 3 | 12.5% | +1.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Mar 2021 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Rock Armour (IRE) (1 win).
The wins came over 1m2f; the highest grade won is Class 6 (Rock Armour (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rock Armour (IRE) | 32 | 1 | 1m2f | Class 6 |
| Jupiter Rock (IRE) | 13 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 8 | 1 | 13% | −3.80 |
| Good to Firm | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Class 6 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naas | 3 | 1 | 33% | +1.20 |
| Epsom | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Dundalk (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Chelmsford (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Brighton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Goodwood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Salisbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Windsor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Lingfield | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Navan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Gowran Park | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tipperary | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Curragh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Listowel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 14 | 1 | 7% | −9.80 |
| Under 6f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieren Fox | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| W J Lee | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Dylan Browne McMonagle | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.20 |
| Leigh Roche | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Colin Keane | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| David Probert | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Luke Morris | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jamie Powell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| James Ryan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ronan Whelan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 16 | 0 | 0% | −16.00 |
| Hood | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.20 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 2025 | 11 | 1 | 9% | −6.80 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 8 runs | ||||||||||
| 02 Nov 26+18d | Chelmsford (AW) | ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap Stakes Prominent enough in the pack early - under pressure 2f out - faded inside the final furlong to finish 7th | 7/13 | 5 | 9-9 | 63 | 90B | 69A | David Probert | 18/1 |
| 15 Oct 26+18d | Brighton | bet365 Handicap Stakes Prominent early - pushed along over 2f out and soon held - faded over 1f out to finish 11th | 11/14 | ¾ | 9-8 | 67 | 94C | 55A | Kieren Fox | 25/1 |
| 27 Sep 26+27d | Epsom | Betfred 'Follow Us On X' Handicap Stakes Sat close to the pace early - driven and drifted wide turning for home 4f out - lost ground over 1f out and gave way inside the final furlong | 6/10 | ¾ | 9-2 | 70 | 88A | 69A | Kieren Fox | 28/1 |
| 31 Aug 26+33d | Epsom | Betfred 'play Fred's £5 Million' Handicap Stakes Keen to go forward early - hit the front - driven and lost lead 3f out - under pressure with 2f left - held no chance from there and weakened into fifth | 5/6 | nk | 9-2 | 72 | 81A | 67B | Kieren Fox | 18/1 |
| 29 Jul 26+29d | Goodwood | Coral Charlton Handicap Stakes Settled up with the pace on the near flank early - dropped away over 2f out - faded quickly through the closing stages - finished well held in 18th | 18/26 | hd | 9-2 | 75 | 72C | 63A | Kieren Fox | 125/1 |
| 30 Jun 26+38d | Salisbury | Whitsbury Manor Stud Supporting Inspire Foundation Handicap Held up towards the back - driven with over 2f out - unable to land a blow - finished sixth beaten 8½ lengths | 6/6 | ¾ | 9-8 | 78 | 87A | 67B | Luke Morris | 66/1 |
| 23 May 26+14d | Windsor | Bodhi Solutions - Constructing Champions Handicap Race in touch with front group - driven with over 2f left - faded fast entering final furlong - finished 12th | 12/14 | 2¼ | 9-9 | 80 | 94C | 61A | Kieren Fox | 40/1 |
| 09 May 26+148d | Lingfield | William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Stumbled at the break - settled handy before being asked for effort over 2f out - faded inside final furlong to finish sixth | 6/8 | ¾ | 9-11 | 82 | 79A | 78A | Kieren Fox | 50/1 |
| 2025 · 11 runs | ||||||||||
| 12 Dec 25+28d | Dundalk (AW) | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Race Settled second early - pushed along with two furlongs left - slipped back a place before fading through the last furlong to finish fifth | 5/7 | 1¼ | 9-10 | 84 | 86A | 77A | W J Lee | 14/1 |
| 14 Nov 25+34d | Dundalk (AW) | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Race Set the pace early - pressed for effort 2f out and lost command 1f out - unable to threaten front rank in 4th late | 4/13 | 1¼ | 9-10 | 85 | 88B | 84A | W J Lee | 10/1 |
| 11 Oct 25+19d | Naas | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Birdcatcher Premier Nursery Handicap Settled in the pack - 6th at halfway - driven approaching 2f out then found little and dropped away inside the final furlong | 13/14 | 3 | 9-8 | 87 | 67C | 58A | Jamie Powell | 16/1 |
| 22 Sep 25+16d | Fairyhouse | Ballyhane Blenheim Stakes (Listed) Settled just behind pace early - edged in front after 2f before giving it up entering straight - dropped away with a furlong left - faded in the closing stages to finish sixth | 6/12 | ¾ | 9-5 | 88 | 76A | 78A | James Ryan | 22/1 |
| 06 Sep 25+13d | Navan | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Rated Race Sat behind the front group early - urged into 3rd by halfway with no further gain approaching 1f out - dropped to 4th briefly - rallied back to 3rd close home - finished holding effort for a place | 3/6 | ½ | 9-10 | 88 | 78A | 87B | Dylan Browne McMonagle | 11/4 |
| 24 Aug 25+11d | Naas | Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden Set the pace early - pressed and lost front spot 2f out - shared for command approaching final furlong - kicked back in front late to hold on | 1/13 | 9-7 | 80 | 76C | 87A | Dylan Browne McMonagle | 16/5 | |
| 13 Aug 25+42d | Gowran Park | Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden Held up towards back of pack - bumped soon after start - driven with 2f left and up to 6th with a furlong to run - stayed on same gait to finish 5th | 5/14 | ½ | 9-2 | 81 | 62C | 70A | Leigh Roche | 9/1 |
| 02 Jul 25+5d | Tipperary | Coolmore Stud Little Big Bear Tipperary Stakes (Listed) Shared the lead early - settled into third and pressed for advantage inside the final two furlongs - unable to close the gap approaching the last furlong - held on steadily to the line for third | 3/5 | 3 | 9-5 | — | 101C | 71B | Colin Keane | 11/10F |
| 27 Jun 25+26d | Curragh | Lock 13 Gastropub & Brewpub Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden Sat close to pace early - second at halfway then driven with a furlong left - unable to make further gain final stretch finishing 4th beaten 3 lengths | 4/11 | 1¼ | 9-7 | — | 80A | 85A | Ronan Whelan | 13/2 |
| 01 Jun 25+14d | Listowel | Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden Set the pace early - broke away with eventual winner inside final furlong then edged in front late in the drive - battled on to be beaten three-quarters of a length | 2/14 | ¾ | 9-2 | — | 75C | 112A | Colin Keane | 5/2F |
| 18 May 25 | Naas | Coolmore Stud The Antarctic Race Drifted left leaving stalls - into 2nd early and pulling hard - slipped to 3rd approaching halfway - driven from 2f out but unable to find more inside final furlong | 3/4 | 3¼ | 9-5 | — | 60C | 71B | Leigh Roche | 33/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Fresh Fade won?
- Fresh Fade (IRE) won 1 of 19 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 5.3%. Placed 2 times in total (10.5% of starts).
- Who trains Fresh Fade?
- Fresh Fade (IRE) is trained by Michael Attwater, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 2 November 2026.
- Who is Fresh Fade's sire?
- Fresh Fade (IRE) is by Cotai Glory (GB) out of Julienne (IRE), whose sire is Galileo.
- What going does Fresh Fade prefer?
- Fresh Fade (IRE) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 8 starts (12.5%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Fresh Fade's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 63, from the run on 2 November 2026. The highest on record is 88.
- What is Fresh Fade's sire's record?
- Cotai Glory (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.4% of 3,954 runs since Mar 2021 (389 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on standard (aw) going: 14.6% from 1,420. Weakest on soft going: 7% from 427.
- Who are Fresh Fade's siblings?
- Out of Julienne (IRE), Fresh Fade (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Rock Armour (IRE) (1). Highest grade won: Class 6 (Rock Armour (IRE)). The wins came over 1m2f. As at Nov 2026.