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Trainer profile

Michael Attwater

1,500 runners in the last 5 seasons · 121 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 10.0% of 360 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 22 Oct 2026.
Last runner 3 days ago 98% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
98–1,500
Wins / Runs
6.5%
Strike rate
n=1,500
322 (22%)
Placed
0.85
Fair A/E
n=1,493 · 0.73 incl. margin
−510.04
£1 level stake
n=1,500 at SP · −34.0%
£902k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.6%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 300 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.85).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,500 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar 29.8% when favourite William Carson: 6.9% from 289 Claiming riders: 7% Sends off the favourite in 3% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Windsor (12%, n=83), clear of the yard's 6.5% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=58, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 2.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.66 and −96.50 to a £1 stake over 210 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. William Carson rides 19% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.9%, A/E 0.86). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (14.9%, n=47). The record reads poorly in Class 4 — 0% over 125 runners, 6.5pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Salient (GB) — 11 wins from 128 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.9%−3.6
n=210 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −96.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.5
n=58 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −58.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.5
n=31 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −31.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
2.9%−3.6
n=35 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −29.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.5
n=48 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −48.00
When favourite
29.8%
n=47 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −7.08
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7%+0.5
n=415 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −198.92

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 0-7-day break 14.9% vs 6.5% · n=47
In Class 4 0% vs 6.5% · n=125
With new recruits 0% vs 6.5% · n=58
With headgear back on 0% vs 6.5% · n=48
With Tommie Jakes 13.2% vs 6.5% · n=38
At Windsor 12% vs 6.5% · n=83
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 1,472 98 6.7% −482.04
Hurdle 27 0 0% −27.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 909 58 6.4% −326.29
Good to Firm 250 16 6.4% −138.24
Good 193 10 5.2% −68.25
Good to Soft 72 4 5.6% −40.09
Soft 43 5 11.6% −11.17
Firm 20 4 20% +20.00
Heavy 13 1 7.7% +54.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 385 21 5.5% −208.87
Brighton 170 16 9.4% −34.12
Kempton (AW) 164 7 4.3% −44.50
Wolverhampton (AW) 161 14 8.7% −71.17
Chelmsford City (AW) 158 14 8.9% +7.00
Windsor 83 10 12% +3.74
Bath 64 6 9.4% +51.00
Lingfield 47 3 6.4% −5.25
Southwell (AW) 41 2 4.9% −8.75
Sandown 34 0 0% −34.00
Goodwood 29 0 0% −29.00
Epsom 26 1 3.8% −23.00
Yarmouth 21 0 0% −21.00
Salisbury 17 1 5.9% −9.00
Chepstow 14 1 7.1% −9.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 951 72 7.6% −248.86
Class 5 388 24 6.2% −121.38
Class 4 125 0 0% −125.00
Class 3 20 0 0% −20.00
Class 2 16 2 12.5% +5.20

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 57 16 28.1% 1.01 −9.33
2nd–3rd fav 238 31 13% 0.80 −92.04
4th–6th fav 523 37 7.1% 0.91 −125.67
7th+ in betting 682 14 2.1% 0.71 −283.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Nordic Glory (IRE) 70 10 27 8 Oct 26
Bear To Dream (IRE) 54 6 21 30 Jun 26
Cabeza De Llave (GB) 51 6 20 2 Oct 26
Battle Point (IRE)from Richard Hannon 51 1 6 25 Aug 26
Thismydream (IRE)from W P Browne 43 3 14 16 Oct 25
H Key Lails (GB)from Craig Lidster 42 6 17 31 Aug 26
Smasher (IRE) 37 5 12 28 Jul 26
Mary Of Modena (GB) 32 6 10 30 Oct 25
Lawn Ranger (GB) 31 2 6 8 Jun 26
Come On John (IRE)from Roger Fell · then James Owen 31 3 5 8 Aug 24
Concierge (IRE)from David Loughnane 28 2 5 16 Oct 24
Cappananty Con (GB)from Charlie Wallis 28 1 7 15 Aug 23
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 121 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 44 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David Loughnane (3) and Michael Appleby (3); 16 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for Simon Hodgson (3) and James Owen (2); 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 9
Only 9 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
6895677845122
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderWilliam Carson
19% of all rides
6.9% SR · A/E 0.86
RiderRWSR£1
William Carson 289 20 6.9% −77.37
Paddy Bradley 267 22 8.2% −60.42
Robert Havlin 94 6 6.4% −65.51
Kieren Fox 69 5 7.2% −33.50
Ryan Kavanagh 45 5 11.1% −9.25
James Glennon 44 2 4.5% −14.00
Luke Morris 38 4 10.5% +8.50
Kaiya Fraser 38 3 7.9% −4.50
Tommie Jakes 38 5 13.2% +2.50
Adam Farragher 35 4 11.4% −5.00
Rhys Clutterbuck 32 1 3.1% −28.75
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
366
Archived wins
£2.77m
Prize money
2017
Best season · 25 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Bravo Echo (GB) — Sportingbet Supports Heros 'Super 7' Handicap (Final) Lingfield (AW) · Mar 2010 · Class 2
£31,155
George Guru (GB) — Betfred Mobile Lotto Handicap Goodwood · May 2013 · Class 2
£19,407
George Guru (GB) — Ladbrokes Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Mar 2014 · Class 2
£16,173
Notable horses
Salient (GB) Nordic Glory (IRE) Ask The Guru (GB) Bravo Echo (GB) Lawn Ranger (GB) Marmooq (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dandy Man (IRE) 5% · 8–159
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,927 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Cotai Glory (GB) 12.8% · 10–78
Progeny have won 11.5% of 3,923 runs since 2008 (389 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.7% from 1,398. Weakest on Soft going: 7.1% from 421.
Kodi Bear (IRE) 10.3% · 6–58
Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,937 runs since 2008 (386 horses).
Mehmas (IRE) 1.7% · 1–58
Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,114 runs since 2008 (747 horses).
Cable Bay (IRE) 9.4% · 5–53
Progeny have won 9.9% of 3,712 runs since 2008 (243 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.9% from 641. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 290.
Camacho (GB) 5.8% · 3–52
Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,320 runs since 2008 (596 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 5,414 · newest first

The latest 50 of 5,414 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Oct 26 Bath Pitney (IRE)J: Kieren Fox Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 4th 14/1
15 Oct 26 Brighton Honour Your Dreams (FR)J: Kieren Fox Best Odds Guaranteed At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Good · 9 ran 5th 12/1
15 Oct 26 Brighton Berning Hot (IRE)J: William Carson Position Payout At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 13th 4/1
15 Oct 26 Brighton Fresh Fade (IRE)J: Kieren Fox bet365 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 11th 25/1
15 Oct 26 Brighton Kaaress (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 10f · Good · 11 ran 11th 40/1
15 Oct 26 Brighton Bessie Wallis (IRE)J: Seamus Cronin Racing Value At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 28/1
13 Oct 26 Leicester Gatlinburg (IRE)J: Robert Havlin racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 9th 33/1
10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) City Of God (IRE)J: Jack Callan Erdinger Weissbier Stein Selling Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 40/1
09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Screen Actor (USA)J: Kieren Fox Unibet More Extra Place Races Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 8th 200/1
08 Oct 26 Bath Nordic Glory (IRE)J: Owen Lewis Mda Consulting Ltd Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 14 ran 10th 28/1
07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Pitney (IRE)J: James Glennon Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 13th 50/1
07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Jackson Street (IRE)J: William Carson Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 7th 50/1
07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Arantes Nascimento (GB)J: James Glennon Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 5th 17/2
06 Oct 26 Brighton Berning Hot (IRE)J: William Carson Matchbook Monthly Bet- Builder Rebate Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 5th 8/1
06 Oct 26 Brighton Venetian Romance (IRE)J: Kieren Fox Follow Matchbook On X Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 5th 33/1
05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Bessie Wallis (IRE)J: Kieren Fox Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 8th 17/2
05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Unionville (GB)J: Kieren Fox Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 5th 15/2
02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Cabeza De Llave (GB)J: William Carson Position Payout At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 9/2
02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Honour Your Dreams (FR)J: Kieren Fox Position Payout At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 4/1
30 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Lovely Jubly (GB)J: Gina Mangan Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 5th 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael Attwater's strike rate?
Michael Attwater has won 98 of 1,500 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael Attwater do best at?
Windsor by strike rate: 10 wins from 83 runners (12%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Michael Attwater?
William Carson, with 289 runners since 2022 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 20 (6.9%).
Is Michael Attwater in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Michael Attwater's Fair A/E?
0.85, from 1,493 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).