Morgan's Bay (GB)
Morgan's Bay (GB) is 5 from 29. Hasn't won since Feb 2015. Last raced off 99, 21lb below the career-high mark.
- 5–29Wins / Runs
- 17.2%Strike rate
- 8 (27.6%)Placed
- −4.38£1 level staken=29 at SP
- 1.47Fair A/E n=29 · 1.30 incl. margin
- 120Highest OR
- 92dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 58
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 2 | 79C | 68.5 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | — | — | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 4 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: did not complete (1) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 2 figures from 4 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.1% of 3,407 runs since Jan 2008 (315 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 5 | 0 | 0% | −10.1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 305 | 27 | 8.9% | −1.2 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 1,078 | 104 | 9.6% | −0.5 | 1 from 6 |
| Good to Soft | 730 | 62 | 8.5% | −1.6 | 2 from 10 |
| Soft | 822 | 93 | 11.3% | +1.2 | 2 from 10 |
| Heavy | 394 | 51 | 12.9% | +2.8 | 0 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 73 | 6 | 8.2% | −1.9 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −10.1 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −10.1 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 66 | 4 | 6.1% | −4 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 839 | 75 | 8.9% | −1.2 | 4 from 14 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,107 | 124 | 11.2% | +1.1 | 1 from 12 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1,083 | 117 | 10.8% | +0.7 | 0 from 3 |
| Over 3m | 307 | 23 | 7.5% | −2.6 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Bonisland (GB) (3 wins).
The wins came over 2m–2m6f.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonisland (GB) | 9 | 3 | 2m–2m6f | — |
| Supreme Prospect (GB) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 10 | 2 | 20% | −1.38 |
| Soft | 10 | 2 | 20% | +1.50 |
| Good | 6 | 1 | 17% | −1.50 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 22 | 4 | 18% | −2.88 |
| Class 3 | 4 | 1 | 25% | +1.50 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 6 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exeter | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Leicester | 4 | 2 | 50% | +4.62 |
| Kempton | 3 | 1 | 33% | +2.50 |
| Lingfield | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Huntingdon | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Fontwell | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.00 |
| Sandown | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Worcester | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.50 |
| Towcester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Uttoxeter | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ludlow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hereford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Aintree | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 14 | 4 | 29% | +4.62 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 12 | 1 | 8% | −6.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Cannon | 8 | 2 | 25% | +2.50 |
| Paddy Brennan | 8 | 1 | 13% | −5.38 |
| Leighton Aspell | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Mr Frederick Tett | 3 | 2 | 67% | +8.50 |
| Liam Heard | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| David Bass | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Paul Moloney | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sam Thomas | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Andrew Tinkler | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2016 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2015 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +1.00 |
| 2014 | 6 | 2 | 33% | +1.12 |
| 2013 | 6 | 2 | 33% | +5.50 |
| 2012 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2011 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 24 | 5 | 21% | +0.62 |
| Hurdle | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| NH Flat | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 06 Jun 17+22d | Fontwell | Fontwell Park Fireworks Night 4th November Handicap Chase | PU/6 | — | 10-9 | 99 | — | — | Leighton Aspell | 9/2 |
| 15 May 17+156d | Kempton | Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Chase | 4/8 | nk | 11-12 | 105 | 58B | 107A | Leighton Aspell | 40/1 |
| 2016 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 10 Dec 16+41d | Lingfield | 10th Celebrate A Life Sharen Blaquiere Handicap Chase | 5/9 | 20 | 11-2 | 110 | — | 96C | David Bass | 25/1 |
| 30 Oct 16+248d | Huntingdon | 32Red Casino Claiming Hurdle | 4/7 | 9 | 10-10 | — | 79C | 87C | Tom Cannon | 18/1 |
| 25 Feb 16+83d | Huntingdon | Racing UK John Bigg Oxo Handicap Chase | PU/7 | — | 11-12 | 115 | — | — | Tom Cannon | 20/1 |
| 2015 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 04 Dec 15+24d | Sandown | Zurich Insurance Plc Handicap Chase | 6/10 | 1½ | 11-6 | 118 | — | 105A | Tom Cannon | 12/1 |
| 10 Nov 15+225d | Lingfield | Bet And Watch At Titanbet.co.uk Handicap Chase | 4/6 | ½ | 11-0 | 120 | — | 113B | Tom Cannon | 8/1 |
| 30 Mar 15+24d | Kempton | Watch On 3 Devices Racinguk.com Handicap Chase | 3/6 | 14 | 11-12 | 120 | — | 118B | Leighton Aspell | 7/1 |
| 06 Mar 15+22d | Sandown | SSAFA Forces Family Handicap Chase | 3/6 | 1¼ | 11-7 | 120 | — | 131B | Tom Cannon | 9/1 |
| 12 Feb 15+93d | Fontwell | Willie Or Won't He At 32RedSport.com Handicap Chase | 1/6 | 11-8 | 112 | — | 127B | Tom Cannon | 5/1 | |
| 2014 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 11 Nov 14+13d | Lingfield | Gary Belsham Birthday Handicap Chase | 2/5 | ¾ | 11-6 | 111 | — | 124B | Tom Cannon | 10/1 |
| 29 Oct 14+159d | Worcester | King's Hawford Handicap Chase | 1/4 | 11-0 | 108 | — | 117B | Tom Cannon | 7/2 | |
| 23 May 14+38d | Towcester | Glazerite - Sounds Like A Solidor Handicap Chase | 5/7 | 20 | 11-7 | 110 | — | 103C | Paddy Brennan | 11/2 |
| 15 Apr 14+39d | Exeter | Dartmouth Term Of 65 Handicap Chase | 5/8 | 5 | 11-6 | 113 | — | 105B | Paul Moloney | 12/1 |
| 07 Mar 14+10d | Leicester | Queens Royal Lancers Handicap Chase | 2/5 | 27 | 11-12 | 107 | — | 102C | Paddy Brennan | 11/8F |
| 25 Feb 14+56d | Leicester | Captain Machell Handicap Chase | 1/4 | 10-13 | 107 | — | 125B | Paddy Brennan | 13/8F | |
| 2013 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 31 Dec 13+26d | Uttoxeter | St14 Construction Handicap Chase | 5/7 | 3½ | 11-7 | 110 | — | 101B | Paddy Brennan | 9/2 |
| 05 Dec 13+22d | Leicester | Vale Of Belvoir Handicap Chase | PU/9 | — | 11-7 | 110 | — | — | Paddy Brennan | 5/1 |
| 13 Nov 13+242d | Bangor-on-Dee | Rea Valley Tractors Handicap Chase | 5/9 | 4 | 11-4 | 111 | — | 109A | Paddy Brennan | 14/1 |
| 16 Mar 13+8d | Kempton | 32redpoker.com Novices' Handicap Chase | 1/7 | 9-10 | 107 | — | 115B | Mr Frederick Tett | 9/2 | |
| 08 Mar 13+16d | Leicester | Queens Royal Lancers Novices' Handicap Chase | 1/8 | 10-11 | 101 | — | 122B | Mr Frederick Tett | 5/1 | |
| 20 Feb 13+53d | Ludlow | Weatherbys Hamilton Insurance Handicap Chase | 5/12 | 1¾ | 10-13 | 102 | — | 111A | Mr Frederick Tett | 7/1 |
| 2012 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 29 Dec 12+45d | Newbury | Betfred Double Delight Novices' Handicap Chase | PU/11 | — | 10-13 | 107 | — | — | Liam Heard | 22/1 |
| 14 Nov 12+22d | Exeter | Jack Fletcher Beginners' Chase | 5/7 | 8 | 11-1 | — | — | 106B | Liam Heard | 80/1 |
| 23 Oct 12+597d | Exeter | Betfred 'The Bonus King' Beginners' Chase | PU/10 | — | 11-4 | — | — | — | Liam Heard | 66/1 |
| 2011 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 06 Mar 11+21d | Huntingdon | 100% Cheltenham On Racing UK Maiden Hurdle | PU/15 | — | 11-1 | — | — | — | Paddy Brennan | 9/1 |
| 13 Feb 11+43d | Hereford | Matthew Clark 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle | 8/13 | 51 | 11-3 | — | — | 94C | Paddy Brennan | 7/1 |
| 01 Jan 11+232d | Exeter | Bathwick Tyres Taunton Maiden Open NH Flat Race | 6/14 | 2½ | 11-5 | — | — | 104A | Sam Thomas | 5/2F |
| 2010 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 14 May 10 | Aintree | Liverpool Volkswagen Standard Open NH Flat Race | 2/19 | ¾ | 11-2 | — | — | 131A | Andrew Tinkler | 8/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Morgan's Bay won?
- Morgan's Bay (GB) won 5 of 29 archived starts between 2010 and 2017, a strike rate of 17.2%. Placed 8 times in total (27.6% of starts).
- Who trained Morgan's Bay?
- Morgan's Bay (GB) was trained by Laura Mongan on the most recent run on record, at Fontwell on 6 June 2017.
- Who is Morgan's Bay's sire?
- Morgan's Bay (GB) is by Karinga Bay (GB) out of Dubai Dolly (IRE), whose sire is Law Society.
- What going does Morgan's Bay prefer?
- Morgan's Bay (GB) has the best record on good to soft going: 2 wins from 10 starts (20%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Morgan's Bay's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 99, from the run on 6 June 2017. The highest on record is 120.
- What is Morgan's Bay's sire's record?
- Karinga Bay (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.1% of 3,407 runs since Jan 2008 (315 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Morgan's Bay's siblings?
- Out of Dubai Dolly (IRE), Morgan's Bay (GB) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Bonisland (GB) (3). The wins came over 2m–2m6f. As at Oct 2026.